NEG NAO Posted January 19, 2014 Author Share Posted January 19, 2014 lol at people canceling winter. yea that makes alot of sense since we are 75% or greater above average snowfall this winter so far with almost exactly normal temps since December 1 http://kamala.cod.edu/nj/latest.cdus41.EWR.KOKX.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted January 19, 2014 Share Posted January 19, 2014 yea that makes alot of sense since we are 75% or greater above average snowfall this winter so far with almost exactly normal temps since December 1 http://kamala.cod.edu/nj/latest.cdus41.EWR.KOKX.html Not to mention, entering climo favored period for snow for this area (feb) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrangeCTWX Posted January 19, 2014 Share Posted January 19, 2014 We are going to need to be patient. This is a classic evolution of a pattern like this with the polar vortex dropping south before it elongates. Everybody will start screaming cold and dry, cold and dry, the pattern busted, etc etc. And all of a sudden as the PV moves north and/or elongates, you'll start seeing the parade of threats showing up on the model guidance. It is almost like an instant replay every time we go through a pattern like this. Patience, patience, patience. And surely enough, a storm has now appeared after everybody was screaming cold and dry the past few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted January 19, 2014 Share Posted January 19, 2014 In light of recent events, I think that thurs/fri deal is still on the table Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted January 19, 2014 Share Posted January 19, 2014 http://goes.gsfc.nasa.gov/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Word on the street is that the GFS will increase resolution this summer and upgrade to 4DVAR next winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Word on the street is that the GFS will increase resolution this summer and upgrade to 4DVAR next winter. Maybe we can go all Richard Sherman on the euro for once? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 This is hilarious. The 00Z GFS is better than the 00Z NAM?!?! I think I'm still suffering from some hysteria after the 49ers got beat by the Sea Hawks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 I am working tomorrow and Wednesday from 4-12am. That should be interesting in the snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 We need a block and a further west trough to get a snowstorm! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 We need a block and a further west trough to get a snowstorm! Cold and dry,cold and dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Gfs 4-6 western nj and 6-8 for nj urban area-east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 And surely enough, a storm has now appeared after everybody was screaming cold and dry the past few days. It's like a repeating movie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Maybe we can go all Richard Sherman on the euro for once? I'd rather not resemble that ass clown but I'm all for a further improved GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 I'd rather not resemble that ass clown but I'm all for a further improved GFS. That was epic last night lol. Gonna get snow on top of snow here...thats a rare occurrence here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 That was epic last night lol. Gonna get snow on top of snow here...thats a rare occurrence here. Check Day 7 , again .. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Check Day 7 , again .. You go and talk about no hitters in the 7th dont you? Stop jinxing my snow lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Nothing better than a snowstorm with temps falling thru the teens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 But again, the storm is not developing on the polar boundary, its on the arctic boundary, which has to press south. This means a big problem cause this will not be down to va beach in the morning. The problem is that as ugly as this looks now, a classic 6-12 storm in the I-95 corridor, a more tucked in storm could lead to the doubling of those amounts. It strikes me that long Island is the place to watch. JB For Ryan and William Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrangeCTWX Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Currently it's 57F in DCA and they have a Winter Storm Warning..pretty cool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Heavy support on the 12z GEFS for a big east coast storm on or near Super Bowl weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Ice on Peconic Bay, February 1985: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qty4xEGWM78 Bay ice starts at 1:15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 I deleted the storm , I would rather show you this D10 . Deep in to Next week , that's a 5th shot near the Canadian border through the upper Midwest about to come SE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Ice on Peconic Bay, February 1985: Bay ice starts at 1:15 Looks like a video from the 50s or something the fact that I played in that snow makes me feel old! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Looks like a video from the 50s or something the fact that I played in that snow makes me feel old! You and me both. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Any bets on wether NYC schools close Wednesday? I say yes due to the cold and snow having just ended. This will show a big difference between bloom and diblasio Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Saturn510 Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 The only issues i see with play by play from the different guys or gals is when they quote a frame an say moderate or heavy or light, is the qpf depiction is usually for the previous 3 hrs. So thats why whem ypu hear them go thru 3 frames and say moderate snow you end up with a lower total then it sounds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Ill pay good money to someone who can put a tarp over Ace's yard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Ill pay good money to someone who can put a tarp over Ace's yard. Heat his driveway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 up until 1991 the record snowfall for Jan. 21st was 2.1" in 1938...1991 had 2.4"...Since then NYC has three storms 4" or more on January 21st... 6.0" in 2001... 4.3" in 2012... 4.2" in 2011... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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