user13 Posted September 24, 2013 Share Posted September 24, 2013 Ill just agree to disagree for the next 65 days. Come Dec 1 - St Patty's day ill root righ along with you fine fellas. Agree with you Sacrus, I hate the fall and the cold but at-least in winter I can track storms which makes the cold bearable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted September 24, 2013 Share Posted September 24, 2013 After today all of nyc metro is below avg for september! warlocks warm sept is a fail! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 24, 2013 Share Posted September 24, 2013 53 now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted September 24, 2013 Share Posted September 24, 2013 The 00Z ECMWF certainly throws a wrench into the weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted September 24, 2013 Share Posted September 24, 2013 The 00Z ECMWF certainly throws a wrench into the weekend. lol wow... 3 years in a row? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted September 24, 2013 Share Posted September 24, 2013 At 7 am, the temperature had fallen to 47° in NYC's Central Park. That is the first time the temperature has fallen below 50° in NYC during September since September 30, 2009 when the temperature fell to 49°. It is also the earliest sub-50° reading since September 24, 1998 when the mercury fell to 49°. The last time the temperature was at least as cool in September occurred on September 29, 2000 when the temperature fell to 43°. The last time it was at least as cool in September this early in the month was September 20, 1993 when the temperature dipped to 44°. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEXtreme Posted September 24, 2013 Share Posted September 24, 2013 42 here in bloomfield! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted September 24, 2013 Share Posted September 24, 2013 Second 30s of the year here. 38.1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted September 24, 2013 Share Posted September 24, 2013 The 00Z ECMWF certainly throws a wrench into the weekend. CMC has the feature as well.. but's that's not saying much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
supermeh Posted September 24, 2013 Share Posted September 24, 2013 38 here now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted September 24, 2013 Share Posted September 24, 2013 45F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted September 24, 2013 Share Posted September 24, 2013 CMC has the feature as well.. but's that's not saying much. Isn't the GFS showing development too, but just farther east and later in time, affecting Canadian MT areas Mon-Tues? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted September 24, 2013 Share Posted September 24, 2013 CMC has the feature as well.. but's that's not saying much. OKX mentions it in their morning AFD: ON MONDAY...AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST. MEANWHILE...ECMWF IS HINTING AT A COASTAL LOW DEVELOPING AND IMPACTING THE REGION SOMETIME IN THE LATE SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY TIME FRAME. THE 00Z GFS ALSO HAS A COASTAL LOW DEVELOPING...HOWEVER THE GFS KEEPS THE LOW FAR ENOUGH EAST...WHERE IT WONT IMPACT THE REGION. FOR NOW...WILL JUST HAVE SLIGHT CHANCE OR CHANCE POPS MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 24, 2013 Share Posted September 24, 2013 The ECMWF ens are further offshore than the OP with the EC storm. We'll probably need to wait for agreement between the two to know how close to the coast the low gets. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted September 24, 2013 Share Posted September 24, 2013 Isn't the GFS showing development too, but just farther east and later in time, affecting Canadian MT areas Mon-Tues? Correct. When is this boring (although awesome) stretch of southern California type weather going to come to an end? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted September 24, 2013 Share Posted September 24, 2013 From Taunton: CONFIDENCE LEVEL/MODEL GUIDANCE...HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE FORECAST OF THE MEDIUM RANGE...WITH A LOWCONFIDENCE IN THE EXTENDED. 