Stebo Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 06z NAM coming in much much better than the 00z. Basically has 4"+ for the 96-696 corridor north. Some near 10" totals for the Northern Lake Ontario shoreline. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 1:57 pm local time per the climate report. Hmm that doesn't sound right, I wasn't in charge of running the climate yesterday, but believe the ORD ASOS was having some issues yesterday. Unfortunately the data log only goes back 12 hours but I'll see what I can do today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 GRR basically tosses the euro and its ensembles ( they showed .50 - .75 from I94 north across the whole GRR area ) in the garbage. YES they mention it in the AFD but the actual forecast has only 1-2 for the zones along i94. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 And the 06z GFS heads towards the euro which SSC/Toronto crew will like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 I'm going to go with a prelim call of 6-8" for Toronto. I'd was going to go with some local 10"+ amounts near lake Ontario due to LES but I'm worried any additional amounts received via LES will be offset by that potential dryslot lurking to the south. I think NE lower + the thumb will be the biggest winners in our subforum. Looks like they get some persistent WAA snow ahead of the main pcpn shield + enhancement off Lk Huron as the low departs. Foot and change sound outlandish? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Still not looking too good for Chicagoland IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Actually losing sleep over this one. Slept fine with the December 27th storm even when the NAM was spitting out 2 foot totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Actually losing sleep over this one. Slept fine with the December 27th storm even when the NAM was spitting out 2 foot totals. In Dec lots of game time left. We're in the 4th with 5 min left. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 FWIW I do believe the city went over freezing yesterday...quite a lot of melt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
London snowsquall Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Actually losing sleep over this one. Slept fine with the December 27th storm even when the NAM was spitting out 2 foot totals. No issue like that here for this one. EC says 2 cm tomorrow....someone's gonna bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 In Dec lots of game time left. We're in the 4th with 5 min left. That's it. On air met out of Buffalo was saying forecasts for a certain oscillation (he didn't specify, maybe MJO?) were hinting that we torch later this month into early March. So it's at least possible that this will be my last threat for siggy snow this season. Anyway, there's lots of time for sleep in the spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 No issue like that here for this one. EC says 2 cm tomorrow....someone's gonna bust. You're going to get more tomorrow night Alan. Although I think the heaviest total snow will probably stay just north of you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XcNick Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 ...MORE SNOW TONIGHT AND THURSDAY POSSIBLY HEAVY IN SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN....SNOW WILL DEVELOP TONIGHT MAINLY NORTH OF MADISON AND MILWAUKEEWITH SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN TO THE SOUTH AS LOW PRESSUREAPPROACHES FROM THE WEST. EAST CENTRAL WISCONSIN WILL SEE SEVERALINCHES OF SNOW TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY WHILE THERE IS THEPOTENTIAL FOR MORE SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OVER SOUTHEASTWISCONSIN ON THURSDAY AS LOW PRESSURE STRENGTHENS. LIGHT ICEACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT OVER FAR SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTWISCONSIN WHERE THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR FREEZING RAIN.WIZ059-060-065-066-070>072-061815-/O.NEW.KMKX.WS.A.0003.130207T1200Z-130208T0000Z/WASHINGTON-OZAUKEE-WAUKESHA-MILWAUKEE-WALWORTH-RACINE-KENOSHA-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WEST BEND...PORT WASHINGTON...WAUKESHA...BROOKFIELD...MILWAUKEE...ELKHORN...LAKE GENEVA...RACINE...KENOSHA409 AM CST WED FEB 6 2013...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGHTHURSDAY AFTERNOON...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN HAS ISSUED AWINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNINGTHROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON.* TIMING...LIGHT SNOW WILL DEVELOP TONIGHT BUT BECOME HEAVIER ON THURSDAY. SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN MAY MIX WITH THE SNOW TONIGHT FROM WAUKESHA TO MILWAUKEE AND SOUTH TO THE ILLINOIS BORDER. LIGHT ICE ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE.* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...5 TO 8 INCHES MAINLY ON THURSDAY.* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS AND HAZARDOUS TRAVEL.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... I'll take this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 The chances we stay as all snow look better and better. Now the question is how much will fall. MKX MODELS COMING INTO BETTER AGREEMENT WITH STRONG FRONTOGENESIS SETUPON THURSDAY. TEMPS WILL BE COOLING ALOFT DURING THE DAY...AND STRONGLIFT WILL PROBABLY HELP THINGS COOL EVEN MORE. EVEN THE MILD NAMWOULD BE ALL SNOW AT MILWAUKEE THROUGH THROUGH THE DAY. THINK THEREWILL BE A LINGERING SLEET AND MAYBE FREEZING RAIN CHANCE IN THESOUTHWEST...PARTICULARLY IN THE MORNING. COLDER ECMWF AND GFS WOULDBE MAINLY SNOW THOUGH. BEST OVERLAP OF HIGHER QPF AND COLDER TEMPSLOOKS TO BE IN EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA...SO OPTED TOGO WITH A WINTER STORM WATCH THROUGH THE DAYTIME PERIOD. KEPT OUTTHE FAR NORTHEAST COUNTIES...AS BETTER LIFT/MOISTURE WILL SETUPFARTHER SOUTH. WILL BE A MUCH WETTER SNOW THAN THE LAST FEWEVENTS...WITH TEMPS RIGHT AROUND 32 DEGREES THROUGH THE DAY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 southern end of the 6" line runs from about DKB-MDW on the Euro.. This winter owes us at least one surprise. Bring on a couple degrees cooler with a surprise concrete storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 This winter owes us at least one surprise. Bring on a couple degrees cooler with a surprise concrete storm Don't get your hopes up...Euro has been poor this winter. Ride the GFS and enjor your half inch of slop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 This is going to be YYZ's "NAM being stupid" run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 I'm going to go with 6" for Toronto, with us getting 8" if we're lucky. It should be a cold storm too, if the east/northeast wind kicks in with Ottawa, for example, expecting a high in the low single digets on Thursday with snow. So much for the "it's too cold to snow" nonsence that I hear all too often, especially from non weather enthusiasts in Toronto. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 NAM shows a very nice hit for North of 59 to 69. WSW material! 0.50-1.00" QPF. 5-10". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 And it was. 1.25" blob over the city. Jibes with what the EURO's showing. Lock in with the EE rule? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 MBS to YYZ shows 8-14" damn! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 NAM shows a very nice hit for North of 59 to 69. WSW material! 0.50-1.00" QPF. 5-10". Indeed. I94 screw job in the works. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Indeed. I94 screw job in the works. Had a nice run though no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Indeed. I94 screw job in the works. The heaviest snow will be in mid-MI for a change...but I94 probably wont be screwed. A screwjob is Jan 1, 2008, not getting several inches of snow when you looked to get nothing or rain a few days earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Had a nice run though no? didn't take long for the MI crew to start complaining Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Had a nice run though no? Low reaches Monroe County south of Detroit. Means a period of dry slotting 696 south. needs to shift at least another 50 --75 miles south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestCoaster Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Every weather outlet seems to be going with 4-6" for the GTA, not sure which forecasting tools they've been looking at 24 hrs out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted February 6, 2013 Author Share Posted February 6, 2013 NAM is a tad warmer, but should still be good for a few inches of wet snow north of the IL/WI border during the day tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 didn't take long for the MI crew to start complaining Who's complaining? I'm just stating what I seen on this NAM run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 didn't take long for the MI crew to start complaining you're lovely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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