IWXwx Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 That post wasn't intended to come across as "bittercasting." But I did want to state for the record that it would be quite annoying as heck, considering Detroit's overall winter weather stats versus its big dog stats, if yet another one big dog misses in either direction. If it's a 6-10" type of deal with both storms, eh, I can live with missing both of them. Saved for bump trolling purposes next winter when he's begging for a 6" snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 Saved for bump trolling purposes next winter when he's begging for a 6" snow. Be my guest. I'm mainly referring to this season (and getting a big dog). We've had plenty of those 6-10" snows this season, even if many of them came in not-so ideal ways. So missing these next two events if they're not big dogs would not be the end of the world in this season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 Be my guest. I'm mainly referring to this season (and getting a big dog). We've had plenty of those 6-10" snows this season, even if many of them came in not-so ideal ways. So missing these next two events if they're not big dogs would not be the end of the world in this season. We have had 6 events over 6" here this winter (and 4 over 8" imby, 2 of which were over 10"). I certainly cannot even be mad if something misses us (and I doubt they will be massive 12"+ storms). But Id REALLY like to somehow, some way get 3" to break the 1880-81 record. We have had record snowpack this winter, so if it has to come down to a 3" slop storm in April that melts in 5 hours, so be it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 EURO/EURO ensembles show some modest potential with that D7 storm. If NAO can go negative I'd be more enthused but models are all over the place, with a tendency towards keeping it weakly +. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 EURO/EURO ensembles show some modest potential with that D7 storm. If NAO can go negative I'd be more enthused but models are all over the place, with a tendency towards keeping it weakly +. The 12z euro looks really interesting as well (6-8" for the GTA). Tough system to forecast as models are showing a very narrow band of +SN, which just happens to be right over the GTA this run. Small shifts one way or another will make big differences. Curious to see if the 12z run of the ensembles are onboard as well. There are hints of some EB -NAO blocking showing up on the euro OP, although not as much as you would like to see in late march. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 The 12z euro looks really interesting as well (6-8" for the GTA). Tough system to forecast as models are showing a very narrow band of +SN, which just happens to be right over the GTA this run. Small shifts one way or another will make big differences. Curious to see if the 12z run of the ensembles are onboard as well. There are hints of some EB -NAO blocking showing up on the euro OP, although not as much as you would like to see in late march. EURO ensembles generally supportive, although there's a bit of spread to the NW. I got fly back to Toronto on Thursday, just for the weekend. Would be nice to cash in while I'm there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 EURO ensembles generally supportive, although there's a bit of spread to the NW. I got fly back to Toronto on Thursday, just for the weekend. Would be nice to cash in while I'm there. Would be ironic if we did get a storm and it delayed or cancelled your flight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 Would be ironic if we did get a storm and it delayed or cancelled your flight. Not sure I see the irony. It would suck massive balls that's for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 it is never going to end Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 Not sure I see the irony. It would suck massive balls that's for sure. The irony would be that, like all of us here, you love snow and tracking storms and yet it could potentially be that very thing that you love that prevents you from getting home that weekend. That would be awful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 it is never going to end What will TWC name the new ice age? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 The irony would be that, like all of us here, you love snow and tracking storms and yet it could potentially be that very thing that you love that prevents you from getting home that weekend. That would be awful. Well, good news is that if it happens it looks like a Friday night-Sat morning event. GEM appears to be a decent moderate hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 12z euro has stronger EB blocking this run, so track is further south with the friday into saturday system. 8"+ amounts just north of troy, MI and over towards Goderich/YXU. 4-6" amounts for detroit and the GTA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 12z euro has stronger EB blocking this run, so track is further south with the friday into saturday system. 8"+ amounts just north of troy, MI and over towards Goderich/YXU. 4-6" amounts for detroit and the GTA. I though we'd be bullseyed based on the sfc track alone. Won't turn down shoveling 4-6" though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 Today I think has pushed me closer to the edge. One more decent storm to get FNT and DTW to blow by these yearly records and then it is time to move on. Regardless I will just enjoy whatever mama sends our way!!! Can't doing anything to change it!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAFF Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 If its going to be cold like today it might as well snow too. Hate to lose the all time record over a few inches. The turn to spring has been made, it might take some time to revert to all the time warmth but the sun is doing its best to kill the winter blues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 Today I think has pushed me closer to the edge. One more decent storm to get FNT and DTW to blow by these yearly records and then it is time to move on. Regardless I will just enjoy whatever mama sends our way!!! Can't doing anything to change it!! I hate winter days without snow. Can't stand the cold. Snow is the only thing that makes it tolerable, but I really love snow which is kind of ironic. If it isn't going to snow I'd rather it was between 85 and 100 every day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 globally, this has been one of the warmest winters ever in the north. But this is the OV/Lakes subforum and it certainly hasn't been warm here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 just glanced at the 0z euro/gfs...looking pretty grim cold and dry, just doesn't get much worse LONGERRANGE OUTLOOKS SUGGEST A CONTINUATION OF BELOW OR MUCH BELOW AVERAGETEMPERATURES EVEN BEYOND THE DAY 7 PERIOD...WITH THE ECMWF FOR THEPAST COUPLE RUNS SUGGESTING THE POTENTIAL FOR TEMPERATURE NOTTERRIBLY FAR FROM RECORD COLD LEVELS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 Long as the snow cover stays away, I can tolerate the below normal temps for a few more weeks. It's when we get into April a little bit, is when it gets annoying. GFS warms it up a bit come the 28th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 Long as the snow cover stays away, I can tolerate the below normal temps for a few more weeks. It's when we get into April a little bit, is when it gets annoying. GFS warms it up a bit come the 28th. lol, this is BS. You can tolerate the cold but if a big storm shows up threatening to drop 8-12" you'll freak? No chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 lol, this is BS. You can tolerate the cold but if a big storm shows up threatening to drop 8-12" you'll freak? No chance. My point is that if there is snow hanging around it's just going to delay everything further. At least when it does flip to a favorable mild flow, you don't have to waste anytime dealing with fog, drizzle, and an inversion because the snow is trying to keep the temperature from rising. Temperatures can turn on a dime this time of year when a southerly and westerly flow takes hold - w/no snow cover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 endless cold NW flow is all we have to look forward to for the next month+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 endless cold NW flow is all we have to look forward to for the next month+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 pattern has been locked in for so long, no reason to think it won't stay locked in for many more months Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 GFS showing mid 30s for that cool shot depicted above. Still in fantasy land though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 pattern has been locked in for so long, no reason to think it won't stay locked in for many more months Don't say that please, I want 80s and sun very soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAFF Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 Don't say that please, I want 80s and sun very soon. Florida might be a good destination of choice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 GFS showing mid 30s for that cool shot depicted above. Still in fantasy land though. Yeah Monday night before the brunt of it gets down here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 Yeah Monday night before the brunt of it gets down here. Gets close to 15° at 216hr in the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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