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Significant Severe Events: June 14th-19th


andyhb

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MCD for that cell:

 

 

 

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1048  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK  
0829 PM CDT TUE JUN 17 2014  
 
AREAS AFFECTED...FAR NERN NEB  
 
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 315...  
 
VALID 180129Z - 180200Z  
 
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 315 CONTINUES.  
 
SUMMARY...VERY STRONG LOW-LEVEL ROTATIONAL VELOCITIES LIKELY  
INDICATIVE OF A VIOLENT TORNADO. THE NEAR-STORM ENVIRONMENT REMAINS  
VERY SUPPORTIVE FOR INTENSE TORNADOES FOR THE NEXT HOUR OR MORE.  
 
DISCUSSION...KOAX RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS PEAK 0.5 DEG ROTATIONAL  
VELOCITIES 90+ KT SUPPORTING A HIGH PROBABILITY /60 PERCENT OR  
GREATER/ FOR A VIOLENT TORNADO BASED ON RADAR ALONE. THE 00Z OMA  
RAOB SHOWED A AN EXTREMELY UNSTABLE AIRMASS AND LOW-LEVEL SHEAR IS  
BEGINNING TO INCREASE PER KOAX VWP DATA. INPUTTING THE CEDAR COUNTY  
TORNADIC SUPERCELL MOTION YIELDS OVER 300 M2/S2 0-3 KM SRH.  
EXPECTING A CONTINUED THREAT FOR INTENSE TORNADOES /EF3+/ FOR THE  
NEXT HOUR OR SO.  
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