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Big Snow threat, what will it do, part II


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Euro is pretty nice looking synoptically for SNE Thu night...esp eastern MA/RI. I think that could produce pretty well despite the QPF queens not happy with 0.50-0.60" totals.

the trof is deeper than 0z. there's still a little time for improvement
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That happened several weeks ago.  For the first time in several winters we can't be nearly as "sure" of the solutions it provides in the 36-84 hour range.

The only time that I can really remember it being wrong and we ended up with a BETTER soloution was Jan 11, 2011.

Usually when it blows it, it goes big.

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Man, can't believe those solutions the euro was showing a few runs ago. Pretty big shift, and not even in clown range, big middle range shifts.

My call. 3-6 isolated 8 to the south and east as well. Spread out, it's not really even a moderate impact event, just more of annoyance.

Crews will probably be out for a long time though

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Thanks for the broom post too. That really helped us all understand!!

 

Calm your B-cups, ladies, before the bone-chilling temperatures on Friday night do it for you.

 

We're here to have a lovely time. Now. Let's have a guessing contest on flake size.

 

I'm guessing they'll be size 7.

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The only time that I can really remember it being wrong and we ended up with a BETTER soloution was Jan 11, 2011.

Usually when it blows it, it goes big.

 

A long time ago, but it shat the bed on 12/9/05 and 2/11/06 that '05-'06 winter...both times it showed a weaker SE solution (the Feb '06 even being a glorified scraper) and it was wrong.

 

It has its misses, but it wins like 70% of the time...which is why we always await it's solutions.

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A long time ago, but it shat the bed on 12/9/05 and 2/11/06 that '05-'06 winter...both times it showed a weaker SE solution (the Feb '06 even being a glorified scraper) and it was wrong.

 

It has its misses, but it wins like 70% of the time...which is why we always await it's solutions.

Well, I was referring to my time on the board.

 

We were actually citing 12/9/05 as a reason why it would be underdone on 1/11/11.

Go meso with small, compact events.

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i'd think if trends hold, E MA shore from BOS to the Cape and probably the islands has a period of near blizzard conditions...from a strict criteria perspective...sometime after 6z Thu

 

 

The limiting factor will be snow intensity I think...but the fluffy nature shouldmake it easy to get 1/4 mile in even moderate snow. There's a decent shot at verifying "old" blizzard criteria that also required temperatures to be less than 20F along with the 1/4 mile and 35mph winds.

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The limiting factor will be snow intensity I think...but the fluffy nature shouldmake it easy to get 1/4 mile in even moderate snow. There's a decent shot at verifying "old" blizzard criteria that also required temperatures to be less than 20F along with the 1/4 mile and 35mph winds.

 

And I believe the old criteria was for at least 3 hours.

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