SouthCoastMA Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 18z NAM has cut back some. Yes sir. about a 20 mile shift SE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 This should about sum it all up. 15z SREFs 30h 33h 36h Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 NAM looks the same for southern areas a bit less north. It's really all about GFS though, been the only reliable model the past few weeks and has pretty much had a decent idea on this event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 1-3 regionwide..and somewhere in the area there will be a weenie band..Impossible to tell where until it sets up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 went with cc average of 2" this morning...feel that's still a good place to be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 The cutoff is going to so sharp. I could see southeast ma getting 3-5 and Worcester virtually nothing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJHUB Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 box map going 1-2 for pike south <1 pike north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 I think the conservative 1-3" amounts may win out here. Perhaps fluff factor can help some on the shoreline squeeze out 4". I'd be more excited had the Euro made a bigger jump. Good news is we're cold the rest of the week...so we hang on to whatever falls helping to set the holiday mood. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 went with cc average of 2" this morning...feel that's still a good place to be. I'm sorta in shock you are not more gung ho about the potential of this out where you are on the cape you still have concern the band sets up south of you? with great snowgrowth and models converging on your area it seems you have more SCF's flyin high , which btw I'm paying attention to Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Ryan Hanrahan @ryanhanrahan1h Snow forecast for Tuesday - going 1"-3" still but some potential for a bust on the upside! pic.twitter.com/NlxOsSUtNn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 box map going 1-2 for pike south <1 pike north link? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GWR Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/StormTotalSnow/index.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJHUB Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 link? http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/StormTotalSnow/index.php# Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 box map going 1-2 for pike south <1 pike north Box doesn't have more than 20% for 4 inches ANYWHERE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Box doesn't have more than 20% for 4 inches ANYWHERE And I noticed that my area is not in the 30"+ zone this map. Ugh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 I'm still not really feeling this for most. Maybe srn CT into CC for anything noteworthy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/StormTotalSnow/index.php http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/StormTotalSnow/index.php# Box doesn't have more than 20% for 4 inches ANYWHERE Interesting, becasue the link is not up yet on the main page. May not be official released yet for 4pm package. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Box doesn't have more than 20% for 4 inches ANYWHERE Open the other eye. They have percent chances for up to 12 but very low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJHUB Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Box doesn't have more than 20% for 4 inches ANYWHERE those probs didn't seem right to me, just checked tho and they changed makes more sense Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJHUB Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Open the other eye. They have percent chances for up to 12 but very low. the probs came up after the map, they must have been updating the page as we were looking at it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 I'm sorta in shock you are not more gung ho about the potential of this out where you are on the cape you still have concern the band sets up south of you? with great snowgrowth and models converging on your area it seems you have more SCF's flyin high , which btw I'm paying attention to well...potential and expectation are two different things. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 I think Phil's idea of 2" being the most common number before the . is a good safe play. 1-3" should cover it, with perhaps 2-4" in SE and S areas. We will need to watch the banding signal later. AWT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RI Rob Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 give me an inch in boston and I'll be happy. something pretty to look at while I study for finals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Open the other eye. They have percent chances for up to 12 but very low. unless I'm missing some new data, what is your point they have nothing 20% for 4 inches of snow....they have nothing 60% for 2 INCHES.....looks like box is not buying this in any way they have 1% for 12 inches....not that anyone is expecting 12 so to bring it up is sorta out of right field. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 well...potential and expectation are two different things. That couldn't be emphasized hard enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJHUB Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 id trade an inch tomorrow for a good storm this weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 OKX going for 1-3 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 The way this winter has been going, I'd be surprised if we got more than an inch here. 1-3" NW to SE statewide seems like a good call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 The way this winter has been going, I'd be surprised if we got more than an inch here. It's December 9th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 the probs came up after the map, they must have been updating the page as we were looking at it link, por favor my map shows less than 20% probs for anywhere getting 4 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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