Mogget Posted November 15, 2014 Share Posted November 15, 2014 Snowing now, just south of Madison. Flakes are still small but accumulating easily. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 15, 2014 Share Posted November 15, 2014 Moved a few posts about today's snow from the November thread to here. Let's use this thread for minor accumulating stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted November 15, 2014 Share Posted November 15, 2014 Looks like Alek's good karma is paying off for chi town USA_ASNOWIPER_sfc_084.gif ^lol, good stuff. Snow down close to 1000ft above the QC now. Should be snowing there fairly soon. Was hoping the snow would make it in here before dark, but it's gonna be close. Still thinking around an inch looks good based on fairly generous ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted November 15, 2014 Share Posted November 15, 2014 Looks like Alek's good karma is paying off for chi town USA_ASNOWIPER_sfc_084.gif my .6 call is going to bust high…i always bust high Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted November 15, 2014 Share Posted November 15, 2014 my .6 call is going to bust high…i always bust high you busting high never bodes well for my calls ... lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted November 15, 2014 Share Posted November 15, 2014 my .6 call is going to bust high…i always bust high lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted November 15, 2014 Share Posted November 15, 2014 Light snow has commenced here in E-town. Fine flakes so far. Some peeps from the QC have texted saying the ground is whitening there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted November 15, 2014 Share Posted November 15, 2014 Radar returns look decent downstream. Forecast looks to hold up well. Ground is plenty cold - even the pavement is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted November 15, 2014 Share Posted November 15, 2014 Played 27 holes today somehow. Ready for some snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted November 15, 2014 Share Posted November 15, 2014 Played 27 holes today somehow. lol, crazy. You'd have to pay me to be out there today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted November 15, 2014 Share Posted November 15, 2014 lol, crazy. You'd have to pay me to be out there today. Yeah it was cold last half, sun was out first half but for 25 bucks and a free 9 holes. Course still in pretty good shape except for some hard greens but oh well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted November 15, 2014 Share Posted November 15, 2014 Snow breaking out in the Rock River Valley, won't be too much longer now. I was outside for awhile today, but not golfing! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted November 15, 2014 Share Posted November 15, 2014 Snowing here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted November 15, 2014 Share Posted November 15, 2014 18z Parallel GFS total snowfall (through 240hr): Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted November 15, 2014 Share Posted November 15, 2014 lol yeah I saw that. It would be a major ice storm in KS/MO as well. Probably not going to happen but that's crazy to look at. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 15, 2014 Share Posted November 15, 2014 18z Parallel GFS total snowfall (through 240hr): What the actually I've been wondering, what is the NWS conversion table that is mentioned at the top? Don't tell me that it's based on progged surface temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted November 15, 2014 Share Posted November 15, 2014 What the actually I've been wondering, what is the NWS conversion table that is mentioned at the top? Don't tell me that it's based on progged surface temps. As to your question, I have no idea. It's just impressive to see any model show that in mid-November... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 15, 2014 Share Posted November 15, 2014 As to your question, I have no idea. It's just impressive to see any model produce that output in mid-November... Well, I just googled NWS snow liquid table and got this, so I'm assuming that's what it is http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/tables/snowfall-meltwater.html I swear, the Earl Barker Kuchera maps are god-like compared to some of these other algorithms popping up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted November 15, 2014 Share Posted November 15, 2014 Good Lord, Powerball! What month is it...!? lol Hopefully the new GFS isn't going to act like the NAM! Snowing at BUU, should start here at any time now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted November 15, 2014 Share Posted November 15, 2014 I swear, the Earl Barker Kuchera maps are god-like compared to some of these other algorithms popping up. yep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 15, 2014 Share Posted November 15, 2014 Good Lord, Powerball! What month is it...!? lol Hopefully the new GFS isn't going to act like the NAM! Actually, the upgraded GFS may help the NAM. Post from modeling guru dtk explaining things: Yes, in two ways (one more direct than the other). For one, the NAM uses partial cycling whereby it is effectively restarted from the GFS state twice per day. The way it actually works is that twice per day, the NAM goes "backwards" in time, starts from the GFS, and then performs catch up data assimilation cycles to the initialization time. The RAP works similarly, btw. Secondly, the NAM utilizes a hybrid-variational solver for its data assimilation, where the ensemble part is taken from a GFS-based EnKF. Since the 13km GFS upgrade also includes assimilation changes including an increase in the ensemble resolution to T574 (from T254) for the EnKF part (not to be confused with the GEFS), the NAM and RAP will benefit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted November 15, 2014 Share Posted November 15, 2014 lol, at first I thought the northern half of MO was getting screwed. Then I looked at the scale on the right. Good stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted November 16, 2014 Share Posted November 16, 2014 That stuff in Missouri is mainly from forecast hours 186-210, and it seems to be indicated (by the p-type/SLP maps) as a mix of freezing rain, sleet, and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted November 16, 2014 Share Posted November 16, 2014 Current US Soil Temperatures... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted November 16, 2014 Share Posted November 16, 2014 Thanks for the info Hoosier. That's good news then. -SN has started here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwburbschaser Posted November 16, 2014 Share Posted November 16, 2014 lol, at first I thought the northern half of MO was getting screwed. Then I looked at the scale on the right. Good stuff. That's exactly what I thought at first. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted November 16, 2014 Share Posted November 16, 2014 Coming down pretty good here. Great dendrites Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted November 16, 2014 Share Posted November 16, 2014 0.1" down here. Dendrites slowly getting bigger. Wish that band to the north was about 15 miles further south... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted November 16, 2014 Share Posted November 16, 2014 +sn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted November 16, 2014 Share Posted November 16, 2014 Well, I just googled NWS snow liquid table and got this, so I'm assuming that's what it is http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/tables/snowfall-meltwater.html I swear, the Earl Barker Kuchera maps are god-like compared to some of these other algorithms popping up. I've just been looking at the total liquid before/after a wave move through. Even doing that you get some impressive numbers by November standards with the system Thursday night, around 0.6" imby if I remember right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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