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weathafella

December-winter is finally here!

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Winter uncancel on the GFS? ;)

 

New EUROens continue the theme of  improvement in regards to retrograding the GOA low into the aleutians. 

Also, take it FWIW, but the new CFS is an absolute freezer for January, like -7 in SNE to -10 in NNE. Big signal from a model which has a notorious warm bias.

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Winter uncancel on the GFS? ;)

 

New EUROens continue the theme of  improvement in regards to retrograding the GOA low into the aleutians. 

Also, take it FWIW, but the new CFS is an absolute freezer for January, like -7 in SNE to -10 in NNE. Big signal from a model which has a notorious warm bias.

 

Which CFS? The one run at the CPC (CFSv2) still showing a warm Jan.

 

usT2mMonInd2.gif

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Which CFS? The one run at the CPC (CFSv2) still showing a warm Jan.

 

usT2mMonInd2.gif

I just looked at the run initiated 3z today and it should below normal temps in a lot of the east but not severely so.

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this IMG_20141205_191950.jpg.png

 

 

I just looked at the run initiated 3z today and it should below normal temps in a lot of the east but not severely so.

 

 

Ah okay thanks, the ones run daily vs. weekly I guess??

 

 

So many versions of the same dam thing...lol. 

 

Lol yeah seriously.

 

didn't the CFS bomb November?

 

 

the cfs bombs the next 5 minutes, useless

 

Lol oh yes it did.

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didn't the CFS bomb November?

Yeah it's pretty bad which is why I have it a FWIW tag. Only reason I'm not totally tossing is that it's bombs are almost always an extreme warm bias, so to see it(or at least one version of it) so cold is interesting.

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Only about 10-14 days away it seems

*** strong signs of MAJOR PATTERN CHANGE DEC 16-20... euro weeklies shows much colder pattern by Dec 20 POSSIBLY East coast winter weather threat DEC 22.... CFS weeklies also support this idea

10407528_784960948217832_792878464628211
 

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Meanwhile, in this awful pattern it hasn't been all that warm relative to climo. We had a major torch on the 1st of December but since then it has run normal to a bit below. It would be damned funny if December averaged normal or a bit under that.

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Well..we'd better enjoy this one whenever it decides to start

Joe Bastardi ‏@BigJoeBastardi  10h

I cut a video in 2011, talking about how nasty winters 12-13 thru 14-15 could be. After this year. 3 of next 5 should be WARM

2011-12 is the only one of the bunch that was bad.

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Meanwhile, in this awful pattern it hasn't been all that warm relative to climo. We had a major torch on the 1st of December but since then it has run normal to a bit below. It would be damned funny if December averaged normal or a bit under that.

 

This never looked like a torch pattern..just an overall lousy pattern. Tons of HP overhead. I think we will have maybe 2 perhaps 3 mild days, and then turn cooler. 

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A Christmas miracle? Lol

In all seriousness, thats great news

 

I'd like to see all models full steam ahead within day 10, but I don't see this as a faux cooldown like we used to see on the models in Dec 2011.

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