Cold Rain Posted April 15, 2014 Share Posted April 15, 2014 Yeah CR they take it away for RDU. but increase it for Waycross!! Yup. Queue Metal describing how the storms will fall apart just to his west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AJF0602 Posted April 15, 2014 Share Posted April 15, 2014 Sun breaking out here at the coast, wonder if it'll be enough to get things going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted April 15, 2014 Share Posted April 15, 2014 Just East of Fayetteville... 5 N Stedman [Cumberland Co, NC] PUBLIC reports TSTM WND DMG at 7:25 AM EDT -- MULTIPLE TREES SNAPPED...SOME DAMAGE TO A CAR...AND MINOR DAMAGE TO TWO HOMES ON ROYAL WILLIAMS ROAD. NWS SURVEY TEAM WILL MEET PROPERTY OWNER WED MORNING TO INVESTIGATE POSSIBLE TORNADO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disco-lemonade Posted April 15, 2014 Share Posted April 15, 2014 Just East of Fayetteville... 5 N Stedman [Cumberland Co, NC] PUBLIC reports TSTM WND DMG at 7:25 AM EDT -- MULTIPLE TREES SNAPPED...SOME DAMAGE TO A CAR...AND MINOR DAMAGE TO TWO HOMES ON ROYAL WILLIAMS ROAD. NWS SURVEY TEAM WILL MEET PROPERTY OWNER WED MORNING TO INVESTIGATE POSSIBLE TORNADO. I believe it, im a little ways west of Fay, and that line of storms was very impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCsandhills Posted April 15, 2014 Share Posted April 15, 2014 Crazy storm in Fay right now. I'm in class and we can't even hear the teacher over the rain and wind. My chem teacher said this morning his car got damaged from the wind, and he had to take a phone call during class so I wonder if that is him ^^^^^ would be weird Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCsandhills Posted April 15, 2014 Share Posted April 15, 2014 Wow! The vents on the roof are slamming open and shut! That's cool. The people not from here are freaking out lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted April 17, 2014 Share Posted April 17, 2014 PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 258 PM EDT WED APR 16 2014 ...NWS RALEIGH CONFIRMS THAT A MICROBURST/STRAIGHT-LINE WIND DAMAGE OCCURRED 4.25 MILES EAST OF EASTOVER IN CUMBERLAND COUNTY NORTH CAROLINA... LOCATION...4.25 MILES EAST OF EASTOVER IN CUMBERLAND COUNTY NORTH CAROLINA DATE...APRIL 15, 2014 ESTIMATED TIME...7:20 AM EDT ESTIMATED MAXIMUM WIND SPEED...60 TO 65 MPH * FATALITIES...0 * INJURIES...0 * THE INFORMATION IN THIS STATEMENT IS PRELIMINARY AND SUBJECT TO CHANGE PENDING FINAL REVIEW OF THE EVENT(S) AND PUBLICATION IN NWS STORM DATA. ...SUMMARY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH NC HAS CONFIRMED THAT A MICROBURST/STRAIGHT-LINE WIND DAMAGE OCCURRED 4.25 MILES EAST OF EASTOVER IN CUMBERLAND COUNTY NORTH CAROLINA ON APRIL 15, 2014. A STORM SURVEY WAS CONDUCTED THIS MORNING AT THE DAMAGE SITE. DAMAGE INCLUDED SEVERAL TREES AND TREE BRANCHES THAT WERE SNAPPED AND CARRIED DOWNWIND (IN A STRAIGHT-LINE FASHION) APPROXIMATELY 30 YARDS...ALONG WITH TWO TREES THAT WERE BLOWN OVER...IN THE SAME DIRECTION. IN ADDITION...ONE MOBILE HOME SUSTAINED DAMAGE WHICH INCLUDED SHINGLE REMOVAL ON THE UPWIND SIDE OF THE ROOF...SIDING PEELED AWAY FROM THE FRAME...ONE BROKEN WINDOW AS A RESULT OF DEBRIS BLOWN INTO IT...AND A PORTION OF THE BASE BLOCKS WHICH WERE PUSHED OVER. A WINDOW OF A VEHICLE PARKED AT THE RESIDENCE WAS SHATTERED AS A TREE BRANCH FLEW INTO IT. A NEIGHBORING HOME ALSO HAD SOME MINOR SIDING DAMAGE. FINALLY...A CARPORT WAS UPLIFTED AND CARRIED ACROSS THE ROAD...AND LANDED IN A PATTERN SIMILAR TO THE TREE DAMAGE...WHICH ALSO SUGGESTED STRAIGHT-LINE WIND DAMAGE. THE NATURE AND DEGREE OF DAMAGE SUGGESTED A MAXIMUM WIND GUST OF 60 TO 65 MPH. THIS INFORMATION CAN ALSO BE FOUND ON OUR WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV/RAH. FOR REFERENCE... A MICROBURST IS A CONVECTIVE DOWNDRAFT WITH AN AFFECTED OUTFLOW AREA OF LESS THAN 2 1/2 MILES WIDE AND PEAK WINDS LASTING LESS THAN 5 MINUTES. MICROBURSTS MAY INDUCE DANGEROUS HORIZONTAL/VERTICAL WIND SHEARS...WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT AIRCRAFT PERFORMANCE AND CAUSE PROPERTY DAMAGE. STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS ARE GENERALLY ANY WIND THAT IS NOT ASSOCIATED WITH ROTATION...USED MAINLY TO DIFFERENTIATE THEM FROM TORNADIC WINDS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nrgjeff Posted April 22, 2014 Share Posted April 22, 2014 Next Tuesday the European runs have been hinting at possible severe for the Carolinas. Day 8 is a crap shoot, but we need to discuss something on the severe thread. Weekend Plains system ejects into the Upper Midwest. New jet energy is forecast to come out of Texas, through the Tenn Valley Monday, and over the Carolinas Tuesday. Monday a new surface low develops in the Mississippi Valley but by Tuesday the Euro has it in the Midwest. GFS has it approaching the Carolinas, more bullish for