Big Jims Videos Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 You put a 988 low at AC, it's gonna snow in the LSV...and heavily. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Gfs was a good hit for lsv and all the way into NEPA. I looked at it only had maybe lancaster .5 to .75 the rest in the .25 to .5 range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
whiteout Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Kicker low on GFS much stronger and SE compared to RGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Jims Videos Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 I looked at it only had maybe lancaster .5 to .75 the rest in the .25 to .5 range.Compared to the nam, that's good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 The track is trending toward the UK/ECM. It's all coming down to the kicker. RGEM is far enough west that it allows more qpf for us... Don't let us down, Europeans - more specifically you Brits upcoming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 This has March 6th written all over it if you believe the american guidance. HUGE red flag is the southeast wind and lack of cold high pressure to the northwest. Major, major bust potential. I bashed thinking the NAM gives Philly rain but the GFS actually does: THU 06Z 13-FEB -3.0 -6.1 1022 97 99 0.04 554 537 THU 12Z 13-FEB -0.1 -1.4 1012 98 94 0.26 551 541 THU 18Z 13-FEB 0.7 0.7 1002 100 99 0.18 544 543 FRI 00Z 14-FEB 1.0 -0.5 998 95 99 0.10 537 538 FRI 06Z 14-FEB -1.5 -1.4 999 91 30 0.01 536 536 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 The GFS has issues for sure, but that looks to be a pretty big jump to the UKMET/Euro guidance doesn't it? And sorry about posting the CMC thing earlier ... tried to edit but the board's going very slowly for me at work today. Thanks for the correction mapgirl! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 UKIE holds the line. No changes from it's previous guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 UKIE holds the line. No changes from it's previous guidance. Fair enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 UKMET still like euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Ukmet looks good to me!! Low right near/over Delmarva. I used to dream about tracks like that but now they seem iffy to even get precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Hearing Ukmet actually goes to the BM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 If you look at PHI's snow map (Link: http://www.erh.noaa.gov/phi/StormTotalSnow/stormtotal.php) this would argue CTP needs a watch for Lebanon and Schuylkill Counties. I do not envy CTP at all as, once again, their CWA is on a knife edge of the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Working on first call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Hearing Ukmet actually goes to the BM. Ok, which is it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 It goes north then actually goes ENE. Hearing a lot of people saying it looks better for NYC region than last nights run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lsv Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Just wanted to say wuts up all. Posted once or twice last year. I run from Omaha to Manchester ,pa twice a week. Happy to be home watching it snow an not driving my rig in it this time. Love reading all posts, but lost on ur abbreviations/ terms most of the time. But thx for the info and knowledge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 It goes north then actually goes ENE. Hearing a lot of people saying it looks better for NYC region than last nights run. I think you meant NNE. ENE would mean it's heading to Scotland instead of Maine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Okay what is the real track of the UK? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 East of Delmarva to the gulf of Maine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rdd9108 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 You guys are looking good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rick G Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 I watched WNEP's forecast the last couple of days. they have been pushing that the storm will miss us and do not think that there will be anything here. IT seems like there is a division in between the staff and head met. Last night Kurt Aaron was making excuses for not showing any kind of totals. and this morning Joe Snedekar was parroting Tom Clark about it being a near miss. everyone else is stating we will get something. Then the local non mets on Facebook are stating 12+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Okay what is the real track of the UK? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 This has March 6th written all over it if you believe the american guidance. HUGE red flag is the southeast wind and lack of cold high pressure to the northwest. Major, major bust potential. wouldnt be a storm without your post telling us how its likely going to bust Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Latest Horst on Twitter: "Lancaster on western edge of Noreaster"... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Latest Horst on Twitter: "Lancaster on western edge of Noreaster"... I don't see that at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 If I were in the metros I'd be very concerned right now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 If I were in the metros I'd be very concerned right now... Until the euro come out . Jk/jk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 If I were in the metros I'd be very concerned right now...Agreed. Someone flips to rain it seems like. I hope it isn't DC, they'll all die of aneurysms if it happens to them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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