Stormlover74 Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?product=N0R&rid=DIX&loop=yes These want to train right up the TPKE from Central MC right through the City and into Nassau County . Looks to me like another round will roll into the 5 boroughs in a bit Yeah I do wonder if this is the main event. The focus is definitely on I-95 south and east and over to the city/LI. Radar over PA looks meh so far. Have to see if that line in central PA intensifies when it moves into a more unstable airmass Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 The line extends down to BWI , This looks like it could catch or at least intersect the training line . That's where you could see the larger amounts . That BWI line should develop into a more widespread line this evening . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 The new HRRR shows the activity eventually lifiting northwest more towards Morristown. the HRRR from this morning was way off check my post out # 684 I did the comparison - can't use that as a forecast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 Yeah I do wonder if this is the main event. The focus is definitely on I-95 south and east and over to the city/LI. Radar over PA looks meh so far. Have to see if that line in central PA intensifies when it moves into a more unstable airmass Look to you`re SW - think that's the line that could blossom Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 Another intense cell about to hit southern Nassau. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 I would never even use models for location of greatest pcpn or total pcpn in convective driven events. The takeaway is essentially anyone could see 2-3"+ of rain in short order. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
heavy_wx Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 The storm near bethpage seems to have some supercell characteristics with an arch in zdr along its reflectivity gradient. There's even some rotation indicated in the higher level 3 tilts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 I'm starting to get anxious. Not a drop of rain yet today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 I'm starting to get anxious. Not a drop of rain yet today. Yeah I think you're in the screw zone today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 that cell south of long beach is headed right for me! it looks very intense! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 I'm starting to get anxious. Not a drop of rain yet today. I guess your favorite model isn't going to deliver the goods once again http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php?app=core&module=attach§ion=attach&attach_rel_module=post&attach_id=131269 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rsteff Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 I'm starting to get anxious. Not a drop of rain yet today. You would think the gods would give you something by now just for the effort Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 that cell south of long beach is headed right for me! it looks very intense! I know-my hometown is probably getting slammed right now by it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 You guys still think the second line will take hold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 I guess your favorite model isn't going to deliver the goods once again http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php?app=core&module=attach§ion=attach&attach_rel_module=post&attach_id=131269 The HRRR isn't my favority model, we just don't have much else to work with in setups like this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rcad1 Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 Nothing big in the Mineola area just run of the mill storm. Looks like southern Nassau is getting the worst.. Definitely looks like this is the main action of the day. Hope not but that's the way it looks now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 Yeah I think you're in the screw zone today. You don't want to be around here later if that happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 Up to 1.08 for day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 You guys still think the second line will take hold It's forming right now in PA. But to me it looks like clouds and rain will hold on for a little while near the shore from this current batch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 The Euro has the activity east of DC making it up here but not until after 00z and weakened. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 You don't want to be around here later if that happens. eh you win some you lose some...you've had plenty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?product=N0R&rid=lwx&loop=yes I think this is the show , we will see . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 The Euro has the activity east of DC making it up here but not until after 00z and weakened. It really looks like this 1st round is the main show. NYC and East this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherlogix Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 Yeah I think you're in the screw zone today. take the 1.5" i just received....and whatever i am going to receive....worst summer, weather wise, ever Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 Nice storms in my area for once Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 Looks likein belle mead we gor virtually nothing as all the storms scooted around us..nothing close so wont see anything until the front finally comes through Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 Constant cgs...torrential rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 Severe warned now: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 eh you win some you lose some...you've had plenty I won't be satisified until I get another Irene type system. Give me 10" of rain or give me nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 18z RAP keeps this as the main line and brings in the stuff to our SW at around 5pm. Then it shuts off pretty fast once it gets towards dark. 18z HRRR will follow the RAP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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