TalcottWx Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 interestingly they didn't delete your troll post about and 12/9/05. I was discussing evolution based on one model run and upper air similarities. Mets complain about reading comprehension and posts get deleted yet... Story is not done yet, another now cast. Should bbe an interesting evolution hopefully better forecast than the LI NYC SWCT stuff from this morning Going to respond in banter thread and quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Not only interior Maine getting crushed right now. I just had one of the worst commutes home I have ever experienced. And my route was nearly all coastal. I-95 & I-295, RT. 1. Took 3 hours to go from Portland to the south end of Bath. Normally a 50 minute commute. Visibility at times was ~50 feet with 3+" an hour snowfall. It's still ripping out there. Winds gusting to 30 mph. 26°Fhuge congrats right there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Could this be qualified as a pseudo swfe? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MainePhotog Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 huge congrats right there Thanks, Steve! Now that I'm safe at home and reflect on it, it was epic! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 just saw the HRRR holy**** if that were to happen alot of surprises for some http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/HRRR/displayMapLocalDiskDateDomainZip.cgi?keys=hrrr_jet:&runtime=2014021322&plot_type=acsnw_sfc&fcst=15&time_inc=60&num_times=16&model=hrrr&ptitle=HRRR%20Model%20Fields%20-%20Experimental&maxFcstLen=15&fcstStrLen=-1&domain=full&adtfn=1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 23z RAP and 22z HRRR very similar in handling things. Not bad for some holding out hope for an inch or two in the east and a little more west. Can you quantify "a little more west"? I'll be interested to see if you stay snow or flip over. I'm really hoping that Mount Snow is able to stay all snow and they don't get some ugly glaze of ZR in the middle of the pack. They should be fine and get rocked. No ZR here yet--just needles at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Thanks, Steve! Now that I'm safe at home and reflect on it, it was epic! It really does suck to be behind the wheel in a storm. Of any type really. Let me be at home and enjoy it safely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 just saw the HRRR holy**** if that were to happen alot of surprises for some http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/HRRR/displayMapLocalDiskDateDomainZip.cgi?keys=hrrr_jet:&runtime=2014021322&plot_type=acsnw_sfc&fcst=15&time_inc=60&num_times=16&model=hrrr&ptitle=HRRR%20Model%20Fields%20-%20Experimental&maxFcstLen=15&fcstStrLen=-1&domain=full&adtfn=1 Yes.....that would be just a bit of a surprise for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 just saw the HRRR holy**** if that were to happen alot of surprises for some http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/HRRR/displayMapLocalDiskDateDomainZip.cgi?keys=hrrr_jet:&runtime=2014021322&plot_type=acsnw_sfc&fcst=15&time_inc=60&num_times=16&model=hrrr&ptitle=HRRR%20Model%20Fields%20-%20Experimental&maxFcstLen=15&fcstStrLen=-1&domain=full&adtfn=1 See where it has the ULL positioned? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 I think you guys get smoked It really does suck to be behind the wheel in a storm. Of any type really. Let me be at home and enjoy it safely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 See where it has the ULL positioned? Over you. You want it east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 im all in for this one no matter what peoples opinions are looks great for you points west in my opinion See where it has the ULL positioned? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Over you. You want it east.I thought that was it s of RI? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Man, that wind is howling. Looks like the precip is really blowing up. Already coming into NYC. My daughter in Severna Park, MD (on the coast next to Annapolis) said it's snowing hard down there after rain this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 I thought that was it s of RI? http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/HRRR/jsloopLocalDiskDateDomainZip.cgi?dsKeys=hrrr_jet:&runTime=2014021322&plotName=vort_t3500&fcstInc=60&numFcsts=16&model=hrrr&ptitle=HRRR%20Model%20Fields%20-%20Experimental&maxFcstLen=15&fcstStrLen=-1&resizePlot=1&domain=t3 However, if this low rapidly develops, it can act to pull things a little more east which would ticle you with the SW side of that. It's a close call...I would not totally rule out a mesoscale band of 2-4 there,.but that would be extremely localized if it even did happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leesun Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 just saw the HRRR holy**** if that were to happen alot of surprises for some http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/HRRR/displayMapLocalDiskDateDomainZip.cgi?keys=hrrr_jet:&runtime=2014021322&plot_type=acsnw_sfc&fcst=15&time_inc=60&num_times=16&model=hrrr&ptitle=HRRR%20Model%20Fields%20-%20Experimental&maxFcstLen=15&fcstStrLen=-1&domain=full&adtfn=1 [/q That is a major shift eastward for the heavier access for us from the 21Z run. I think that run had 2-3". But you have to remember that some of that is going to be sleet That is a major shift eastward for the heavier access for us from the 21Z run. I think that run had 2-3". But you have to remember that some of that is going to be sleet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/HRRR/jsloopLocalDiskDateDomainZip.cgi?dsKeys=hrrr_jet:&runTime=2014021322&plotName=vort_t3500&fcstInc=60&numFcsts=16&model=hrrr&ptitle=HRRR%20Model%20Fields%20-%20Experimental&maxFcstLen=15&fcstStrLen=-1&resizePlot=1&domain=t3 However, if this low rapidly develops, it can act to pull things a little more east which would ticle you with the SW side of that. It's a close call...I would not totally rule out a mesoscale band of 2-4 there,.but that would be extremely localized if it even did happen. Scott--do you think the HRRR is on crack with that depiction/placement? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 just set my alarm for 130 hoping to weenie out for a bit tonight looking at the nam when it comes out the going to bed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Could this be qualified as a pseudo swfe? this is as miller A as it gets imo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 just set my alarm for 130 hoping to weenie out for a bit tonight looking at the nam when it comes out the going to bed I'm hoping that thunder serves as my alarm clock. That is a major shift eastward for the heavier access for us from the 21Z run. I think that run had 2-3". But you have to remember that some of that is going to be sleet Must be the kicker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Scott--do you think the HRRR is on crack with that depiction/placement? i hope you stay up for this if hrrrrrrrr verifies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Feeling good for at least 6 inches tonight. Would love to cash in on 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Feeling good for at least 6 inches tonight. Would love to cash in on 12 i think you are dreaming. 2-5 maybe for your area. i am out of the game on this one, maybe an inch if i am lucky Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Man, this deserves /needs a response in the banter thread... Feeling good for at least 6 inches tonight. Would love to cash in on 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Feeling good for at least 6 inches tonight. Would love to cash in on 12 Man, this deserves /needs a response in the banter thread... That must be the stinger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 That must be the stinger. 6" of stinger will be easier to handle after the first 10" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Guys just keep in mind how much the models shifted this morning inside of 12 hours. Normally this is set in stone at this range but maybe not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Professional Lurker Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Feeling good for at least 6 inches tonight. Would love to cash in on 12 I'm hoping for 6" more tonight, in between greenfield and the vt line... We shall see! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Guys just keep in mind how much the models shifted this morning inside of 12 hours. Normally this is set in stone at this range but maybe notYup. Which is easier to determine the landing point, a softball tossed 5 ft in the air, or a NASCAR car hitting the wall and flying sideways across the track at 200mph? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Where the hell is the 23z hrrr? not loading? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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