00Z MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN GOODAGREEMENT FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WORK WEEK SHOWING DRY AND HIGHPRESSURE DOMINATING OVER NEW ENGLAND. HOWEVER STARTING EARLY NEXTWEEK...MODELS DIVERGE SIGNIFICANTLY. THERE SEEMS TO BE TWODIFFERENT CAMPS...THE EC/CANADIAN AND THE GFS/UKMET/ECENS. THEEC/CANADIAN SHOWS A PRETTY STRONG COASTAL LOW WITH SOME TROPICALCHARACTERISTICS MOVING UP THE EASTERN SEABOARD ON SUNDAY ANDIMPACTING SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND LATE SUNDAY AND INTO MONDAY. EVENTHE 00Z EC IS A WHOLE DAY FASTER THEN ITS PREVIOUS RUN. HOWEVERTHE GFS/UKMET/ECENS SHOW A WEAKER COASTAL LOW AND KEEPS IT WELL TOTHE SOUTH OF THE REGION. GEFS KEEPS THE SYSTEM OFFSHORE AS WELLHOWEVER THERE ARE A FEW MEMBERS ALIGNED WITH THE EC. BELIEVE THATTHE ECMWF IS A TAD TO FAST FOR THIS UPCOMING SYSTEM AS WE ARE INAN AMPLIFIED PATTERN. THEREFORE FOR THIS FORECAST...TRENDEDTOWARDS WPC. SUNDAY AND BEYOND...SUNDAY COULD GO TWO DIFFERENT WAYS DEPENDING ON WHICH GROUPING OFMODELS YOU PREFER. HOWEVER IT ALL DEPENDS ON THE STRENGTH OF THEHIGH...WHETHER ITS STRONG ENOUGH TO KEEP COASTAL LOW OFFSHORE ORWEAK ENOUGH FOR THE SYSTEM TO COME INTO NEW ENGLAND. THIS SYSTEMWILL HAVE TO BE WATCHED OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL RUNS TO SEE WHERE ITENDS UP...INTO THE REGION OR OFFSHORE. IDEALLY BELIEVE THAT THETREND OF THIS SYSTEM WILL SLOW DOWN DUE TO AMPLIFIED PATTERN SOBELIEVE SUNDAY WOULD BE A PLEASANT DAY...WITH SOME EFFECT FROM THECOASTAL SYSTEM IMPACTING THE REGION MONDAY/TUESDAY. -- End Changed Discussion -- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted September 24, 2013 Share Posted September 24, 2013 43 in New Brunswick last night. Glad to see the city break the 40's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted September 24, 2013 Share Posted September 24, 2013 From Henry Margusity's Twitter feed: My Jersey boy Bob Van Dillan should be watching this one closely. NAO going to -2 means coastal storms and Euro may be one something again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted September 24, 2013 Share Posted September 24, 2013 47 in NYC this morning is the coldest September temp since the 43 in 2000...The 2000's averaged 49.7 for a September min...the average now is 51.3 since 2010... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted September 24, 2013 Share Posted September 24, 2013 Down to 42F here this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted September 24, 2013 Share Posted September 24, 2013 47 minimum here this morning. Wind stayed up all night. Check this out (subject is Bridgehampton coop observer): http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vf6d0z0SXk0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 24, 2013 Share Posted September 24, 2013 0z Euro 0z GGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted September 24, 2013 Share Posted September 24, 2013 0z Euro 0z GGEM Yup, what a nice setup this would have been in January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chaser25973 Posted September 24, 2013 Share Posted September 24, 2013 Sandy or Irene redux? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted September 24, 2013 Share Posted September 24, 2013 Sandy or Irene redux? Irene in terms of impacts. Biggest impacts would be heavy rain and gusty winds. The GGEM then has a similar setup again day ten Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 24, 2013 Share Posted September 24, 2013 For laughs and giggles. CFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted September 24, 2013 Share Posted September 24, 2013 For laughs and giggles. CFS I think we start making up for the lack of rainfall recently in a big way the next two months. It seems like the pattern the last few years has been nothing but extremes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mupawxnut Posted September 24, 2013 Share Posted September 24, 2013 I think we start making up for the lack of rainfall recently in a big way the next two months. It seems like the pattern the last few years has been nothing but extremes. Can you back this up with some meteorological evidence? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted September 24, 2013 Share Posted September 24, 2013 Are we going to make the forecasted low 70s today? Really struggling to climb. Still 61 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted September 24, 2013 Share Posted September 24, 2013 Can you back this up with some meteorological evidence? Blocking signal showing up on the models with a persistant east coast trough and a negative NAO in place. We have seen some of our biggest weather events right as the NAO started to swing back positive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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