EasternUSWX Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 Yikes Tonight Rain, possibly mixed with freezing rain, becoming all rain after 1am. Low around 31. Calm wind becoming northwest 5 to 7 mph after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Total nighttime ice accumulation of 0.4 to 0.6 of an inch possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 It's getting very bad up here, i've not seen this much ice on trees here in years. Starting to hear stuff break in the woods and theres a tree that came down over part of the road nearby. RGEM nailed this. Where you located? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 Friend in No. Lycoming county has large branch down right behind his house. We have quite a bit of ice to, small branches fell in back yard...most ice I've seen in a long time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted November 27, 2013 Author Share Posted November 27, 2013 RGEM nailed this. Where you located? Just a lil outside of Bellwood, like 7 miles north of Altoona. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 Interesting about tomorrow and Thanksgiving; might be some surprises like Saturday/Sunday: WED WILL SEE THE STORM RACE UP THROUGH EASTERN PA OR NJ IN THEMORNING WITH THE PRECIP WINDING DOWN AS THE LOW REACHES OURLATITUDE. POTENTIAL COMPLICATING FACTOR WOULD BE IF A TRAILINGWAVE KEEPS PRECIP GOING THROUGH MID DAY. AT THIS POINT WE SHOULDSEE AN END TO THE STEADY PRECIP BY LATE MORNING OR EARLY AFTERNOONALONG WITH BREEZY AND COLDER CONDITIONS SWEEPING IN BEHIND THEDEPARTING STORM.&&.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...COLD AND BLUSTERY FOR THANKSGIVING DAY...DRY WEATHER AND MODERATING TEMPERATURES INTO THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND...DEEP SFC LOW OVER NRN NEW ENGLAND AT 00Z THU WILL LIFT NWD INTONEWFOUNDLAND BY 12Z THU. ONCE THE MEAN UPPER TROUGH PIVOTS THROUGHTHE REGION...THE PATTERN WILL TRANSITION TO A BLUSTERY AND COLD NWFLOW REGIME FOR THANKSGIVING DAY...COMPLETE WITH LAKE EFFECT/UPSLOPESNOW SHOWERS FOCUSED OVER THE NW MTNS AND LAUREL HIGHLANDS. THEHIRES ARW/NMM MODELS ARE SHOWING A FEW INTENSE/NARROW LONG-FETCHBANDS/SQUALLS WITH A HURON CONNECTION IMPACTING PORTIONS OF THE WRNALLEGHENIES...POSSIBLY REACHING AS FAR EAST AS THE CNTRL MTNS. USEDA MULTI-MODEL CONSENSUS BLEND FOR QPF/SNOW AMTS WHICH RESULTED IN ANADDNL 2-4" OVER THE NW SNOWBELT WITH A GENERAL 1-2" ALONG THEALLEGHENY FRONT. SOME LOCALLY HIGHER AMTS WILL BE POSSIBLE WHEREBANDS PERSIST FOR LONGER DURATIONS. FREQUENT WNW WIND GUSTS BETWEEN20-30KTS COMBINED WITH TEMPS IN THE TEENS AND 20S WILL PRODUCE WINDCHILLS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND LOW TEENS WED NGT. HIGHS ON TURKEYDAY WILL AVG 15-20 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL WITH BRISK WINDS ADDING ANADDITIONAL CHILL WITH DAYTIME APPARENT TEMPS IN THE WRN MTNS HOLDINGIN THE UPPER SINGLE DIGITS AND LOW TEENS. EXPECT LAKE EFFECT/UPSLOPESNOW SHOWERS TO TAPER OFF THU NGT AS INVERSION HGTS LOWER AND THEBLYR FLOW BEGINS TO BACK TO THE WSW.&& Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dj88 Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 32 in Elysburg plain rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 Where did the snow tomorrow go on the nam? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 its slowly getting warmer here now... the easterly/northeasterly flow at the surface is finally managing to bring warmer air in... now 33 and rain... this region will warm a few degrees but mountains may manage to stay close to 32 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 I find it odd that the only times I can ever remember the nam being right when it was the only model with a solution was when it was the one showing a less snowy outcome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 Where did the snow tomorrow go on the nam? system gets kicked out too quick... the elongated nature doesn't look like it will allow for any wrap around... system not getting any stronger either yet... having a hard time finding a pressure under 1004 mb... doesn't look like it will get sub 1000mb until majority of precip is clear of all but northeast PA... upper level energy still digging into Gulf while surface low into Virginia and already racing northeast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 A decent amount of ice on trees and cars. Even some ice on the sidewalk out of my apartment. Temperatures might be a touch above freezing, but I think the places that already have ice are still slowly adding to the accumulations. Roads for the most part are fine, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 A decent amount of ice on trees and cars. Even some ice on the sidewalk out of my apartment. Temperatures might be a touch above freezing, but I think the places that already have ice are still slowly adding to the accumulations. Roads for the most part are fine, though. There's going to be a 5" thick slab of concrete outside tomorrow when this is all done. Hopefully the tree damage isn't too severe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 I find it odd that the only times I can ever remember the nam being right when it was the only model with a solution was when it was the one showing a less snowy outcome. I think it was the only one that got the more-than-expected last night/morning snow around here correct also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rick G Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 Temp just shot up 2.5 degrees in Wilkes-Barre. It was hovering around 32.7 all day, now it is 36.3. reports of icing above 1200 feet I am close to 800. there is a heavy fog as well.