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PennMan

Central PA & The Fringes - December 2013 Part III

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Time for a new thread guys. It's wintry...currently 12 degrees here with 8" of snow and ice in the ground. Looking good for a 1-2" refresher tonight.

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Not expecting much in the way of accumulations tonight/tomorrow, perhaps a dusting of fresh snow.

 

Still have spots in my backyard with 4-5", deck/driveway is clear and a spot in the corner where I have two large pine trees has grass beneath them. Nice to still have a decent snow pack

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Not expecting much in the way of accumulations tonight/tomorrow, perhaps a dusting of fresh snow.

 

 

CTP posted this on their facebook page two hours ago:

 

1505613_640698159314608_104333988_n.png

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Someone needs to tell CTP we're not in the southern states...

 

What do you mean by that?

 

1-3 looks good for the central tier imo, I'm confident some will squeeze 3 out of this thing.

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:lmao: they must have the interns running the FB page.  They also added this in the comments

 

1524731_640706125980478_633985167_n.png

And this is why you had a social media policy and don't let just any yahoo take over it. /end rant of a professional designer and social media organizer

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What do you mean by that?

 

1-3 looks good for the central tier imo, I'm confident some will squeeze 3 out of this thing.

They make those cheesy graphics in the southern WFOs all the time.

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just heard from my cow-orkers, areas just outside the Wyoming valley had 8 to 12 inches of snow. We had 5 inches plus ice. IT seemed like the NWS was determined to not hoist a warning in our area. In my experience, people take a warning to heart where an advisory is ignored.

 

Looking for the 2 + tonight and maybe a day off from work...

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thats just to damn funny. They need to be gettin mapgirl in there to show them whats up! :mapsnow:

 

Yeahhh, that graphic is pretty terrible. My eyes hate me for looking at it.

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:o  :o :o  :o  :o  

CTP AFTERNOON DISCO

The quantitative precipitation forecast will still be limited by the fast movement of the system and
the dryness of the northern stream in general. There will likely be some
areas that pick up 3-4 inches of snow...especially across The
Laurels...and more so across the middle and lower susq valley and
points east
where a quickly developing secondary surface low just south of
NYC and a belt of moderately deep/strong uvvel will enhance
convergence along a slow-moving inverted trough.
 

:thumbsup: 
This scenario and anticipated snowfall amounts place US right on the
teetering Point of issuing a Winter Weather Advisory for later
tonight into Tuesday morning. We/ll be discussing this issue with
neighboring weather forecast offices over the next few hours.

 

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:o  :o :o  :o  :o  

CTP AFTERNOON DISCO

The quantitative precipitation forecast will still be limited by the fast movement of the system and

the dryness of the northern stream in general. There will likely be some

areas that pick up 3-4 inches of snow...especially across The

Laurels...and more so across the middle and lower susq valley and

points east where a quickly developing secondary surface low just south of

NYC and a belt of moderately deep/strong uvvel will enhance

convergence along a slow-moving inverted trough.

 

:thumbsup: 

This scenario and anticipated snowfall amounts place US right on the

teetering Point of issuing a Winter Weather Advisory for later

tonight into Tuesday morning. We/ll be discussing this issue with

neighboring weather forecast offices over the next few hours.

 

WHAT?

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This is taking a perfect track for someone in PA... we wont get the higher qpf that the coastal areas will but will get better ratios...and someone along the meso band that sets up along that trough convergence zone will probably get a nice surprise...but its very hard to predict the exact location of that.  It usually ends up being a relatively narrow area like 30 miles wide that gets 3-5" and everyone else gets a general 1-2.

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This is taking a perfect track for someone in PA... we wont get the higher qpf that the coastal areas will but will get better ratios...and someone along the meso band that sets up along that trough convergence zone will probably get a nice surprise...but its very hard to predict the exact location of that.  It usually ends up being a relatively narrow area like 30 miles wide that gets 3-5" and everyone else gets a general 1-2.

should be good ratios for whomever gets it.

 

Its damn chilly out!

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This is taking a perfect track for someone in PA... we wont get the higher qpf that the coastal areas will but will get better ratios...and someone along the meso band that sets up along that trough convergence zone will probably get a nice surprise...but its very hard to predict the exact location of that. It usually ends up being a relatively narrow area like 30 miles wide that gets 3-5" and everyone else gets a general 1-2.

Pottsville got one of those a few years ago. They got about 6 inches if I remember correctly.

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When i was in State College in 2003 it happened...we got about 5" from a clipper from crazy ratios.  Also happened in MD one time...I think I got 4" that time.  Its a nice surprise but hard to predict.

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