severe. Both have southern jet stream energy over the region. Iff perfect progs, a big if 8 days out, Tuesday is worth watching in the Carolinas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted April 22, 2014 Share Posted April 22, 2014 Good point, Jeff. I was paying attention to 12z Euro thanks to that upcoming severe weather event in Plains, but that 12z run was a real eye opener now that Dixie Alley might come in play Monday/Tuesday with that secondary low forming in Southern Plains. We'll have to see where the models take that low if we want severe weather event in Carolinas, but 8 days is a long time away. At least it's something for this thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted April 22, 2014 Share Posted April 22, 2014 Next Tuesday the European runs have been hinting at possible severe for the Carolinas. Day 8 is a crap shoot, but we need to discuss something on the severe thread. Weekend Plains system ejects into the Upper Midwest. New jet energy is forecast to come out of Texas, through the Tenn Valley Monday, and over the Carolinas Tuesday. Monday a new surface low develops in the Mississippi Valley but by Tuesday the Euro has it in the Midwest. GFS has it approaching the Carolinas, more bullish for severe. Both have southern jet stream energy over the region. Iff perfect progs, a big if 8 days out, Tuesday is worth watching in the Carolinas. I just said something about this in the spring discussion thread The last few days of watching as the models turn, has piqued my interest for next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted April 23, 2014 Share Posted April 23, 2014 This April has been unusually quiet for severe weather. I saw the other day that this April has had the lowest number of tornadoes for April in the past 60 years. Looks like NC could see some storms Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted April 23, 2014 Share Posted April 23, 2014 This April has been unusually quiet for severe weather. I saw the other day that this April has had the lowest number of tornadoes for April in the past 60 years. Looks like NC could see some storms Friday. Also a threat of severe weather Tues of next week, something to watch. This Friday won't be much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted April 23, 2014 Share Posted April 23, 2014 Also a threat of severe weather Tues of next week, something to watch. This Friday won't be much. Yeah looks like Dixie Alley will fire up for the first time this year. Should be fun to track and it will be interesting to see if we can get rotating super cells into the carolinas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted April 24, 2014 Share Posted April 24, 2014 Yeah looks like Dixie Alley will fire up for the first time this year. Should be fun to track and it will be interesting to see if we can get rotating super cells into the carolinas. I'm pretty surprised about lack of discussion on Dixie Alley event Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted April 24, 2014 Author Share Posted April 24, 2014 I'm pretty surprised about lack of discussion on Dixie Alley event Monday. Generally the Dixie Alley outbreaks are discussed in the central/west forum or I imagine the newly created Tenn Valley forums.....once the system gets into GA and the Carolinas there will be a event specific thread for it on the SE forum I am sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted April 24, 2014 Share Posted April 24, 2014 Will be interesting seeing how this all plays out. This has been one of the slowest starts to severe weather season that I can remember. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted April 24, 2014 Share Posted April 24, 2014 Euro favoring areas such as Rockingham, NC on the 00z run for severe potential on Tuesday afternoon. Cape values look to range between 1500-2000 in that area with spots of 2500+. Also a good bit of potential energy over central GA. Also shows a nice sliver of 70%+ relative humidity across that area of NC. Parts of eastern NC with close to 100% RH. With decent convergence over the area I think we will see at least a slight risk area across central NC, eastern NC, central and eastern SC, and central GA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted April 24, 2014 Share Posted April 24, 2014 Generally the Dixie Alley outbreaks are discussed in the central/west forum or I imagine the newly created Tenn Valley forums.....once the system gets into GA and the Carolinas there will be a event specific thread for it on the SE forum I am sure. Going to be interesting to see what happens today in that region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted April 24, 2014 Share Posted April 24, 2014 Generally the Dixie Alley outbreaks are discussed in the central/west forum or I imagine the newly created Tenn Valley forums.....once the