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Spring in New Jersey, New York and Connecticut Banter Thread


IsentropicLift

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NYC/LI (except Pine Barrens) should be fine and stay in the low to mid 40's, 30's elsewhere. Radiational cooling areas might get around freezing.

...going to be a close call for me in eastport..veggies are not in yet but i do have 

some annuals in pots..they will get a blanket on them tonite and hopefully that 

will protect them..

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The park got down to 42

- 44 here in Queens

 

The Heat island was so evident tonight:

 

I think it's the wind that didn't die down that didn't let us cool as much. Look at somervile, down to 31 with a calm wind and still calm with a cuurent temp of 34. Westhampton which beats or matches somerville all the time is at 45 with a decent wind but overnight when the winds went calm they dipped to 31.

 

So while the city was never going to get as low as the suburbs, places like east Queens and Nassau would have cooled off more if the winds had died down early.

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The models have a thunderstorm signal Wednesday with the frontal passage late in the day.

A 700 mb jet of 45kt+ coupled with elevated instability and a WNW flow could allow for some stronger

cells develop and race ESE with steep mid level lapse rates.

 

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The models have a thunderstorm signal Wednesday with the frontal passage late in the day.

A 700 mb jet of 45kt+ coupled with elevated instability and a WNW flow could allow for some stronger

cells develop and race ESE with steep mid level lapse rates.

 

attachicon.gifSND.gif

It looks like the highest risk will be southwest of the City. A southeast to south wind is not ideal, but a few weakening storms could make it towards the coast.

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It looks like the highest risk will be southwest of the City. A southeast to south wind is not ideal, but a few weakening storms could make it towards the coast.

 

I agree, at this point. The 12z 4km NAM has small MCS passing to SW of NYC early tomorrow evening:

 

30ryao2.jpg

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