powderfreak Posted January 19, 2013 Author Share Posted January 19, 2013 LOL that 6z GFS is as good as it gets for all of New England. Even up here in NW New England we'd be on the NW edge but the NW-flow upslope enhancement would cancel less QPF out pretty quickly. I'm not sure I've ever seen a prog that shows snow literally all over New England in one storm like that, haha. I do like how its been weakening the confluence the past couple runs over southern Canada and in the Maritimes. If that trend keeps up this could be a biggie without eascaping too far east. Just hopefully we don't end up back with a cutter in 3 days, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 dare I say the 06z gfs has a bit of a march 2001 look. The northern 500 low drops in from the lakes and kinda phases late. This antecedent shortwave is a clipper as opposed to a southern stream system, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 SWFE look with low moving into NY state on the 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 SWFE look with low moving into NY state on the 12z. Score Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 Score New low redevelops off of NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 New low redevelops off of NC. ENE scrape, but it's a contendah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 interesting evolution there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 lol wtf on the gfs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 That's a hard thing to do, but not the only model or run to suggest it. I buy the SWFE look though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 SWFE look with low moving into NY state on the 12z.i wonder if this turns out somewhat like a 12/13/07. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 i wonder if this turns out somewhat like a 12/13/07. One hell of a cold airmass it's slamming into. What it does after is really interesting. More energy dives around into the deep south and fires a new low along the front. Verbatim it's snow to sleet or even ZR here..to snow..lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 Woah was not expecting that shift. Looks like that would have some temp issues down my way but .5+QPF in Lake Placid and it looks like I'm heading up there next weekend so will have to keep close eye on this-friday drive could be very ugly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 Central/northern New England would get completely hammered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 One hell of a cold airmass it's slamming into. What it does after is really interesting. More energy dives around into the deep south and fires a new low along the front. Verbatim it's snow to sleet or even ZR here..to snow..lol. I like what I see out of the GFS today. I think we see the lead wave dampen out as we get closer given the antecedent airmass. Going to be tough to drive a system like the GFS shows up into that without some sort of redevelopment off the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 I like what I see out of the GFS today. I think we see the lead wave dampen out as we get closer given the antecedent airmass. Going to be tough to drive a system like the GFS shows up into that without some sort of redevelopment off the coast. I thought it was going to dampen out, but if you look at H5, the confluence over us lifts out just enough and you allow that ULL over se Hudson Bay and another s/w over Lake Superior at hr 144 to get involved. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 One hell of a cold airmass it's slamming into. What it does after is really interesting. More energy dives around into the deep south and fires a new low along the front. Verbatim it's snow to sleet or even ZR here..to snow..lol.well, we need to do something with this incoming cold airmass. If not, i'll move to Florida next year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 well, we need to do something with this incoming cold airmass. If not, i'll move to Florida next year. I have bare ground now...hoping to get some white stuff down because bare ground and sub zero sucks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 I have bare ground now...hoping to get some white stuff down because bare ground and sub zero sucks.i've got like 6 on the ground. nbd for around here in mid jan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 well, we need to do something with this incoming cold airmass. If not, i'll move to Florida next year. Take me with you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 Take me with you. You can easily be squeezed into the carry on luggage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 You can easily be squeezed into the carry on luggage. All I would need are a few 40's and I would be very comfortable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 GEFS really have no idea about this time. Must be a ton of spread from what I can tell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 i wonder if this turns out somewhat like a 12/13/07. Yeah except further north............. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 i've got like 6 on the ground. nbd for around here in mid jan. That's meh for up here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 That's meh for up hereyeah thats what I was alluding to. Pretty weak. Altho i hate cold and wind enough to want to move to fla lol, i will root for really cold nightime temps next week. See if i can hit -20...i radiate like crazy here. I was -1 here last night before the clouds rolled in...while my buddy across town who lives on a bit of a hill only got down to 13. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 GEFS really have no idea about this time. Must be a ton of spread from what I can tell. You could say that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 No idea seems to be an understandment Should be exciting to see what happens! -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 I hope we get a SWFE and after getting 3-4'' Kevin pelts sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 Winner winner Chicken dinner As the storm passed off the New Jersey coast, a gravity wave was induced near Allentown, PA. The barometric pressure plunged 22.4 millibars (0.66 inHg) from 997.7 (29.46 inHg) to 975.3 millibars (28.80 inHg) in just 45 minutes at Allentown and then rebounded almost as much in only 15 minutes. The gravity wave propagated northeastward and produced similar pressure fluctuations in New England. Boston, MA recorded a wind gust to 66 mph as the wave passed, along with heavy sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 19, 2013 Share Posted January 19, 2013 yeah thats what I was alluding to. Pretty weak. Altho i hate cold and wind enough to want to move to fla lol, i will root for really cold nightime temps next week. See if i can hit -20...i radiate like crazy here. I was -1 here last night before the clouds rolled in...while my buddy across town who lives on a bit of a hill only got down to 13. I was same here -1 before the steady climb, That early wave put down a quick 0.3" here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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