Wmsptwx Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 Grass is covered..over an inch here definitely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted March 16, 2013 Author Share Posted March 16, 2013 I think we need double digits...I want to say 11.5 or 12. Not gonna happen. I do think we sneek an inch or two out Monday on cold surfaces. IPT area is officially at about 27.1" for the season. 1981-2010 average is 36.4".. so bout 9 inches off unless your using the long term one since 1895, which in that case would be 11.7". Probably subtract a little off that from todays event, I would think Williamsport snuck some kind of measureable snowfall since things ended up a lil further north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 Yea we have over an inch haven't measured. Do we have a shot at anything Monday, or will it be too far south? We may get to 30 ish if we can get something out of that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blacktalon Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 Lmao. Its snowing baseballs here.love it.no snow when it counts,but it snows now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 an interesting rain/snow/sleet combination here right now... have about .2" on the deck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 I was just getting ready to report that djr but i don't have us much down here in the flat lands! Ground is covered though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 I was just getting ready to report that djr but i don't have us much down here in the flat lands! Ground is covered though grass was covered here this morning... then melted... then back to what it was this morning now... road/sidewalk/driveway still just wet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 Lightning strikes showing up south of JST. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted March 16, 2013 Author Share Posted March 16, 2013 At break in my conference at the Penn Stater, eyeballing it I'd say we got close to 3. Here's the latest accumulations: ...CENTRE COUNTY... BLANCHARD 3.0 1245 PM 3/16 SOCIAL MEDIA PORT MATILDA 2.2 1100 AM 3/16 NWS EMPLOYEE STORMSTOWN 2.0 1230 PM 3/16 CO-OP OBSERVER PARK FOREST 2.0 1100 AM 3/16 NWS EMPLOYEE The snow is varying in intensity, comes down very hard at times. Kudos to NWS CTP for calling for 1-3, I was skeptical. Yea it was a pretty good call, there was even a 4" report in Clearfield county. Things snuck a hair north at the last moment which was picked up on models making it a Clearfield/Centre bullseye instead of what had been looking like more of a Cambria/Blair one. That PNS had some pretty decent totals a bit further up in the north-central as well. Early week system should be interesting. I noticed models are hanging alot of precip south of the mason-dixon for awhile before lifting up through PA. NAM/GFS/SREFs seem to be trying to get some overrunning snows on the boundary along the I-68 to I-70 corridor right to DC. GFS almost looked like it had better snow chances on the back end of the storm than it did at the beginning for C-PA. Given today's system ended up a bit further north (certainly further north than it was looking a couple days ago), might have to watch this potential overrunning area to end up a little further north as well. That just kind of looks modeled a bit south to me attm, but we'll see. This type of boundary set up with one system quickly following on the heels of the other usually likes to favor the second storms snow area not venturing too far from the first one. But the developing high to the north will help dictate things as well as where the frontal boundary settles. I think it still looks like an advisory event to me in the north central when all is set and done, and a good chance it is one for the rest of the central counties with some of the Sus Valley (Harrisburg area) getting an inch or two. Don't hold me to that though haha, still a lot of details to hash out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 pellets like a mofo right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 I need 19" to get to season average. I win! You almost win. I need 20.2" to my average. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 pellets like a mofo right now Verified...they sting, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itunis Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 Coming down hard again, eyeballing looks like 3" or so in spots Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 Verified...they sting, too. lol now nothing. What a weird day. I think we've had everything but hail here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted March 16, 2013 Author Share Posted March 16, 2013 Wow Euros feisty for UNV: MON 18Z 18-MAR -3.7 -4.9 1024 82 99 0.24 558 539 TUE 00Z 19-MAR -2.4 -4.1 1018 92 100 0.28 557 543 TUE 06Z 19-MAR -0.6 0.1 1011 96 99 0.38 553 544 TUE 12Z 19-MAR 0.8 -1.3 1009 96 24 0.15 546 539 Thats over half an inch of QPF easily as snow, a 0.38" 6 hour frame where 850s get to essentially right at the freezing point but surface temps slightly below freezing (perhaps some mixing at some point in that 6 hour frame) and then another 0.15 with 850s back below and surface near freezing. That'd either be a snow bomb or something close to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 You have ipt bud? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rick G Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 Moderate snow here. just over a inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted March 16, 2013 Author Share Posted March 16, 2013 You have ipt bud? QPF is just about an inch, your 850s stay below freezing so probably mostly or all snow. Good timing as well, with bulk of precip falling late in the day and overnight. ON 18Z 18-MAR -2.7 -5.8 1026 65 100 0.07 557 537 TUE 00Z 19-MAR -3.1 -5.3 1020 90 99 0.31 557 541 TUE 06Z 19-MAR -1.8 -0.9 1013 95 100 0.33 553 543 TUE 12Z 19-MAR 0.3 -0.9 1008 98 34 0.26 548 541 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 Wow..big differences in GFS and EURO.....Euro has been dead on consistent for awhile now with this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 Euro has been dead on consistent for awhile now with this we all know what that means.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 Wow..big differences in GFS and EURO.....Euro has been dead on consistent for awhile now with this someone correct me if I am wrong but from the little I have been able to look at 12z Euro and GFS runs it looks like Euro has coldest temp profile, and NAM warmest with GFS in between? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdskidoo Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 looks like the 12z euro has all of central PA in the 6'+ range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 We will see what transpires I guess....probably a compromise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 We will see what transpires I guess....probably a compromise. Snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 here's the euro with counties Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 Snow Plus 1..... Lets see if Euro holds true. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 here's the euro with counties The primary low is way north over Lake Superior so the warm push wouldn't be as strong as a low over OH. If it comes in fast enough I could see a nice thump happening for many in this forum, perhaps even down to MDT. Euro looks like it has about a foot of snow from UNV to near Lock Haven, likely a little too cold (it's run a little cold in some of the storms this year) but it shows the threat for more of a front-end heavy snow for at least a few hours and probably sleet/ZR thereafter as the warm push shouldn't be overwhelming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Laurel Highlands Wx Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 The primary low is way north over Lake Superior so the warm push wouldn't be as strong as a low over OH. If it comes in fast enough I could see a nice thump happening for many in this forum, perhaps even down to MDT. Euro looks like it has about a foot of snow from UNV to near Lock Haven, likely a little too cold (it's run a little cold in some of the storms this year) but it shows the threat for more of a front-end heavy snow for at least a few hours and probably sleet/ZR thereafter as the warm push shouldn't be overwhelming. This I agree with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 I thought we weren't allowed to post AccuWx pro maps... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clarks green snow Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 Still have a nice moderate snow sliding through here north of Scranton in the Abingtons. +2 with a few hours to go. Looking good up here for Tuesday! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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