Monmouth_County_Jacpot Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Do the outer boro's of nyc Brooklyn and queens si Bronx need to worry about freezing rain?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jiksports Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 The Nam is pretty scary, shows a ton of ZR as the surface is just as cold as 18z but it's even warmer aloft, meaning less sleet, more ZR. If we stay in the 20s, then we're screwed. Does the NAM still place the heaviest snow north of the NY/PA border, or does Northeast PA do better? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SleetStormNJ Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Some of the modeling is suggesting close to a historic-level ice storm in some areas. Frightening if it verifies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Precip just broke out over Dulles and National in DC thats about 2 hours early, will need to watch to see if that area blossoms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchel Volk Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 The city may get an ice storm, however just to the north up to POU better go to the store and get a generator. This is looking serious as for NYC it is touch and go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Do the outer boro's of nyc Brooklyn and queens si Bronx need to worry about freezing rain?? I don't think Manhattan will have any problems but parts of other boroughs could that are less densely populated. The heat island might help most of NYC stay a little warmer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gkrangers Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Do the outer boro's of nyc Brooklyn and queens si Bronx need to worry about freezing rain??YES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 The city may get an ice storm, however just to the north up to POU better go to the store and get a generator. This is looking serious as for it is touch and go. The snow still being stuck to a lot of the trees is a big worry for me. That should be able to soak up more of the rain and build up more ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Ugh starting to really worry about power problems Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Sleet please. MC can have the ZR. VD07 was all frozen here. About snow to sleet to a little ZR, then ending with a decent snow shower with a few tenths accumulation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Sleet please. MC can have the ZR. VD07 was all frozen here. About snow to sleet to a little ZR, then ending with a decent snow shower with a few tenths accumulation. I think I ended as rain after some snow, a ton of sleet then some freezing rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 I thknk we get more sleet than freezing rain here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 I don't think Manhattan will have any problems but parts of other boroughs could that are less densely populated. The heat island might help most of NYC stay a little warmer. It's hard to imagine a scenario where ZR accumulates on midtown streets. Chunks of ice peeling off of buildings is another story. You might want to wear a hardhat to work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Perhaps all this worrying is for nothing as ice storms are extremely rare around here. I remember a couple years ago we had the most ice I can remember, and everything was caked in ice. First time I had to chisel away the ice from my car windows and the sidewalks and some of the secondary roads were a disaster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rossi Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Looks like a growing area of precipitation to our south. Is that our storm redeveloping? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 The snow still being stuck to a lot of the trees is a big worry for me. That should be able to soak up more of the rain and build up more ice. Yeah its a unique situation having ice so soon after a major snowstorm and a heavy wet snow at that.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 MM5 moves the freezing line north after 9am, before this, all of LI, NYC and along the same latitude west of NYC is frozen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 MM5 moves the freezing line north after 9am, before this, all of LI, NYC and along the same latitude west of NYC is frozen. Let's hope that's right. That could prevent mass power outages. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
+SNfreak21 Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 MM5 moves the freezing line north after 9am, before this, all of LI, NYC and along the same latitude west of NYC is frozen. Is that a warm-biased model? HI-RES NAM at 9am: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 I think I ended as rain after some snow, a ton of sleet then some freezing rain. I checked my records. Only 1.3" of snow/sleet followed by close to 0.25" ice and a couple of tenths backend snow. High temp briefly nicked 32 on 2/14/07. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 I don't think Manhattan will have any problems but parts of other boroughs could that are less densely populated. The heat island might help most of NYC stay a little warmer. I've seen plain rain in southern Brooklyn, southern Queens, and lower Manhattan and ice on street signs/trees in midtown Manhattan from the same storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 MM5 moves the freezing line north after 9am, before this, all of LI, NYC and along the same latitude west of NYC is frozen. Looks a little too aggressive warming nyc on west and north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Let's hope that's right. That could prevent mass power outages. That's the frozen (snow/sleet) probability, not freezing rain. I doubt so much of NNJ gets above 32 or even 30. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
monmouthcounty11 Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 We had just the slightest bit of freezing rain a couple weeks ago in Northern Ocean County and the roads were a disaster and glazed in ice, it caught people off guard too. There were tons of accidents, people need to realize how dangerous freezing rain is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 That's the frozen (snow/sleet) probability, not freezing rain. I doubt so much of NNJ gets above 32 or even 30. Yikes. Not good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 I checked my records. Only 1.3" of snow/sleet followed by close to 0.25" ice and a couple of tenths backend snow. High temp briefly nicked 32 on 2/14/07. 20070214WinterStorm062s800.jpg North shore vs south shore. I remember the storm being 90% sleet/freezing rain here..Im not positive but am pretty sure I ended as rainNice pic! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 That's the frozen (snow/sleet) probability, not freezing rain. I doubt so much of NNJ gets above 32 or even 30. You are correct, freezing levels on MM5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Is that ice hanging off the sign when I zoom in? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 You are correct, freezing levels on MM5 That's more like it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 I wonder how the synoptics were here for VD 2007, which was a major icestorm right down to the beaches. I was in PA at the time and pelted by tons of sleet, but I remember the coastal redevelopment which was very close to the shore and there still was no changeover here until the very end to rain I was told. I know the preceding cold airmass was colder and there was more of a northerly component to the winds but I'm also getting a bad feeling about what's coming. That's the storm that the cf was orientated more east west as it made it to wantagh but not long beach. It's going to be hard to sleep tonight tomorrow should be the most interesting storm of the season! I'm going to glen head tomorrow afternoon which is about far north as you can get on li. Could be an interesting contrast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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