yoda Posted July 27, 2014 Share Posted July 27, 2014 7:07pm updated HWO from LWX keeps the faith going... states damaging wind gusts, large hail, and isolated tornadoes possible from late this evening through 3am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted July 27, 2014 Share Posted July 27, 2014 7:07pm updated HWO from LWX keeps the faith going... states damaging wind gusts, large hail, and isolated tornadoes possible from late this evening through 3am I call BS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted July 27, 2014 Share Posted July 27, 2014 Maryland and Pennsylvania are going to get annihilated tonight. South Virginia and northern North Carolina also look to be under the gun for storms and plenty of rain tonight. Northern Virginia should get off easy with a few passing showers, should be no more than a sixty fourth of an inch of rain at most tonight. The District will get smashed by the same storm complexes that will murder Maryland. This go around I might not mind getting only a small amount of light rain --- I am having a lot of trouble keeping up with mowing the lawn. It's a jungle out there LMAO. The grass catcher bag on the mower was so damned HEAVY that I think I might have pulled my lower back somethin' terrible - Maryland can have all the rain tonight thank you very much! This makes no sense at all. How will DC be crushed but N.VA get nothing? A storm going to form and move due south out of Maryland? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted July 27, 2014 Share Posted July 27, 2014 It's drizzling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted July 27, 2014 Share Posted July 27, 2014 Pretty sad when storms are strong in 25kt shear and 2000 cape while we have 50kts and 2500 and can't even sustain a shower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 27, 2014 Share Posted July 27, 2014 When SPC took down the MOD risk for the second day in a row, you knew it was gonna be a bust. Looks like the activity is being sustained by the warm front. Hopefully we at least manage a good light show with some overnight crapvection. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted July 27, 2014 Share Posted July 27, 2014 Convection is stupid. At least around here. Weird how this thing produced all around. Most action way displaced south. Then a bunch of no shear crap in PA. Got a few lightning pics at least. And missed an epic one. Going to check out flood warning area now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 27, 2014 Share Posted July 27, 2014 Convection is stupid. At least around here. Weird how this thing produced all around. Most action way displaced south. Then a bunch of no shear crap in PA. Got a few lightning pics at least. And missed an epic one. Going to check out flood warning area now. Its all very frustrating... I wonder why we didn't get anything as of yet... subsidence? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted July 27, 2014 Share Posted July 27, 2014 Pretty sad when storms are strong in 25kt shear and 2000 cape while we have 50kts and 2500 and can't even sustain a shower. The more impressive (negative) LI values on the short range models have been just north of here....extreme northern MD and southern PA. Also look at the 850 mb RH. Best moisture is over that area as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted July 27, 2014 Share Posted July 27, 2014 Its all very frustrating... I wonder why we didn't get anything as of yet... subsidence? Probably partly that we had high clouds most of the day down there. That rarely bodes well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted July 27, 2014 Share Posted July 27, 2014 This makes no sense at all. How will DC be crushed but N.VA get nothing? A storm going to form and move due south out of Maryland? The storms are moving ESE. I should have clarified that extreme north Virginia will see the same storms that will hit the District. But for the most part most of northern and central VA will get hit or miss scattered showers. This system is going to annihilate Penn, MD and southern VA/N NC border with strong storms and rain. Some of these storms will train over the same areas. But my backyard is in the clear for the most part, I should see a brief drizzle or a light rainshower that will have problems getting the pavement wet. This time of year the energy is all farther north. They can have it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted July 28, 2014 Author Share Posted July 28, 2014 This is not our year for severe. Probably a better chance of getting another 5.5+ earthquake in the Mid-Atlantic than getting decent widespread severe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted July 28, 2014 Share Posted July 28, 2014 Probably partly that we had high clouds most of the day down there. That rarely bodes well. Nah it's not that. We just suck. Plain and simple. It could be 100 degrees, 5,000 cape, 50kts shear and triple pointed and we still would get nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted July 28, 2014 Share Posted July 28, 2014 This is not our year for severe. Probably a better chance of getting another 5.5+ earthquake in the Mid-Atlantic than getting decent widespread severe. Better chance of me winning a million dollars. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 28, 2014 Share Posted July 28, 2014 Another token STW from LWX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted July 28, 2014 Share Posted July 28, 2014 The only hope for me is those storms firing out over E Kentucky. Supercell composite is 16 over me per the last mesoanalysis.. lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted July 28, 2014 Share Posted July 28, 2014 LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted July 28, 2014 Share Posted July 28, 2014 LOL RAP_255_2014072722_F08_PCPIN_6_HR.png Winter-esque. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 28, 2014 Share Posted July 28, 2014 Maybe some very slight rotation on that cell entering VA that LWX has an STW on? Or am I dreaming it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted July 28, 2014 Author Share Posted July 28, 2014 Winter-esque. Atmospheric memory - that'll be us next winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted July 28, 2014 Share Posted July 28, 2014 Today just didn't have the storm feel. Even when it does, we still usually fail lol. We suck at severe. Always have.. I only have a few memories of severe storms around here. I was just hoping for some rain. Even that doesn't look good at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted July 28, 2014 Share Posted July 28, 2014 Sucks storms have to come through 3 rounds of mountains to get here. That is why we fail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted July 28, 2014 Author Share Posted July 28, 2014 Sucks storms have to come through 3 rounds of mountains to get here. That is why we fail. Sounds like in this case we were between two areas of forcing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted July 28, 2014 Share Posted July 28, 2014 We have the warmth. We have the moisture. We have the energy. We don't have the storms lmao. We couldnt buy one for the cost of the National Debt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted July 28, 2014 Share Posted July 28, 2014 At least it's fun to look at and something you don't see very often, but S VA has a STP of 5 and the Supercell Composite is now up to 20... Too bad it's probably going to waste unless those storms in KY/WV do something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted July 28, 2014 Share Posted July 28, 2014 This makes no sense at all. How will DC be crushed but N.VA get nothing? A storm going to form and move due south out of Maryland? You are probably the only one who still read his posts after all these years of psychobabble Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted July 28, 2014 Share Posted July 28, 2014 Been listening to the thunder from the storms in PA for 30 min now, such a tease Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted July 28, 2014 Share Posted July 28, 2014 Today just didn't have the storm feel. Even when it does, we still usually fail lol. We suck at severe. Always have.. I only have a few memories of severe storms around here. I was just hoping for some rain. Even that doesn't look good at this point. We so rarely have true severe weather around here. The word "severe" is thrown around too easily on this board, and even when folks think ingredients are right for real severe weather, something is bound to screw it up anyway. I hope I get some rain without thunder tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted July 28, 2014 Share Posted July 28, 2014 Looks like a few decent storm cells in SE Penn http://radar.weather.gov/Conus/northeast.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted July 28, 2014 Share Posted July 28, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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