mattskiva Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 It was 3.45" OK I stand corrected. Did they report lower initially and it was corrected or am I just completely losing my mind? I thought I remembered a discussion about the number being low at the time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 we're like 54 hours from onset..not too bad no, but plenty of time to not get as much snow as I want. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 OK I stand corrected. Did they report lower initially and it was corrected or am I just completely losing my mind? I thought I remembered a discussion about the number being low at the time. I think they used Sterling's measurement for the storm as the official number though I might be wrong on that. DCA had a ridiculously low QPF total which was obviously wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 OK I stand corrected. Did they report lower initially and it was corrected or am I just completely losing my mind? I thought I remembered a discussion about the number being low at the time. I think they reported over 3" QPF at the time. Jus that the ratios were lower than one might have expected for awhile. DCA on the other hand, seems a lot lower on the QPF compared to surrounding areas if I recall correctly (something like 1.5" liquid QPF?). (EDIT: Thanks, Ian, for verifying DCA on that event...glad my memory served me correctly concerning DCA's low QPF on that. I don't know if anyone got under 2" of liquid in the area from that storm.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 12z JMA accum precip through 72 http://grib2.com/jma/CONUS_JMA_SFC_ACCUM-PRECIP_72HR.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 through 54 hours, the surface track and low strength is identical Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Hope you know that we are all mixing on that into the I-81 corridor Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 H36 on the 12Z euro looks further south and east of the H42 on the 0Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 precip starts just after 7pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nor Easter Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Euro @48 phasing going on 1012 low along the gulf coast east of LA Looks amped will probably see 500 close off in the SE, dont have precip maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 72 hours...996mb inland west of Hatteras. DC sleet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 looks colder than 0z to start at least Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 78 hours, 992mb east of OC...about 1.4" has already fallen...mixing issues over DC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 http://vortex.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/gen_grbcalc2.cgi?re=us&id=&zoom=.6&ti=0≥=1280x1024&mo=ecmwf≤=850&va=temp&in=5&pl=cf&ft=h72&cu=latest&overlay=no&mo=ecmwf≤=850&va=strm&in=4&pl=ln&ft=h48&cu=latest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 very similar to 0z overall.. maybe a smidge better since colder to start. no ledge jumping at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 84 hours...988mb east of ACY This is a MONSTROUS hit for the western burbs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nor Easter Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 EURO Major hit @72 Beautiful closed 500mb low over the SE, does pull a strong low inland a bit, 850's still well S&E of DC Low 996mb and bombing out just NW of Hatt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 backside is crushing for FDK Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 78 hours, 992mb east of OC...about 1.4" has already fallen...mixing issues over DC Sounds like a SN-PL-SN sandwich... at least I would gather as the storm gets to that point at 78 we would turn back over to snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 HR 84 CCB to death. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 very similar to 0z overall.. maybe a smidge better since colder to start. no ledge jumping at least. at 72 hrs, 850 temps are definitely warmer than 0Z run....0 line goes well west almost to I81 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 26 hour event...over 2" for NOVA including DCA and Winchester MASSIVE Hit... of course some mixing issues for sure...even for Tysons and maybe IAD....and some surface issues when precip is lighter on thursday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 at 72 hrs, 850 temps are definitely warmer than 0Z run....0 line goes well west almost to I81 other than some squiggles it's almost the same as far as i can tell. very similar overall. still got that weird subzero zone in between warmer. for east of DC prob not better but west it is at least as good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 hr72 850's for reference. Too hard to describe. Picture worth 1k words. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paxpatriot Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Ji you can come out of your suicide shelter. I come for the awesome model analysis. I stay for the hilarity, lol. Euro appears to stay the western course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 If this plays out like the Euro, then this is like somebody winning the National League MVP in baseball by a unanimous vote. The Euro has been a rock on this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nor Easter Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 at 72 hrs, 850 temps are definitely warmer than 0Z run....0 line goes well west almost to I81 Mitch we talking EURO? At 72 850s on Euro are well S&E of DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Verbatim This would be a 2' storm for WInchester-Martinsburg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ACFD FIREMAN Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Wide area of 2-2.5" west of 95 in NOVA/MD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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