canderson Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 Was just told winter is over in a few weeks because come March snow can't really stick to roads. I need alcohol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 yes assuming the front does push east and somewhat stall prior to this wave approaching the region ok thanks. is that from Euro? i thought GFS was frzn for a little then went above to plain ole rain for remainder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 Was just told winter is over in a few weeks because come March snow can't really stick to roads. I need alcohol. I got pics that shows it can lay on roads in early Oct. Has to fall hard if during the day, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 Was just told winter is over in a few weeks because come March snow can't really stick to roads. I need alcohol. lulz: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1993_Storm_of_the_Century Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 At least you guys were the bullseye once this year. And honestly, I don't recall all that many storms this year at all on models...really, inventing things to make stuff seem worse doesn't help matters. Before you say anything, keep in mind that earlier this week it was claimed that every year for the last 3-4 years all storms were south of us, and I completely destroyed that fallacy. I see a lot of this here: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cognitive_distortion Although not as bad as in other forums. In fact, this line of thinking promotes bad information. People posted earlier that today's 12Z GFS was "warmer" and rainier...when I looked at the actual runs, I saw that the opposite was true. Just like all those phantom southern snowstorms people were seeing each of the last four years. All I'm saying is keeping emotions in check is the way to go, especially in this situation. Seriously. [/ quote] This is a great post, and it's also truth. We southern folks cashed in tremendously 4 years ago, but the last 3 were awful coming into this winter. So much is expressed on this board based on a false impression and is simply not factual. As far as CPA/NPA missing out on snow next week due to suppressed storms, how is that looking now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 Guys...I hope you won't mind me saying this but if you go back and read through all of the posts here from the past 24 hours, my head is literally spinning because everyone is switching back and forth between discussing the Monday event and the Wednesday event. All I ask is that you reference the date you are talking about in each post unless it is obvious as to which one you are commenting on. For example, in Sauss's post just before this here he quotes djr who was discussing the Monday event. However, it appears that Sauss is actually asking about the Euro's take on the Wednesday event. I make that assumption because up to this moment the GFS does not show anything for Monday. I am only using the Sauss post as an example, not to pick on anyone. I look forward to having the head-spinning stop very soon. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 lulz: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1993_Storm_of_the_Century LOL --- The superstorm was exactly what I thought of after Canderson's post. We were only one week away from the Vernal Equinox, yet temps during the storm were mainly in the teens! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 oh man, you're right. I was talking about Monday, but as i was flipping back and forth from minimized screens, i was looking at the wrong date, so i was actualy looking at the GFS 140205 and not 140203 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 MDT ~ .45" LNS ~ .50" THV ~ .55" Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 I hate Monday's storm...lol. Just so everyone knows, those little quick cut off stinkers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dcfox1 Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 Guys...I hope you won't mind me saying this but if you go back and read through all of the posts here from the past 24 hours, my head is literally spinning because everyone is switching back and forth between discussing the Monday event and the Wednesday event. All I ask is that you reference the date you are talking about in each post unless it is obvious as to which one you are commenting on. For example, in Sauss's post just before this here he quotes djr who was discussing the Monday event. However, it appears that Sauss is actually asking about the Euro's take on the Wednesday event. I make that assumption because up to this moment the GFS does not show anything for Monday. I am only using the Sauss post as an example, not to pick on anyone. I look forward to having the head-spinning stop very soon. Thanks. I was thinking the same thing. Thought it was just me getting confused. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 I'll say it. 40 degrees has never felt better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 this is what irks me so much about TWC naming storms... they have one named for this weekend... ok no big deal because it is going to snow just not in PA... but they add the Monday potential and attach it to the name for this weekend as if it is the same system... its not... grrr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 Apparently the GFS is going nuts with the SSW again. That would make for an interesting end of Feb/first part of March. We'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 The NWS map I posted earlier show pa and the IPT hole. God did, Sauss. He hates IPT Jamie I just just kind joking when I said you was going to give us a complex.When I stated I thought this winter the models was showing storms and then switch to not showing much. Then us getting what the models originally showed. That was my opinion....I didn't feel I was inventing anything! If my opinion was wrong that's not a problem. It was only my opinion. I appreciate reading everything that everyone contributes here!! I agree with the others it has been confusing at times this week trying to figure out what storm we are talking about. Neff really good call on the JMA!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 18Z NAM still south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 My point and click for Tuesday LOL A chance of snow. Mostly sunny, with a high near 36. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 Jamie I just just kind joking when I said you was going to give us a complex. When I stated I thought this winter the models was showing storms and then switch to not showing much. Then us getting what the models originally showed. That was my opinion....I didn't feel I was inventing anything! If my opinion was wrong that's not a problem. It was only my opinion. I appreciate reading everything that everyone contributes here!! I agree with the others it has been confusing at times this week trying to figure out what storm we are talking about. Neff really good call on the JMA!! I just don't think we need to add to the stress...that's all I'm saying. I don't really recall the models showing big dog storms much this winter. Been sort of weird that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 Lancaster newspapers quoted eastern pa weather authority's warning of a massive crippling storm next week. I quit life. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 Lancaster newspapers quoted eastern pa weather authority's warning of a massive crippling storm next week. I quit life.So I wonder what happens when it doesn't materialize? Jamie agreed it has been a weird year storm wise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowalot Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 So I wonder what happens when it doesn't materialize? Jamie agreed it has been a weird year storm wise. Readers will say (if there is no storm) see there wasn't a storm all those weather people are idiots and then when the real one comes - they ignore the warnings until to late and they get stuck somewhere and then will say why weren't we warned properly about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 I'm thinking it's about impossible for us to end up with all rain up here at this point...so I'll take it whatever mix bag it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 Lancaster newspapers quoted eastern pa weather authority's warning of a massive crippling storm next week. I quit life. Good Lord... So I wonder what happens when it doesn't materialize? Jamie agreed it has been a weird year storm wise. Readers will say (if there is no storm) see there wasn't a storm all those weather people are idiots and then when the real one comes - they ignore the warnings until to late and they get stuck somewhere and then will say why weren't we warned properly about it. I think that at least some of the deaths and injuries in major storms are from people ignoring warnings due to thinking forecasts are never right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 Monday storm looks south on GFS. Thinking that one should only be on a few posters radars...right by MD border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 The scary part is that even these "warm" runs with cutters/no 2ndary are still producing ice storms verbatim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 Dude, we are in big trouble Tues. Wed with this storm I think. It's very rare for GFS to sniff out CAD this far out and it already is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 Monday storm looks south on GFS. Thinking that one should only be on a few posters radars...right by MD border. You do realize it's only Friday, right? Point is...I got a dusting of snow the other night from a storm that 48 hours earlier was a miss by 250 miles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 I consider it on your radar maytown!! lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 Looks like this thing wants to go through the lakes. It's going to come down to CAD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dcfox1 Posted January 31, 2014 Share Posted January 31, 2014 Unless your a professional met why give much to models till 3 days out. This forum has been around long enough I would think most here would realize that. Its 3 days out till Monday so why not talk about that instead of flip flopping about tue- wed every 6 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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