Rjay Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 344 PM EDT TUE JUL 15 2014 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0332 PM MARINE TSTM WIND 1 S POINT LOOKOUT 40.58N 73.58W 07/15/2014 M60 MPH ANZ355 NY MESONET Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueSkiesFading Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 Why? Clouds are breaking and the sun is coming back out in New Brunswick, and CAPE is still over 2000 J/kg across much of the region. It's not over yet, and the activity in MD, DE, and south Jersey looks quite potent. At the very least, flash flooding will still remain an issue into tonight.Still no real sign of any sun here. I don't doubt there'll be some storms around, I just think the atmosphere has been worked over now, so getting anything remotely severe is gonna be tough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 yea - its your favorite model - hope the results are better then what it was forecasting for 3 PM http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php?app=core&module=attach§ion=attach&attach_rel_module=post&attach_id=131269 18z 4k NAM agrees Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 344 PM EDT TUE JUL 15 2014 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0332 PM MARINE TSTM WIND 1 S POINT LOOKOUT 40.58N 73.58W 07/15/2014 M60 MPH ANZ355 NY MESONET I'm not a trained spotter but I would love to submit my report of large outdoor furniture thrown into a fence I'm talking big heavy stuff. 60 mph fits perfect here a couple miles east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 nice little thunderstorm. certainly not severe, some rain thunder and lightning in and out quick. doesn't look much action after this.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 I'm not a trained spotter but I would love to submit my report of large outdoor furniture thrown into a fence I'm talking big heavy stuff. 60 mph fits perfect here a couple miles east I wonder how it was in Long Beach-the max winds may have gone just south but it was still a nasty cell overhead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 nice little thunderstorm. certainly not severe, some rain thunder and lightning in and out quick. doesn't look much action after this.... So we ignore the huge blob of activity now forming in the northern Delmarva? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metsfan Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 Based on current radar people in SE Nassau and SW Suffolk will be getting in on convective training leading to flash flooding. http://www.wunderground.com/weather-radar/united-states/ny/deer-park/okx/?lat=40.76090622&lon=-73.32774353&label=Deer%20Park%2c%20NY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 Big thunderstorm complex going up east of Baltimore, fits well with the NAM and HRRR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 So we ignore the huge blob of activity now forming in the northern Delmarva? yes I call it total BS and tease by the man above! JK . hope you get your storms today btw buddy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 To me, if you extrapolate the radar it looks like Southern NJ and LI will get hit with the DC stuff later on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 To me, if you extrapolate the radar it looks like Southern NJ and LI will get hit with the DC stuff later on. Latest 19z RAP has it all missing south now. 19z HRRR wont be pretty for those looking for severe: http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?lang=en&map=qc&run=19&mod=rap&stn=PNMPR&comp=1&run2=19&mod2=rap&stn2=PNMPR&hh2=004&fixhh=1&hh=005 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 To me, if you extrapolate the radar it looks like Southern NJ and LI will get hit with the DC stuff later on. The flow is forecasted to flip to more out of the south or even south southeast as the ULL amplifies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 Latest 19z RAP has it all missing south now. 19z HRRR wont be pretty for those looking for severe: http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?lang=en&map=qc&run=19&mod=rap&stn=PNMPR&comp=1&run2=19&mod2=rap&stn2=PNMPR&hh2=004&fixhh=1&hh=005 The new HRRR brings the heaviest to my area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
friedmators Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 Latest 19z RAP has it all missing south now. 19z HRRR wont be pretty for those looking for severe: http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?lang=en&map=qc&run=19&mod=rap&stn=PNMPR&comp=1&run2=19&mod2=rap&stn2=PNMPR&hh2=004&fixhh=1&hh=005 we toss Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 The new HRRR brings the heaviest to my area That is not the new HRRR based off the 19z RAP. RAP is 1 hour ahead and the HRRR runs off of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 The activity in MD, DE is almost moving due NNE now, you can see it by watchng the outflow on radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 That is not the new HRRR based off the 19z RAP. RAP is 1 hour ahead and the HRRR runs off of it. That was off the 18z HRRR. Anyway the 18z NAM agrees with it, both versions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJWxWatcher201 Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 This board is disgusting me right now. Were just getting started here... http://www.wunderground.com/weather-radar/united-states/nj/clifton/dix/?lat=40.87929916&lon=-74.14389801&label=Clifton%2c%20NJ These pre-cells were all forecasted , which is the ironic part. Many people here need self meditation with all the mood swings , which lead to words like "bust". And these same people call themselves forecasters? If you cant handle the science, spectate and learn a thing or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 I see all of the storms down south congeling into a giant convective complex. It may not be severe, but it's going to drop some prolific rainfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
friedmators Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 I see all of the storms down south congeling into a giant convective complex. It may not be severe, but it's going to drop some prolific rainfall. got theses gutter cleaners for the downspouts on my house...can test why they fail miserably...for 6$ a pop i guess i understand.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Monmouth_County_Jacpot Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 Sun back out in brooklyn hopefully that ignites more storms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJWxWatcher201 Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 Storm firing near Trenton looking potent. Get ready guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 Sin back out in brooklyn hopefully that ignites more storms sin is always out and about Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 Down on the Ocean Parkway right now. Absolutely pouring...cgs as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 the storms offshore of LI are weakening just as they hit the shoreline Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNINGNJC005-019-021-023-035-PAC017-152130-/O.NEW.KPHI.SV.W.0138.140715T2026Z-140715T2130Z/BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTEDSEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNINGNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ426 PM EDT TUE JUL 15 2014THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS ISSUED A* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...SOUTHEASTERN HUNTERDON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...MERCER COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...SOUTHWESTERN SOMERSET COUNTY IN NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...SOUTHEASTERN BUCKS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA...SOUTHWESTERN MIDDLESEX COUNTY IN NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...NORTH CENTRAL BURLINGTON COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...* UNTIL 530 PM EDT* AT 423 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED ASEVERE THUNDERSTORM. THE STORM WAS NEAR LEVITTOWN...MOVINGNORTHEAST AT 20 MPH. THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ONE INCHDIAMETER HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...NEWTOWN AND BORDENTOWN AROUND 435 PM EDT...WOODSIDE AROUND 440 PM EDT...TRENTON AND YARDLEY AROUND 445 PM EDT...EWING AND WASHINGTON CROSSING AROUND 455 PM EDT...LAWRENCEVILLE AND PENNINGTON AROUND 505 PM EDT...PRINCETON AND HOPEWELL AROUND 520 PM EDT...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...MOVE INDOORS TO ASTURDY BUILDING AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DOSO...REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT OR TO THENATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS SEVERETHUNDERSTORM. WHEN THUNDER ROARS...MOVE INDOORS! REMEMBER...IF YOUCAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted July 15, 2014 Share Posted July 15, 2014 Storm warned by Ttn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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