Thundersnow12 Posted June 17, 2014 Share Posted June 17, 2014 pretty cool to see the boundary lifting back north on vis sat with the cu field almost like propagating. Liking our chances later Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted June 17, 2014 Share Posted June 17, 2014 Numerous damage reports coming in out of the Barrie/Angus area, unsurprisingly. Where are our ON posters at? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted June 17, 2014 Share Posted June 17, 2014 What a signature that thing had, this was likely a significant tornado. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mogget Posted June 17, 2014 Share Posted June 17, 2014 Numerous damage reports coming in out of the Barrie/Angus area, unsurprisingly. Where are our ON posters at? In their basements, I hope, if they're anywhere around that! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted June 17, 2014 Share Posted June 17, 2014 WOW awful quiet in here, that thing's a monster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 17, 2014 Share Posted June 17, 2014 pretty cool to see the boundary lifting back north on vis sat with the cu field almost like propagating. Liking our chances later cu now over he city. it will likely be well north before any convection gets going Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted June 17, 2014 Share Posted June 17, 2014 The HRRR like yesterday, is continuing to struggle. Yesterday it didn't have a handle on things till the last run before that supercell took off (17z run) I believe. Newest run has some interesting storms across eastern IA at 3z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted June 17, 2014 Share Posted June 17, 2014 This doesn't surprise me looking at the effective SRH in the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted June 17, 2014 Share Posted June 17, 2014 BUF radar image with mesocyclone between Egbert and Barrie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted June 17, 2014 Share Posted June 17, 2014 pretty cool to see the boundary lifting back north on vis sat with the cu field almost like propagating. Liking our chances later I don't. LLJ-ish action will mostly stay north and any NE/IA/MN MCS will weaken before it gets here, sort of like last night. Tomorrow will be the day for anything interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted June 17, 2014 Share Posted June 17, 2014 I have no clue why EC cancelled the tornado warning for the Hamilton cell since it is now hooking strongly with a wall cloud reported on it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
icebreaker5221 Posted June 17, 2014 Share Posted June 17, 2014 I have no clue why EC cancelled the tornado warning for the Hamilton cell since it is now hooking strongly with a wall cloud reported on it. Yeah, that one's looking pretty well-organized right now. Wondering how well it holds together as it passes the lake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 17, 2014 Share Posted June 17, 2014 pretty cool to see the boundary lifting back north on vis sat with the cu field almost like propagating. Liking our chances later I don't. LLJ-ish action will mostly stay north and any NE/IA/MN MCS will weaken before it gets here, sort of like last night. Tomorrow will be the day for anything interesting. The Illinois brothers at odds. Although CIN appears to be negligible, still not see much of an upswing in development in the past 2-3 hours in the IL/IN area that had the MCD so anything there may tend to remain isolated. SBCAPE up to 5000 J/kg in IL per mesoanalysis. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted June 17, 2014 Share Posted June 17, 2014 Seeing that one of the Platteville tornadoes got an EF2 rating...so that's two significant tornadoes that were very shoddily warned by MKX, not good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Megaforce Posted June 17, 2014 Share Posted June 17, 2014 Platteville is in grant county, which would put it under ARX. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted June 17, 2014 Share Posted June 17, 2014 Platteville is in grant county, which would put it under ARX. Well then it was ARX doing a questionable job, either way, not a good night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MadTown Posted June 17, 2014 Share Posted June 17, 2014 The Verona ef3 was handled horribly. 5 miles from our house. was up late waiting for the storms to roll through...(weather radio was broken and large trees in the yard that with a wind can easily hit the house.) Could see the line start to spin up well in advance of the tornado warning. Actually headed to the basement 5 minutes before the warning cause I didn't like the looks of it of it, and being nighttime it was not a time to take chances. Here is a link to some video of the damage close by me. Damage Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 17, 2014 Share Posted June 17, 2014 I don't. LLJ-ish action will mostly stay north and any NE/IA/MN MCS will weaken before it gets here, sort of like last night. Tomorrow will be the day for anything interesting. agree Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 17, 2014 Share Posted June 17, 2014 even the lake breeze wasn't enough to set off isolated convection Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted June 17, 2014 Share Posted June 17, 2014 Convection with the boundary now paralleling Route 30 from LaPorte County to Fort Wayne in IN and lifting e/ne. May be an appetizer before the main show late tonight or early tomorrow morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 17, 2014 Share Posted June 17, 2014 EF2 confirmed in southwest Madison, so that's 3 tornadoes from MKX. