snowlover2 Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Looks like the last month of met winter will start off on the stormy side. Discuss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Yeah it's about that time. Looking stormy the first week of the month. I'll go out on a limb and say the sub forum will see three major storms this month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Actually some pretty strong GEFS support for another big dog around the 8th. EURO showing gulf cyclogenesis at D10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 So it looks like we're transitioning to a pattern similar to 2007-2008, where all it seems to take is a sneeze to blow up a snowstorm for the region. Models show a lot more potential behind the 3rd-5th system. I'll take that any day over the Clipper train we've had. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 So it looks like we're transitioning to a pattern similar to 2007-2008, where all it seems to take is a sneeze to blow up a snowstorm for the region. Models show a lot more potential behind the 3rd-5th system. I'll take that any day over the Clipper train we've had. If we do end up in a pattern like 07-08, then a 100" snowfall season is certainly possible. A lot of people forget that March 08 had 21" of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Coldest high in the next 7 days is 17° currently. I can deal with that. If this February is anything like 2008 or last year then an 80" season is a lock. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Coldest high in the next 7 days is 17° currently. I can deal with that. If this February is anything like 2008 or last year then an 80" season is a lock. Maybe for you! GFS is end of the world here in the temp dept. http://wxweb.meteostar.com/sample/sample.shtml?text=KLSE&submit.x=0&submit.y=0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Maybe for you! GFS is end of the world here in the temp dept. http://wxweb.meteostar.com/sample/sample.shtml?text=KLSE&submit.x=0&submit.y=0 Ouch, -18° on Saturday morning! GFS could be over doing it though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Ouch, -18° on Saturday morning! GFS could be over doing it though. It better...its just so ugly in the extended. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 I figured I post this here since most of the snow would fall after the 31st. GFS snowfall through 156 hours. If this is true, I'll reach 60" by the time next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 14" of new snow by the 5th? You can go ahead and pencil me in for that. I'll believe it when I see it but it's always nice to see maps like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 For DTW at 55.0" 1-3" tonight thru Tomorrow 5-7" Saturday 6-10" Tuesday/Wed Another one next weekend???? 12-20" by Feb 5th seasons totals could be as high as 75" ( 67-75") this time next week. Inching closer to the record of 93" Detroit posters needs to cherish this winter, We may never experience another one like it. Considering it took 45 years to get a 12"+ in Detroit (1929-74). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 Roughly 1st week of Feb looks awfully snowy for many... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
huronicane Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 Caplan sounding the alarms: Which for what it's worth would be 20"+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Caplan sounding the alarms: caplan.JPG Which for what it's worth would be 20"+ That's crazy talk! Average snowfall for February here since 1999 has been 15.3". I could see that happening from what I can see on some models. Skilling showed some awful cold lows for the 5th and 6th, which I hope don't come true. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Finished with 40.2" last month... if we get half of that this month I'd be pretty happy about it. Only 21.3" to set the all time record here of 73.1" Off to a "good" start here with light snow falling. Could pick up an inch or two by tomorrow afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 pretty happy, lmao. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 pretty happy, lmao. Yeah I don't know how to feel about snow at this point. This month was incredible but the cold was absolutely terrible. If we crack another top 10 month that's great, but I wouldn't mind cracking 40F for a week or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Probably a good 11-12" of snow on the ground now after today's 3.8". With some additional snows possible later this week/upcoming weekend, and the lack of warmth should make for one hell of a snow pack by around the 10th. Regarding today's snow I originally went with 4-6", and then bumped back to 3-4" a few nights ago. Exact call was 3.1", so busted a bit high there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Day 10 Euro has some above normal temps... up until then its ugly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Joe Bastardi's Saturday summary from the Weatherbell free site explains his thoughts for the month of February. http://www.weatherbell.com/saturday-summary-february-1-2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Looking at the GFS it seems after the 9th about, the cold eases up. Bastardi was using the 93-94 analog and was saying will have a break around Valentines Day and after. Day 10 - EURO. Definitely looking like milder times. 12z the 11th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 This kind of stinks, but hey, it's a record. I just came back from Fort Wayne and rain quickly changed to marshmallows started to accumulate about an hour ago. RECORD EVENT REPORTNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA0722 PM EST SAT FEB 01 2014...RECORD DAILY MAXIMUM RAINFALL SET AT FORT WAYNE...THROUGH 7 PM EST A RECORD RAINFALL OF 0.98 INCHES HAS FALLEN ATFORT WAYNE TODAY. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 0.82 SET IN 1968.THIS RECORD IS PRELIMIARY AS MORE PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO FALLBEFORE MIDNIGHT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Hovering at 17° here this evening. Clouds have parted at times, but not totally clear yet. Monday morning looking like the coldest morning in the next 7 days. Latest GFS guidance saying it will stay above 0°. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Looking at the GFS it seems after the 9th about, the cold eases up. Bastardi was using the 93-94 analog and was saying will have a break around Valentines Day and after. Day 10 - EURO. Definitely looking like milder times. 12z the 11th. Day10Euro_020114.png I don't see how his call for the eastern Great Lakes to average out 4 below normal Fahrenheit in February can vetify if that were to happen. The second week of February would have to see highs in the single digits, which I don't see happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Point for tonight was around zero last time I looked. Temps still hanging up there a bit due to some lingering clouds, so may stay above zero tonight. Tomorrow night looks pretty cold though. May make a run at -10 or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Central Illinois Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 looks like i might be able to squeeze a inch out of this band about to come through Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 TOL ended up with 2.0" Saturday and probably will end up with a little more today. Already off to a good start. Tied 53.9" so #10 all time w/ '76-77 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 More double digits below zero this week. Super Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Point for tonight was around zero last time I looked. Temps still hanging up there a bit due to some lingering clouds, so may stay above zero tonight. Tomorrow night looks pretty cold though. May make a run at -10 or so. Was surprised to see it dipped to -1 here this morning. Temps must have really tanked toward sunrise. Another subzero day in the kitty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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