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted November 27, 2013 Author Share Posted November 27, 2013 I think it was the only one that got the more-than-expected last night/morning snow around here correct also. How much ice do you have there in Port Matilda? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 Was sick of hearing about ice without seeing picture, so went out and found some. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 Anyone watch channel 7 news in Johnstown? Boom I just got a shout out lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted November 27, 2013 Author Share Posted November 27, 2013 Was sick of hearing about ice without seeing picture, so went out and found some. lol I would be putting pics up but there's no streetlights out where I live and I can't really get good pics of this in the dark. Should have some wild pics in the morning since I don't think much of this ice will be going anywhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 Was sick of hearing about ice without seeing picture, so went out and found some. lol This was from earlier today. Quite a bit icier out now, actually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 I would be putting pics up but there's no streetlights out where I live and I can't really get good pics of this in the dark. Should have some wild pics in the morning since I don't think much of this ice will be going anywhere. Ya should shine in the light of day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 Here in Carlisle at 11:56pm the temperature is steady at 33.3 degrees. The heavy rain has tapered a bit to moderate. I have recorded 1.45" of total liquid for the storm today. I did not go above freezing until 4:46pm. It held at 32.2 degrees for almost 2 1/2 hours until 7:13pm and then did not reach 33.0 until 10:01pm. After hitting a high of 33.3 it has been fluctuating between 33. 3 and 33.1 degrees. It looks like I will have had a 3.3 degree diurnal day which is quite impressive. The freezing rain I had deposited a light glaze on all objects except sidewalks and streets. WInds holding out of the northeast at only around 5 mph. I've enjoyed tuning in periodically throughout the day to catch up on all the latest posts from everyone. Thanks to all for the updates! ---Stephen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted November 27, 2013 Author Share Posted November 27, 2013 Blair County 911 has been nonstop with calls for trees/branches down for the last couple hours I've had it on. Old US 22 (Not the actual US 22 expressway) that runs from Duncansville up the Allegheny front to Cresson being shut down due to many trees/branches on the road making it impassible. Also,sounded like the firefighters that were trying to clear stuff had to clear their way to get back out of there. Another call just coming in requesting Route 865 up the mountain from Bellwood to be shut down. Here at home, for now at least....relatively calm winds have kept things from getting out of hand. But I can still hear stuff breaking off and on. It isn't gonna take much of a breeze to tear stuff up with all the ice on the trees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 0.85", not exactly a rousing amount of precip thus far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted November 27, 2013 Author Share Posted November 27, 2013 Eastern you should be seeing the changeover pretty soon with whatever precip we have left over, Pittsburgh has went back over to light snow and dual pol seemed to suggest the changeover line was making some headway east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 Temperature at the Walker Building has actually cooled almost 2F since the peak temperature in the evening. This ice isn't going anywhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted November 27, 2013 Author Share Posted November 27, 2013 Temperature at the Walker Building has actually cooled almost 2F since the peak temperature in the evening. This ice isn't going anywhere. Yea that seems to be the reality of this icy situation, the temps are about as high as they're going to get for this event. This is not really a normal way to get an ice storm around here. Normally our ice storms come from a low moving up west of PA that have low level cold support in the form of a high up north and CAD. Pittsburgh would get torched and the central part of the state east of the mountains stays locked into the low level cold. Typically, we would have the main precip shield lift up the and the dry slot that would precede a cold front would mix down the warm air aloft and spike temps up to say, the upper 30s/lower 40s with a good breeze before things cool back off. Most times that allows most of the ice accrual to melt off trees. In this case, we have a coastal low that's tracking in a fashion that in a better setup would have delivered us a big time snowstorm. And there's no warm air west of the mountains, just the colder air rushing back into PA...and leaving a majority of ice on trees. I dread to think of what's going to happen when the winds start to kick up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted November 27, 2013 Author Share Posted November 27, 2013 Here's about the best shot I got for the night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 Rose 5 degrees overnight, sitting at 37 here at work, with lite to moderate at times rain. Hoping you northerners faired out ok with ice last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 No power all night, cold house. This really sucks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 No power all night, cold house. This really sucks. oh man, that really does suck! Did they give you any indication of when power would be restored? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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