Thundersnow12 Posted May 29, 2013 Share Posted May 29, 2013 AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL 700 PM CDT TUE MAY 28 2013 DISCUSSION 637 PM CDT IN THE PROCESS OF EXPANDING THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH NORTHWARD TO INCLUDE ALL BUT FAR NORTHERN TIER OF COUNTIES FOR TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. RESERVOIR OF DEEP MOISTURE POOLING ALONG AND JUST SOUTH OF THE QUASI-STATIONARY BOUNDARY DRAPED ACROSS THE REGION WITH PWATS AROUND 200% OF NORMAL. REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS LONG MOSTLY WEST-EAST AREA OF CONVECTION FIRING FROM NC IL WEST ACROSS SOUTHERN IOWA TO SE NEBRASKA. VORT MAX MOVING INTO WESTERN IOWA WILL CONTINUE TO TRANSLATE EASTWARD TONIGHT WITH LOW LEVEL JET LIKELY TO INTENSIFY THIS EVENING IN ADVANCE OF THIS FEATURE FURTHERING ENHANCING ASCENT AND LL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE. RUC/WRF-NAM BOTH FORECAST CORFIDI VECTORS MAGNITUDE TO DROP TO NEAR ZERO TONIGHT AS THE LOW LEVEL JET INTENSIFIES...FURTHER POINTING TOWARD THE POTENTIAL FOR TRAINING CONVECTION TONIGHT. HEAVIER STORMS COULD EASILY PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS GREATER THAN 2 INCHES PER HOUR...AND SHOULD CONVECTION BEGIN TO TRAIN AS I FEAR THEN THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALIZED AREAS TO END UP WITH 5+ INCHES OF RAIN TONIGHT SEEMS QUITE PLAUSIBLE WITH POTENTIAL FOR LOCALIZED SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOOD EVENT. IZZI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted May 29, 2013 Share Posted May 29, 2013 crap, totally forgot about my heavy rain thread. what a failure that thing is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted May 29, 2013 Share Posted May 29, 2013 After what took place in mid April, I'm sure many people in N. IL would take a severe weather event over another 4-5" rainstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted May 29, 2013 Share Posted May 29, 2013 Power flashes near Union City, PA. Tornado on the ground with damage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted May 29, 2013 Share Posted May 29, 2013 Starting to look like the previous storm. It has a bit more of an ESE jog compared to the other one though. The storm lost it's rotation north of Lansing. A trained spotter did report a funnel cloud with it about 15 minutes ago. EMA checked out the area around Leslie and found no signs of damage from a possible tornado from the earlier warned storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted May 29, 2013 Share Posted May 29, 2013 new storms firing just north of QC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted May 29, 2013 Share Posted May 29, 2013 BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 819 PM EDT TUE MAY 28 2013 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE PA HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... NORTHERN WARREN COUNTY PENNSYLVANIA... * UNTIL 915 PM EDT * AT 812 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED AND TRAINED SKYWARN WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A TORNADO NEAR UNION CITY. THE STORM CONTAINING THE TORNADO WAS MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH. * THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR... COLUMBUS AROUND 830 PM EDT... SPRING CREEK AROUND 835 PM EDT... LOTTSVILLE AROUND 845 PM EDT... YOUNGSVILLE AROUND 855 PM EDT... RUSSELL AND WARREN AROUND 910 PM EDT... THIS WILL IMPACT THE FOLLOWING MAJOR ROADS...ROUTE 6...ROUTE 62... STATE ROAD 59. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Castaway Posted May 29, 2013 Share Posted May 29, 2013 After what took place in mid April, I'm sure many people in N. IL would take a severe weather event over another 4-5" rainstorm. Hopefully that won't happen. That would suck. So many roads and highways were blocked for days... Of course among other things. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeye05 Posted May 29, 2013 Share Posted May 29, 2013 Going to pass very close to Corry/Elgin. Both of those areas got hit very hard by an F4 in 1985. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted May 29, 2013 Share Posted May 29, 2013 situation in Iowa could become rather epic if the next few days deliver Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Castaway Posted May 29, 2013 Share Posted May 29, 2013 It got dark here in dupage quickly. That system coming up is a hog. A lot of rain coming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted May 29, 2013 Share Posted May 29, 2013 Cubs and White Sox better take cover soon on the south side... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted May 29, 2013 Share Posted May 29, 2013 lol...There were funnel cloud reports west of Lansing when radar showed moderate rotation. It's now NE of Lansing and has lost its rotation and now this... BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTEDTORNADO WARNINGNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI832 PM EDT TUE MAY 28 2013THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A* TORNADO WARNING FOR... SOUTHERN SHIAWASSEE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN...* UNTIL 930 PM EDT* AT 830 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED 5 MILES NORTH OF HASLETT...AND MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. HAZARD...TORNADO AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION. IMPACT...MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DEADLY TO PEOPLE AND ANIMALS. TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY.* THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR... SHAFTSBURG AROUND 845 PM EDT. PERRY AROUND 850 PM EDT. MORRICE AROUND 855 PM EDT. BANCROFT AROUND 905 PM EDT. DURAND AROUND 915 PM EDT. BYRON AROUND 920 PM EDT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted May 29, 2013 Share Posted May 29, 2013 looks like the E-W line in LOT is trying to become more N-S oriented. Cells are converging around I-39. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted May 29, 2013 Share Posted May 29, 2013 situation in Iowa could become rather epic if the next few days deliver 2008 and 2011 had some big time flooding in Iowa if I remember correctly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted May 29, 2013 Share Posted May 29, 2013 lol...There were funnel cloud reports west of Lansing when radar showed moderate rotation. It's now NE of Lansing and has lost its rotation and now this... BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI 832 PM EDT TUE MAY 28 2013 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... SOUTHERN SHIAWASSEE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN... * UNTIL 930 PM EDT * AT 830 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED 5 MILES NORTH OF HASLETT...AND MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. HAZARD...TORNADO AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION. IMPACT...MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DEADLY TO PEOPLE AND ANIMALS. TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY. * THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR... SHAFTSBURG AROUND 845 PM EDT. PERRY AROUND 850 PM EDT. MORRICE AROUND 855 PM EDT. BANCROFT AROUND 905 PM EDT. DURAND AROUND 915 PM EDT. BYRON AROUND 920 PM EDT. Circulation is getting a bit better organized West of Perry, still broad but increasing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted May 29, 2013 Share Posted May 29, 2013 Extensive damage with the tornado in PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted May 29, 2013 Share Posted May 29, 2013 2008 and 2011 had some big time flooding in Iowa if I remember correctly. yeah, there have a been quite a few major training events in the region lately Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadotony Posted May 29, 2013 Share Posted May 29, 2013 Watch that line in the SW part of LOT's CWA. Getting its act together and being aided by an MCV in La Salle County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted May 29, 2013 Share Posted May 29, 2013 Area blowing up north of QC may mingle with the line coming out of southern iowa and present some enhanced threats over the next hour or 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted May 29, 2013 Share Posted May 29, 2013 the sky is green here....very ominous with storms exploding to the south, east and west. i hear thunder booming in the distance, and the birds chirping in the yard. Weird feeling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted May 29, 2013 Share Posted May 29, 2013 Circulation is getting a bit better organized West of Perry, still broad but increasing. Rotation was much tighter when Chargers and I were discussing it 45 minutes ago and they only issued a significant weather advisory on it. Now reports are coming in of major damage to a lumberyard and another building. Fire department reporting debris littering roadways. EDIT: Also a semi rolled over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted May 29, 2013 Share Posted May 29, 2013 Watch that line in the SW part of LOT's CWA. Getting its act together and being aided by an MCV in La Salle County. lightning intensity has really ramped up the last 5 minutes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Perry Posted May 29, 2013 Share Posted May 29, 2013 I feel SW MI may be under the gun soon. It's ridiculously windy followed by calm, you could probably cut the air with a knife it's so thick. These storms will probably have impressive lightning with mid level venting and a LLJ feeding them Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Justin Posted May 29, 2013 Share Posted May 29, 2013 Our area certainly looks prime for heavy rain tonight 3-6" where the training sets up is going to cause major problems. Not looking good around here, then the rain the rest of the week... I don't have time to build an ark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brettman320 Posted May 29, 2013 Share Posted May 29, 2013 Decent rotation west of flint too not warned yet though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeye05 Posted May 29, 2013 Share Posted May 29, 2013 Definite rotation right over Perry, MI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted May 29, 2013 Share Posted May 29, 2013 getting some pea sized hail....constant lightning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted May 29, 2013 Share Posted May 29, 2013 Watch that line in the SW part of LOT's CWA. Getting its act together and being aided by an MCV in La Salle County. Sure did. Cell severe warned now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted May 29, 2013 Share Posted May 29, 2013 getting some pea sized hail....constant lightning same here...lights flickering. Blue flashes equal power outages. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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