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 17, 2014 Share Posted June 17, 2014 CU field overhead actually looking decently agitated…will probably pop off just to my north. main show holding off as modeled but should start north again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted June 17, 2014 Share Posted June 17, 2014 Svr warning for the cell sw of me by Walkerton IN for 60 mph wind and quarter hail Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 17, 2014 Share Posted June 17, 2014 So with the Platteville EF2 and the Verona EF3, it's the first time in 20 years (August 27, 1994) that Wisconsin has had 2 or more nocturnal EF2+ tornadoes in the same night (even if not on the same calendar day). For purposes of this post, I am defining nocturnal as 03z-12z. With the newly added Madison EF2, I'm checking again to find the last time there were 3. Edit: there were 3 on May 30, 1985 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted June 17, 2014 Share Posted June 17, 2014 Severe Warning just north of me quarter size hail and 60 mph winds. Was hoping to see the tornado potential cross borders but no go this time around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Doctor Posted June 17, 2014 Share Posted June 17, 2014 Good Izzi write-up about this evening into tonight: AREA FORECAST DISCUSSIONNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL613 PM CDT TUE JUN 17 2014.MESOSCALE DISCUSSION...613 PM CDTPSUEDO WARM FRONT/REMANENT OUTFLOW BOUNDARY IS LIFTING NORTHACROSS THE CWA AT A PRETTY GOOD CLIP NOW WITH ITS PROGRESSDEPICTED QUITE NICELY IN VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. LAKE BREEZEHAS DEVELOPED AND IS PUSHING INLAND AND MAY RETARD THE NORTHWARDADVANCE OF THIS BOUNDARY OVER NE IL SOME THIS EVENING.OBSERVATIONS FROM OUR PARKING LOT AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERYHAVE SHOWN SOME SLIGHTLY MORE IMPRESSIVE VERTICAL DEVELOPMENT OFTHE CUMULUS DURING THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS...HOWEVER ACARSSOUNDINGS FROM OUR AREA FOR THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS HAVE SHOWED NOAPPRECIABLE COOLING ALOFT OF THE CAPPING WARM LAYER WHICH PEAKSVERY NEAR 700MB. MODEL GUIDANCE DOES DEPICT A WEAK SHORTWAVE NEARTHE MS RIVER LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THERE IS SOME EVIDENCE OFTHIS WAVE ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...BUT ITS CERTAINLY NOTHINGPRONOUNCED OR TERRIBLY WELL DEFINED. THE FORCING WITH THIS WAVEWILL BE MOVING EAST OF THE AREA EARLY THIS EVENING AND THINK THEWINDOW FOR SURFACE BASED DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE NORTHWARD ADVANCINGBOUNDARY WILL BE CLOSING SOON. ENHANCED LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCEALONG THE COMPOSITE LAKE BREEZE/PSUEDO WARM FRONT AND SLIGHTLYWEAKER CAPPING WITH EASTWARD EXTENT MEANS THE MOST LIKELY AREA FORISOLATED STORMS TO DEVELOP THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING WOULD BEOVER NE IL AND NW INDIANA AND WILL REFLECT THIS IN UPDATED POPGRIDS.AS THE SUBTLE WAVE MOVES EAST COULD SEE SOME WEAK SUBSIDENCESTRENGTHEN THE CAPPING INVERSION AND DELAY THE PROCESS OF WAACONVECTION DEVELOPING THIS EVENING LOCALLY. THOUGH WITH TIMECHANCES OF CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT IN STRENGTHENING WARM AIRADVECTION REGIME IN RESPONSE TO DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL JET WILLINCREASE BY LATE EVENING AND ESPECIALLY OVERNIGHT. DEVELOPMENTSHOULD BE ALMOST ENTIRELY NORTH OF THE WARM FRONT WHICH IS ALREADYNORTH OF I-88...WHICH MEANS THE BEST CHANCES LOOK TO BE IN OUR FARNORTHERN CWA OR INTO WISCONSIN. BETTER CHANCES OF STORMS INTO OURCWA MAY WELL HOLD OFF UNTIL WELL AFTER MIDNIGHT WHEN CORNBELTCOMPLEX PUSHES EAST OR SOUTHEASTWARD TOWARD OUR AREA. STILL A LOTOF UNCERTAINTY WHERE ANY EVENTUAL MCS WILL TRACK...BUT CERTAINLYPLAUSIBLE WE COULD SEE AN MCS WITH BOTH FORWARD PROPOGATING ANDUPWIND PROPOGATING SEGMENTS. GIVEN THE VERY HIGH PRECIPITABLEWATERS AND PROGGED CORFIDI VECTORS OF LESS THAN 10KT THE POTENTIALEXISTS FOR LOCALLY VERY HEAVY RAINFALL TOTALS AND FLASH FLOODINGIN ADDITION TO A DAMAGING WIND THREAT. SHOULD HAVE A BETTER IDEAHOW THIS ALL SHOULD PLAY OUT IN A COUPLE HOURS ONCE CONVECTIONBEGINS TO SHOW ITS HAND TO OUR WEST.IZZI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
on_wx Posted June 18, 2014 Share Posted June 18, 2014 Angus, Ontario tornado today. Several dozen homes were damaged, and Essa Township is under a state of emergency. No major injuries thankfully. Tornado warnings were issued well in advance. At least 2 other tornadoes were reported in Bruce County. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=36kGJQ7AGfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 18, 2014 Share Posted June 18, 2014 p sure i heard a dull rumble, nothing on radar but mini tower on visible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted June 18, 2014 Share Posted June 18, 2014 Svr warning for the cell sw of me by Walkerton IN tor 60 mph wind and quarter hail That cell has been dropping golf balls and is slowly heading toward you. You should get your car in the garage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted June 18, 2014 Share Posted June 18, 2014 That cell has been dropping golf balls and is slowly heading toward you. You should get your car in the garage. Ya, that's what I am going to do, even though the warning is moving now more to the nw of me, but the storm seems to be growing. Thanks for the heads up. Poor campers at Potato Creek state park are getting clobbered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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