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Eskimo Joe

Central PA & The Fringes - January 2014

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We are t-minus 24 hours from the first accumulating snowfall of 2014 for a good portion of the area.  Looks like it's the SREF/RGEM versus the world.

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I wish the entire region was shifted NE about 300 miles tomorrow.

This is a massive storm that will hammer all of NE and we are on the edge wishing it was us. :)

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I wish the entire region was shifted NE about 300 miles tomorrow.

This is a massive storm that will hammer all of NE and we are on the edge wishing it was us. :)

 

It's the same old story, same old song and dance, my friend

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It's the same old story, same old song and dance, my friend

Well...not really. A few years back it was all south and east of you.

It's pretty remarkable how big snows continue to evade east-central PA, though.

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I think 3-6" isn't out of the question. This storm is so close to being a doozy and will be for some. Still sounds like many red taggers think this still has some room to move in either direction.

Nut.

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Horst now going 2"-5" in Lancaster, more north and east. I can't post the map from my phone but it is on Twitter.

 

Wow...so close to 6-12 for my area per his map.

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Well...not really. A few years back it was all south and east of you.

It's pretty remarkable how big snows continue to evade east-central PA, though.

 

You are correct sir.

 

My thinking though, was that in a "traditional" Miller B set-up, we're left looking northeast to the bigger snow totals. A few years back was an incredible anomaly.

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Horst now going 2"-5" in Lancaster, more north and east. I can't post the map from my phone but it is on Twitter.

Could you post his twitter handle?

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here's what I am thinking on this mess. I have had to revise things since the 12Z yesterday now that the models are finally settling on a solution, my biggest still unsettled feelings will be for NJ and southeast PA. but upstate NY to New England has been fairly consistent.

 

post-2758-0-83629500-1388600670_thumb.pn

 

 

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here's what I am thinking on this mess. I have had to revise things since the 12Z yesterday now that the models are finally settling on a solution, my biggest still unsettled feelings will be for NJ and southeast PA. but upstate NY to New England has been fairly consistent.

 

attachicon.gifjan2_4_storm_rev2.png

Great map.  I think based on ensemble data it is best to go conservative for now for SE PA.  Let's see if the trends on the Euro hold tonight, and what the 18z runs will do.  This is obviously still evolving, so conservative is best to start.  Plenty of time to adjust if needed later tonight. 

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