JetsPens87 Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 You tell me which one looks better for the NYC area, by no means does it look good: 18z 0z Look at the total qpf for nyc... It's much less at 00z. I'm sorry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 another big shift south by the NAM exactly what I expected.. exactly what i was saying earlier Philly might get screwed.. 10-14" for the southern Jersey area is just way to high of a forecast.. Yes we have seen many storms trend less snowy but this is crazy.. 06z Friday morning we were all gitty on getting 12"+ up through SNE now it has shifted 200+miles south and DC is on the northern edge of the heaviest precip crazy.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
monmouthcounty11 Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Look at the total qpf for nyc... It's much less at 00z. I'm sorry Yes, the one frame was better but it is much less. .5 line will barely get to ACY on this run, pretty crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Wow, if the 0z nam is right, even philly has a hard time getting in on the "bigger totals" They are where we were last night. 2 to 5 inches north to south. They looked cooked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 another big shift south by the NAM exactly what I expected.. exactly what i was saying earlier Philly might get screwed.. 10-14" for the southern Jersey area is just way to high of a forecast.. Yes we have seen many storms trend less snowy but this is crazy.. 06z Friday morning we were all gitty on getting 12"+ up through SNE now it has shifted 200+miles south and DC is on the northern edge of the heaviest precip crazy.. either they're right on the crazy shift or the models collectively crapped the bed. what a crazy trend though away from a possible snowstorm from 06z Friday morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 either they're right on the crazy shift or the models collectively crapped the bed. what a crazy trend though away from a possible snowstorm from 06z Friday morning Unless the other models tonight reverse the trend, it's probably over. Just is what it is. Onto the next threat I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tdp146 Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 is it possible that this could be so suppressed that it eventually circles the globe and approaches us from the north? probably not enough time for that. i guess. That's been my forecast all along. Double reverse suppressed system. Very rare. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
robbers079 Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 I have a hard time seeing DC and south getting a foot. Think the highest totals will be in CNJ / SNJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
monmouthcounty11 Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 The difference between the 12z NAM and 0z is pretty significant, a good 75-100 miles south, maybe even a little more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 We will get in on the initial wave, you could see places overproduce locally but at this point who knows. I'm happy too that it's looking less like a near miss as the main storm continues shifting south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Plowsman Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Wait. .. When was this ever a mega epic event? And no... It's still going to snow (we think) but for cnj it's gonna be less than the initial potential. Apologies in order. These phrases were def tossed 'round for THIS storm..(12 - 18"+ CNJ) .not here however. In fact, believe it wuz good ol Al Roker a few days ago. The CNJ Plowsman Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JetsPens87 Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Apologies in order. These phrases were def tossed 'round for THIS storm..(12 - 18"+ CNJ) .not here however. In fact, believe it wuz good ol Al Roker a few days ago. The CNJ Plowsman Oh no apologies necessary my friend. I wasn't saying you were calling it a major storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 I have a hard time seeing DC and south getting a foot. Think the highest totals will be in CNJ / SNJ not all snow until about D.C. the heaviest totals will be just north of that line.. looks like D.C. or just south based on NAM.. 3-4" qpf kentucky tennessee line but a lot of sleet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Unless the other models tonight reverse the trend, it's probably over. Just is what it is. Onto the next threat I guess. I gotten eatin alive for saying that yesterday lol but most those people are nowhere to be found today lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 4k NAM is stronger with the first wave and south at the same time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 That's been my forecast all along. Double reverse suppressed system. Very rare. I wouldn't get my hopes up yet.....but if by 6z, the jackpot is central/southern Mexico, I think it is a distinct possibility that it could approach from the north and continue trending Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sickman Posted March 2, 2014 Author Share Posted March 2, 2014 For the love of G-d! PLEASE keep this thread for storm obs... we have a banter thread for the OT stuff. It's not that hard, people. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 The next threat might be next December so I'm keeping all my fingers crossed for this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 4k NAM is stronger with the first wave and south at the same time. Looks like 2-3" total, though. Still has a hard time even getting anythjng significant more into PHL, 1st and 2nd combined Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
monmouthcounty11 Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 4km NAM is drier and south of 18z as well and pretty significantly, nobody around here is getting to .5 on this as well. The 4km NAM matches up very well to the regular NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUMG11 Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Why are you people wanting more than 3-6....its still going to snow...dont understand the giving up posts...its just not going to snow as much as you want. Stop trying to hang onto some upton disco as reason you are getting a foot Wasn't aware of your almighty forecasting abilities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 The next threat might be next December so I'm keeping all my fingers crossed for this. Mod right above you just asked for you NOT to do this. Also dont rest on the end of the week threat for friday as well, it has legs its warm but it is there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFox Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 OOZ RGEM rolling..light snow showers at 1:00 PM tomorrow. Other stuff over southwest PA and trending south.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
killabud Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 not sure how it compares to it's last run but rgem looks pretty decent to me still Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 We really need storm mode. Anyway GFS has initialized. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFox Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 not sure how it compares to it's last run but rgem looks pretty decent to me still Only light snow.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Yanks are u doing pbp of gfs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Wow the GFS is warm for tomorrow. 850's and surface north of NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
friedmators Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 for levity Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 I have a hard time seeing DC and south getting a foot. Think the highest totals will be in CNJ / SNJ Good luck with your call Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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