CoastalWx Posted March 5, 2014 Share Posted March 5, 2014 It's pretty much a convergence zone over ORH county if you look at the winds. That slowly moves east this evening. Someone may get a lucky inch or even two there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randy4Confluence Posted March 5, 2014 Share Posted March 5, 2014 Kudos for starting this thread. Any snow, in all shapes and sizes,is worth tracking imo. We've only seen a few flakes so far, but what noteworthy is the size of the flakes. NOAA is giving us 1-2 around here. Sent from my VS980 4G using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 5, 2014 Share Posted March 5, 2014 It's pretty much a convergence zone over ORH county if you look at the winds. That slowly moves east this evening. Someone may get a lucky inch or even two there. Even the GFS has a decent little area of lift over ORH county later...funny to see on the global model. I think someone can get 1-2"...prob where that convergence zone sets up for a couple hours. Might get some 3/4 mile vis snows or something like that...maybe even brief moderate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 5, 2014 Share Posted March 5, 2014 It's pretty much a convergence zone over ORH county if you look at the winds. That slowly moves east this evening. Someone may get a lucky inch or even two there. Noyes implies that extends all the way down into NE CT..makes sense with the hills and lift. We'll see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 5, 2014 Share Posted March 5, 2014 Noyes implies that extends all the way down into NE CT..makes sense with the hills and lift. We'll see Right..it always has to include them. It doesn't really have much to do with hills. It's more convergence along a boundary..maybe east slopes of ORH hills adds a bit of enhancement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 5, 2014 Share Posted March 5, 2014 Right..it always has to include them. It doesn't really have much to do with hills. It's more convergence along a boundary..maybe east slopes of ORH hills adds a bit of enhancement. The hills certainly help with systems like this..Just a bit of elevation and you get some extra lift. Again maybe it's the difference of 1 inch vs 1.5..but it's quite evident on mesos Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 5, 2014 Share Posted March 5, 2014 Noyes implies that extends all the way down into NE CT..makes sense with the hills and lift. We'll see If the hills add anything, it would be well to your east...more like the NW RI hills and east slope of ORH hills...you are too far west for mesoscale terrain enhancement. Just hope the convergence zone sets up far enough SW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 5, 2014 Share Posted March 5, 2014 GInxy may do ok. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted March 5, 2014 Share Posted March 5, 2014 GInxy may do ok. I will be out there waiting patiently for a few flakes to fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 5, 2014 Share Posted March 5, 2014 Just flurries here all morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 5, 2014 Share Posted March 5, 2014 I think cstl pym county and probably ORH hills to Monads are the best spot. Might get the 7/10 split here locally, but it would be nice for a refresher on the old snow and exposed grass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 5, 2014 Share Posted March 5, 2014 WaWa might be a good spot later this afternoon and evening....if we're searching for those 2" "jackpots". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Posted March 5, 2014 Share Posted March 5, 2014 3/4 of an inch here been snowing lightly since 5am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 5, 2014 Share Posted March 5, 2014 NAM has those two seperate areas highlighted...the central MA/SW NH stuff and then the OES enhancement from Cape Ann to the South Shore...with winds backed, I def think that will develop later on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 5, 2014 Share Posted March 5, 2014 Pretty much what the RPM has too. I like those areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 5, 2014 Share Posted March 5, 2014 Pretty much what the RPM has too. I like those areas. Its often harder to get OES this time fo year with waters at their climatological coldest...but its also not that often we have like 850 temps of -14C or -15C with winds backed from the NE in March either...so we should def see some stuff. At least the boundary layer won't be an issue, lol. 950mb temps are like -10C. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 5, 2014 Share Posted March 5, 2014 NAM total qpf, and those Hackey sack players on the Common Sat , Boston backdoored Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 5, 2014 Share Posted March 5, 2014 A nice burst in CON right now with great snow growth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 5, 2014 Share Posted March 5, 2014 Its often harder to get OES this time fo year with waters at their climatological coldest...but its also not that often we have like 850 temps of -14C or -15C with winds backed from the NE in March either...so we should def see some stuff. At least the boundary layer won't be an issue, lol. 950mb temps are like -10C. That's a classic direction for the rt 3 corridor from like Rockland-Duxbury or so. RPM backs it to my area..but I think just SE of me is more favorable. We had a nice ocean enhanced event in March 8-9 2004 as well, but that almost was an inv trough with some widespread snows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted March 5, 2014 Share Posted March 5, 2014 Nice little burst of light snow with great flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 5, 2014 Share Posted March 5, 2014 Def gonna be some fun surprise areas later today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 5, 2014 Share Posted March 5, 2014 0.8" snow this am, Back out snow blowing now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 5, 2014 Share Posted March 5, 2014 That's a classic direction for the rt 3 corridor from like Rockland-Duxbury or so. RPM backs it to my area..but I think just SE of me is more favorable. We had a nice ocean enhanced event in March 8-9 2004 as well, but that almost was an inv trough with some widespread snows. Today is basically an inverted trough...albeit not very defined, though you can see the kinks in the high pressure field extending NW as this thing approaches. We'll see what happens this afternoon, but stuff could blossom decently. The soundings are extremely favorable so if we can just get a nice area of convergence to focus some lift through that, then someone could see a surprise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 5, 2014 Share Posted March 5, 2014 I'm expecting at least one inch in all of NE Ct Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 5, 2014 Share Posted March 5, 2014 I'm expecting at least one inch in all of NE Ct Better hope the guidance is a bit too far east if you want an inch...all the mesos (RPM, NAM, RAP, etc) keep the accumulating snow mostly from extreme NE CT (like Windham county) to NW RI and northeastward. But surprises do happen with these, so who knows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted March 5, 2014 Share Posted March 5, 2014 the other day necn had a burst of snow here in the valley, doesnt sound like thats on the table Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 5, 2014 Share Posted March 5, 2014 the other day necn had a burst of snow here in the valley, doesnt sound like thats on the table I think most of the region will probably at least see flakes today...its more on where that convergence boundary sets up for trying to figure where someone gets 1-2". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MainePhotog Posted March 5, 2014 Share Posted March 5, 2014 0.8" snow this am, Back out snow blowing now Nice! Makes for a nice covering on those ugly roadside piles of snow. My wife measured 0.75" on the board from the snowfall this am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 5, 2014 Share Posted March 5, 2014 You can def see the OES starting to get going east of Cape Ann/BOS and moving south as the backing NE wind freshens a bit. That looks like it will impact the South Shore in a couple hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 5, 2014 Share Posted March 5, 2014 My folks FTW with that trajectory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.