N. OF PIKE Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 If the euro significantly weakens the front end ....the line at tobin should be 3 weenies deep for 128 to bos-pvd crew Can anyone post one of those meso net temp maps (on mobile) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Objectivity, and realism involves incorporating model output, not regurgitating it. Funny...you seemingly grasp this context when it comes to recognizing that the models' thermal fields are too warm, yet we must buy their CCB depictions over e MA with a low over CC??? Interesting. You need to employ meteorological/climatological common sense, and just know from experience when something is bogus. That was, which is why it is going poof as we hone in. 3-6" @ ORH about 25 minutes away is poof. Oh Okay. Your point is absolutely lost with me. Look at a model. The CCB really hits when the low is in the GOM northeast/east of us, if it does. So maybe that is leading to your confusion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 I might be more interested in the sat system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Rarely have i seen BOX as well as sne's best mets so unsure of the BVY-BOS-PVD corridor . Never. This is wrt front end thump P type. Epic battle of east winds against OMEGA. Also that little weenie high pressure trying to "bridge over from N of Lake Superior to the retreating high across Maine is another wild card in my mind wrt potential N drain and temp gradient tommorrow am. now cast time, switch up to radar, sat, WVs, models behind the eight ball, lots on the table good and bad. You want proof of modeling clueless right up to go time, go back and look at Jan 11 threads. Remember last night,today at this time how everyone was talking about how the Euro screwed DC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 5:50 A.M. flight to DFW from Logan on Friday... Any predictions? no CCB Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 3-6" @ ORH about 25 minutes away is poof. Oh Okay. Your point is absolutely lost with me. Look at a model. The CCB really hits when the low is in the GOM northeast/east of us, if it does. So maybe that is leading to your confusion. 1) Orh is 40 miles away 2) I meant "poof" as in over e MA. Central and western MA are favored for it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 now cast time, switch up to radar, sat, WVs, models behind the eight ball, lots on the table good and bad. You want proof of modeling clueless right up to go time, go back and look at Jan 11 threads. Remember last night,today at this time how everyone was talking about how the Euro screwed DCAre they getting the goods? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Ok, see you at verification. You are right, though...that post does pale in comparison to your 12/9/05 comparison. Kudos. listen dick I didn't compare it, only pointed the evolution of a model run, take your attitude and shove it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 At least I'm melting down over 1" of snow then 1.25" of rain. I knew I shouldn't have locked in the 2/9 12z Euro run! And before I get lectured by a met.. I am kidding about locking in 4 day model runs Classic coastal hugger. Maybe yourself over to the cape can cash in this weekend, but this one just never looked good for the coast imo. Especially when the amped solutions started popping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 is this thing supposed to jump to the coast...just looking at the radar, the current location of LP nw of Atlanta, looks like an apps runner Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 13, 2014 Author Share Posted February 13, 2014 Are they getting the goods? Yeah they will do well...the Euro didn't even screw them. Not sure where that idea came from earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 I'm not downplaying the event....its going to be a good snowstorm...all I'm arguing is backlash potential over e MA. That's it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 1) Orh is 40 miles away 2) I meant "poof" as in over e MA. Central and western MA are favored for it. Your first couple posts suggested that we should completely write off backlash POTENTIAL as a whole. Guess this is where we lost seeing eye to eye. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 LOL banter threads are the best Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 I'm not downplaying the event....its going to be a good snowstorm...all I'm arguing is backlash potential over e MA. That's it. It's less than likely that we get the core of it. I just hope it happens. Which you do too. I'm still going to track it and hope it comes east either way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 listen dick I didn't compare it, only pointed the evolution of a model run, take your attitude and shove it. Yes, that was abundantly clear....which is why Will called you on it. Have a great night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 is this thing supposed to jump to the coast...just looking at the radar, the current location of LP nw of Atlanta, looks like an apps runner that is ULL.. the new low is south of hatteras I believe, have not looked lately Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 I wonder if the trajectory of backside energy will take a more W-E path, than "normal climo " (for noreasters)due to the kicker This may mean MHT (not BOS) but just banterin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 I heard that DC was screwed earlier...then saw one of the wxbell maps giving them 2' feet. One weenie post to derail the masses. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Ok, see you at verification. You are right, though...that post does pale in comparison to your 12/9/05 comparison. Kudos. I agree, that was a true bomb and nearly perfect for SNE. this pales in comparison, not even in the ballpark to compare really. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 It's less than likely that we get the core of it. I just hope it happens. Which you do too. I'm still going to track it and hope it comes east either way. Yea, totally agree. Just seemed to be getting to you for a bit....don't lose the forest through the trees. We are getting a nice event, regardless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Yea, totally agree. Just seemed to be getting to you for a bit....don't lose the forest through the trees. We are getting a nice event, regardless. Hell, this could almost be a severe wx type event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Yea, totally agree. Just seemed to be getting to you for a bit....don't lose the forest through the trees. We are getting a nice event, regardless. I was irritated in the same time frame for deleted posts. Which oh by the way, I posted the question here, still hasn't been answered. You should have seen the Mid Atlantic threads. It looked like an African country during a civil war compared to 21st century United States here in SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Your first couple posts suggested that we should completely write off backlash POTENTIAL as a whole. Guess this is where we lost seeing eye to eye. Well, I can see how speaking in absolutes is perceived as arrogant....but we are 12 hours out, and its tending the wrong way lol. The mid levels have always been progged to favor west of here. Anyway, no worries....I'm with you on hoping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Yeah they will do well...the Euro didn't even screw them. Not sure where that idea came from earlier.warmer slower through 48.. juicyzwyts's Photozwyts Yesterday, 01:01 PM warmer...deform sets up well west of DC Ian's PhotoIan Yesterday, 01:02 PM low less impressive.. and kinda ugh after the front end thump zwyts's Photozwyts Yesterday, 01:04 PM through 60...~1.2 for DCA..more west....warmish...deform sets up well west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 LOL banter threads are the best +1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Hell, this could almost be a severe wx type event. Very memorable event in the grand scheme of things. Either way, my snowpack will be well over a foot. Zero complaints. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Well, I can see how speaking in absolutes is perceived as arrogant....but we are 12 hours out, and its tending the wrong way lol. The mid levels have always been progged to favor west of here. Anyway, no worries....I'm with you on hoping. yeah, I'm hoping the EURO surprises but there isn't much reason to think so. At least large complex events like this could have some nowcast surprises. Hope its not a NW surprise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Lets see if we can collaborate to get latest 11pm local met thoughts and post em Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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