system gets into GA and the Carolinas there will be a event specific thread for it on the SE forum I am sure. Oh I see. I've been keeping up with the discussion in central/west subforum but I kinda figured there's Dixie Alley posters discussing this storm somewhere. Going to be interesting to see what happens today in that region. Not as interesting as Monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted April 24, 2014 Share Posted April 24, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted April 24, 2014 Share Posted April 24, 2014 I was just going to post that graphic, too. Would be fun to have some boomers tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted April 24, 2014 Share Posted April 24, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted April 24, 2014 Share Posted April 24, 2014 From RAH FRIDAY: THE CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASETHROUGH THE DAY FRIDAY...FROM WEST TO EAST...AS THE WARM FRONT LIFTSNORTHWARD AND A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. MODELS CONTINUETO SHOW GOOD INSTABILITY OF 500-1500 J/KG AND SHEAR OF 40-50 KTSFRIDAY AFT/EVE. THE SPC HAS UPGRADED MUCH OF THE AREA TO SLIGHT RISKFOR SEVERE STORMS FOR TOMORROW AFTERNOON...WITH THE MAIN THREATSEXPECTED TO BE HAIL AND LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS. AN ISOLATED TORNADOCANNOT BE RULED OUT...SHOULD SOME DIFFERENTIAL HEATING BOUNDARIES TOSET UP EARLY IN THE DAY. FORECAST INSTABILITY AND CYCLONICALLYCURVED FORECAST HODOGRAPHS...WITH SRH VALUES IN THE 100-300 M2/S2RANGE WOULD ALSO SUPPORT A LOW TORNADO THREAT. OTHERWISE...EXPECTSOUTHERLY WINDS OF 10-15 KTS...GUSTING TO AROUND 20 KTS AND HIGHS INTHE MID TO UPPER 70S DURING THE DAY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted April 24, 2014 Share Posted April 24, 2014 And the latest HWO out of RAH .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENINGMAY BECOME SEVERE...WITH PRIMARY THREATS OF LARGE HAIL ANDDAMAGING WINDS. IF SEVERE WEATHER WOULD OCCUR...IT WOULD MOSTLIKELY OCCUR BETWEEN 3 PM AND 9 PM. THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN AND STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...IN AN UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN...WILL EXIST EARLY TO MID NEXTWEEK..SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED FRIDAY...AND AGAIN AT TIMESNEXT WEEK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SluggerWx Posted April 25, 2014 Share Posted April 25, 2014 BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 658 PM CDT THU APR 24 2014 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... NORTHERN HUMPHREYS COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI... SOUTHERN SUNFLOWER COUNTY IN NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI... EAST CENTRAL WASHINGTON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI... * UNTIL 800 PM CDT * AT 658 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR DARLOVE...AND MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted April 25, 2014 Share Posted April 25, 2014 BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 658 PM CDT THU APR 24 2014 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... NORTHERN HUMPHREYS COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI... SOUTHERN SUNFLOWER COUNTY IN NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI... EAST CENTRAL WASHINGTON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI... * UNTIL 800 PM CDT * AT 658 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR DARLOVE...AND MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH. Pretty decent couplet but doesn't look like per radar that it is reaching the ground yet. Edit: Continues to tighten will be interesting to see if there is any ground truth to this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted April 25, 2014 Share Posted April 25, 2014 There is a little bit of a hole on the correlation coefficient (low correlation) next to this velocity couplet about 4 mi SW of Lexington MS. I don't know if this is a very obvious indicator of a tornado, or just a weird blip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted April 25, 2014 Share Posted April 25, 2014 There is a little bit of a hole on the correlation coefficient (low correlation) next to this velocity couplet about 4 mi SW of Lexington MS. I don't know if this is a very obvious indicator of a tornado, or just a weird blip. Thats where the lowering looks to be on the enhanced echo tops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted April 25, 2014 Share Posted April 25, 2014 DGX radar seeing strong velocity couplet just east of Lexington MS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted April 25, 2014 Share Posted April 25, 2014 Supercell separating itself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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