CoastalWx Posted November 10, 2013 Share Posted November 10, 2013 Some lucky place may get a quick 2 inches under a squall..We'll just have to see how it unfolds LOL where Mt Greylock? Some of that QPF will be wasted as rain and we'll barely have 0.1" total so I don't see an inch unless this gets more juiced up as we get closer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 10, 2013 Share Posted November 10, 2013 LOL where Mt Greylock? Some of that QPF will be wasted as rain and we'll barely have 0.1" total so I don't see an inch unless this gets more juiced up as we get closer. Maybe..but i can think back to other cases similiar to this where some places have done better than any model. Not saying it's widespread ..but there will be places here and there that score 1-2 inches..Just being lucky under heavier squall of longer duration Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 10, 2013 Author Share Posted November 10, 2013 Maybe..but i can think back to other cases similiar to this where some places have done better than any model. Not saying it's widespread ..but there will be places here and there that score 1-2 inches..Just being lucky under heavier squall of longer duration West Chesterfield, e.g. I'll be happy if I see a few flakes that require me to turn on my wipers to clear. 34.6/31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 10, 2013 Share Posted November 10, 2013 Well hopefully most see flakes. That's about the bar I will set for myself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 10, 2013 Share Posted November 10, 2013 Today has that look on models of maybe some low topped convection in places..One of those deals where maybe a bolt or two of lightning and some small hail and gusty winds under a few cells..particluarly in Ri and E Ma Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 10, 2013 Share Posted November 10, 2013 Still raining here at home, but as G&R said, nothing lasts forever...even cold November rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 10, 2013 Share Posted November 10, 2013 Still raining here at home, but as G&R said, nothing lasts forever...even cold November rain.Mostly sunny here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 10, 2013 Author Share Posted November 10, 2013 Mostly sunny here Overcast here, but a few breaks to the NW. Just got back from church--was envious of the few cars driving in with snow on their roofs. Toasty. 39.3/35 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 10, 2013 Share Posted November 10, 2013 I'll take the 06z GEFS height pattern for 1000, Alex. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 10, 2013 Share Posted November 10, 2013 I'll take the 06z GEFS height pattern for 1000, Alex. Yup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 10, 2013 Author Share Posted November 10, 2013 Does anyone know when the front will be coming through western areas? I was looking at a mesomap and couldn't really locate it that way. Eager for my breeze. 39.2/34, overcast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 10, 2013 Share Posted November 10, 2013 ORH at -1.1F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 10, 2013 Share Posted November 10, 2013 ORH at -1.1FI agree with Scooter, been saying it since last year, somethings up with BOS ASOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted November 10, 2013 Share Posted November 10, 2013 gusting pretty good -rn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 10, 2013 Share Posted November 10, 2013 Euro still rather bullish for at least flakes if not some minor acc (for higher el) Tuesday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted November 10, 2013 Share Posted November 10, 2013 Day 8-10 EURO shows on helluva Great Lakes storm, looks like a giant blizzard for parts of MN though I don't get precip maps. Also eventually would lead to a pretty big cold blast Nov 20th or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 10, 2013 Share Posted November 10, 2013 Admittedly lala land but d10 op euro is a severe cold shot into the nations midsection reaching us at the end of period. D5-9 are pretty mild though. But on to matters at hand. Snow in the air Tuesday morning. Always a joyous event! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 10, 2013 Share Posted November 10, 2013 Day 8-10 EURO shows on helluva Great Lakes storm, looks like a giant blizzard for parts of MN though I don't get precip maps. Also eventually would lead to a pretty big cold blast Nov 20th or so. cold.gif That is a monster lake cutter . That's what we often see that heralds in a new wx regime. That would be one of our famous screaming soueasters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 10, 2013 Share Posted November 10, 2013 Euro still rather bullish for at least flakes if not some minor acc (for higher el) Tuesday morning. Surprised that some of the weenie non-hydrostatic models like the RPM are fairly meh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 10, 2013 Share Posted November 10, 2013 Also, that's a nice NAO evolving at the end of the run. It may be jumping the gun but I bet 11/25 onward is pretty cold for 1-3 weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted November 10, 2013 Share Posted November 10, 2013 Also, that's a nice NAO evolving at the end of the run. It may be jumping the gun but I bet 11/25 onward is pretty cold for 1-3 weeks. Yea this is 3rd run in a row that the EURO is showing this Lakes storm...GFS today started to show it as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 10, 2013 Share Posted November 10, 2013 That is a monster lake cutter . That's what we often see that heralds in a new wx regime. That would be one of our famous screaming soueasters. The Euro pummels us with 15 knot sustained winds from that one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 10, 2013 Share Posted November 10, 2013 Well GEFS still bullish on nice EPO beyond d10. The guidance seems to be consistent from euro ens and GEFS for some nice potential in a couple of weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 10, 2013 Share Posted November 10, 2013 Surprised that some of the weenie non-hydrostatic models like the RPM are fairly meh. Funny you said that because one of the guys here said the same thing. Although, I'm not shocked it's doing that...sometimes it doesn't have a clue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 10, 2013 Share Posted November 10, 2013 Rain and 43.6. Lovely afternoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 10, 2013 Share Posted November 10, 2013 Stepping down....step by step....seasons being seasons. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 10, 2013 Share Posted November 10, 2013 All models furnace us just after mid month. Perhaps the week after is when we see a change with the EPO, but typical caveats apply. With the flow still zonal in the30N-45N belt, it won't cool off quickly. It may take awhile for us to cool off if this pattern does switch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 10, 2013 Share Posted November 10, 2013 Funny you said that because one of the guys here said the same thing. Although, I'm not shocked it's doing that...sometimes it doesn't have a clue. NAM too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 10, 2013 Share Posted November 10, 2013 Actually some tstms south of Maine right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 10, 2013 Share Posted November 10, 2013 All models furnace us just after mid month. Perhaps the week after is when we see a change with the EPO, but typical caveats apply. With the flow still zonal in the30N-45N belt, it won't cool off quickly. It may take awhile for us to cool off if this pattern does switch. Yeah I think even a flip results in a slow cool down. Definitely looks mild but I think there's light at the end of the tunnel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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