Hoosier Posted November 13, 2014 Share Posted November 13, 2014 Nice upward trend on the SREF plumes for LAF. Still a bit out of its better range to feel really confident. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted November 13, 2014 Share Posted November 13, 2014 Nice upward trend on the SREF plumes for LAF. Still a bit out of its better range to feel really confident. ARP3 FTW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 13, 2014 Share Posted November 13, 2014 ARP3 FTW. 11:13 9z sref plumes laf.png Hey, you're in line with Chad right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted November 13, 2014 Share Posted November 13, 2014 12z Euro looks like about an inch for LAF. Seems to be the way to go. Part two, or the Monday portion, looks good for southern IL, southern IN, and a good chunk of OH. Nothing earth-shattering, mind you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted November 13, 2014 Share Posted November 13, 2014 Hey, you're in line with Chad right now. You're wasting bandwidth. That being said, I'm now going to have to reconsider my call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted November 13, 2014 Share Posted November 13, 2014 my .6 call is looking money Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted November 13, 2014 Share Posted November 13, 2014 hourly grid bumped to 1.9....but that is stretched out over more than 24 hours through sunday evening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted November 13, 2014 Share Posted November 13, 2014 12z Euro looks pretty good for all but the NW 1/3 of Ohio with the monday wave, especially E OH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted November 13, 2014 Share Posted November 13, 2014 I'm going to have to amend my call to a DAB, in line with Alek and Chi Storm. The Euro is lolworthy with the lakeshore receiving less precip than just about everyone else in the region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted November 13, 2014 Share Posted November 13, 2014 WRT 11/15-11/16 event.... 1.8 for ORD....Pac moisture will be good for a bit over a tenth QPF...combo that with night time timing and decent ratios Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted November 13, 2014 Share Posted November 13, 2014 WRT 11/15-11/16 event.... 1.8 for ORD....Pac moisture will be good for a bit over a tenth QPF...combo that with night time timing and decent ratios That's what I got in my grid too; 1.8". Offices must be counting on those higher ratios. Can't remember an actual fluffy snow in November before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted November 14, 2014 Share Posted November 14, 2014 0z NAM is a nice run for the southeast half of IN and most of Ohio with the monday wave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted November 14, 2014 Share Posted November 14, 2014 Oooh, this is going to be good. Gilbertfly's 1.8" vs. A-L-E-K's .6". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted November 14, 2014 Share Posted November 14, 2014 0z NAM is a nice run for the southeast half of IN and most of Ohio with the monday wave. yea just saw that...it jumped on board. Gotta love the nam,, never known for it's baby steps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted November 14, 2014 Share Posted November 14, 2014 I bet mixing issues with the nam....especially in the southeastern 1/3rd of Ohio. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 14, 2014 Share Posted November 14, 2014 0z NAM is a nice run for the southeast half of IN and most of Ohio with the monday wave. And sends most of the Saturday night/Sunday morning snow north of here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 14, 2014 Share Posted November 14, 2014 yea just saw that...it jumped on board. Gotta love the nam,, never known for it's baby steps Only a matter of time before you'll be sweating rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted November 14, 2014 Share Posted November 14, 2014 Only a matter of time before you'll be sweating rain. Don't you mean 'celebrating' rain? Where's ChicagoWx? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted November 14, 2014 Share Posted November 14, 2014 GFS parallel total snowfall through 12z Sunday. 4km NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted November 14, 2014 Share Posted November 14, 2014 Nearly a 400mb deep DGZ on the 0z GFS for here Saturday night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted November 14, 2014 Share Posted November 14, 2014 An inch may be best case for LAF with the late Saturday/early Sunday snowfall. QPF getting sliced and diced on all guidance. 0z Euro and its ensembles are right around 0.5-0.6" total snowfall. Meh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted November 14, 2014 Share Posted November 14, 2014 Oooh, this is going to be good. Gilbertfly's 1.8" vs. A-L-E-K's .6". lol he trends a bit conservative and I trend a bit weenie usually...If this were a daytime event I would prolly be closer to an inch (if not less considering where we are at on the calendar)...but given the fact that it is at night and that cold temps will have been around for a few days I will stick with my number for now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted November 14, 2014 Share Posted November 14, 2014 Models seem to have more spread now than early yesterday. NAM and parallel GFS going more northerly with things tomorrow. Gotta love the agreement 24 hrs before the snow hits (insert sarcasm). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted November 14, 2014 Share Posted November 14, 2014 Should've kept my iniital call, looking pretty money right now but will not continue to flip flop, so I will stay with a DAB. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted November 14, 2014 Share Posted November 14, 2014 Models seem to have more spread now than early yesterday. NAM and parallel GFS going more northerly with things tomorrow. Gotta love the agreement 24 hrs before the snow hits (insert sarcasm). Yup. Barely mid-November and it has already started. 5 more months of this . DTX still thinking about an inch tomorrow night...but Im not a fan of the dry, north NAM. Since this system has been shown it has shown that it would weaken in Michigan, but the more southern, slightly wetter GFS has been the most consistent. It IS interesting though how robust the models are with LES early next week. Usually when they are that robust far out its a good sign. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted November 14, 2014 Share Posted November 14, 2014 12z parallel GFS 12z 4km NAM 0z GGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted November 14, 2014 Share Posted November 14, 2014 Sub zero windchills in the hourly for MBY Monday night/Tuesday morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted November 14, 2014 Share Posted November 14, 2014 Ouch on the maps above, LAF completely shut out on the NAM. Well, this went down the tubes quickly for here. Glad I got that little surprise snow last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted November 14, 2014 Share Posted November 14, 2014 12z GGEM snowfall at 10:1. Northern wave shifted south a bit on this model. 1-3" in my area grids for tomorrow night. MKX snowfall map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 14, 2014 Share Posted November 14, 2014 An inch may be best case for LAF with the late Saturday/early Sunday snowfall. QPF getting sliced and diced on all guidance. 0z Euro and its ensembles are right around 0.5-0.6" total snowfall. Meh. Yeah, not liking the trends with part 1. However we still need to watch the second part for a possible northward shift. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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