Damage In Tolland Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 I said 1-3 or 2-4 and again you don't look at qpf fir this lol, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 Have not had a 6" snowfall in years Steve, so yeah, it would be big. Reality is, this wave for Tuesday is meh. T-1 for most. Airmass will be marginal. We try to avoid reality here whenever possible. I thought damaging ice to snow was the biggest threat for Tuesday? Or was that the bad quotes in the upgrade again? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 People should not expect an epic pattern....this is not a forecasted epic pattern. Lets keep expectations in check. If they happen to be epic..than weenies out for all of us..but I get the feeling people are setting the bar too high. This pattern is more for potential snow chances. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 I said 1-3 or 2-4 and again you don't look at qpf fir this lol, Let it go dude. To them 1-3 is a big snowstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 I said 1-3 or 2-4 and again you don't look at qpf fir this lol, Those totals would be reasonable verbatim Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 People should not expect an epic pattern....this is not a forecasted epic pattern. Lets keep expectations in check. If they happen to be epic..than weenies out for all of us..but I get the feeling people are setting the bar too high. This pattern is more for potential snow chances. Yea it potentially is, could be 2-3 weeks before it produces a lot of snow but it is potentially a very high expectation pattern Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 People should not expect an epic pattern....this is not a forecasted epic pattern. Lets keep expectations in check. If they happen to be epic..than weenies out for all of us..but I get the feeling people are setting the bar too high. This pattern is more for potential snow chances. Stay the course Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 Yea it is Disagree. That doesn't mean it can't be a big producer. Jan 2005 was and that looked crappy at first, but this is not an epic pattern as progged. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 12, 2013 Author Share Posted January 12, 2013 94 is rolling through the door scooter, starting tuesday. la epic! from where i stand, i see nothing noteworthy for snowlovers on the horizon. aka, next 7 days or so. pattern upcoming looks cold and boring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 It's a pretty good pattern don't get me wrong. But epic? Not right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 94 is rolling through the door scooter, starting tuesday. la epic! from where i stand, i see nothing noteworthy for snowlovers on the horizon. aka, next 7 days or so. pattern upcoming looks cold and boring. Agree, Not much excitement here unless you like cold and dry conditions Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 94 is rolling through the door scooter, starting tuesday. la epic! from where i stand, i see nothing noteworthy for snowlovers on the horizon. aka, next 7 days or so. pattern upcoming looks cold and boring. See ya in a week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 Agree, Not much excitement here unless you like cold and dry conditions You not so much, come on down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 Well on the other hand, I don't think it's cold and dry either. We discussed why yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 Well on the other hand, I don't think it's cold and dry either. We discussed why yesterday. You would have a better shot then up here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 You would have a better shot then up here I noticed some of the clippers favored NNE. This is a pattern where clippers or high plains low pressure come flying out of nowhere and show up on the models within 5 days or so. It's just way too early to say cold and dry or meh cold and snow. Just keep things realistic...I feel like people are setting the bar a bit too high..obviously not you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 Scooter is this a pattern where n stream shortwaves will be flying thru and prob not modeled well more than 3 days out or not so much? Edit Lol just read above post Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 Yea Bob 1994 is rolling in the door Boston snows Jan Feb 1994 33.7 36.2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 I noticed some of the clippers favored NNE. This is a pattern where clippers or high plains low pressure come flying out of nowhere and show up on the models within 5 days or so. It's just way too early to say cold and dry or meh cold and snow. Just keep things realistic...I feel like people are setting the bar a bit too high..obviously not you. Yeah, I see pieces of vorticity coming thru in the northern stream up here, We may cash on some of these, But i think the period after the 18th has some of those better chances as long as the PV does not come to far south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 Stay the course Of course Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 Yeah, I see pieces of vorticity coming thru in the northern stream up here, We may cash on some of these, But i think the period after the 18th has some of those better chances as long as the PV does not come to far south absolutely and I set my bar even higher for PF after looking at stuff all morning , 3 feet in two weeks. Fook the caution flags, I lose I lose, who cares. Science does have some merit in my forecast, not like I am pulling it out of my arse. Good luck to all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 absolutely and I set my bar even higher for PF after looking at stuff all morning , 3 feet in two weeks. Fook the caution flags, I lose I lose, who cares. Science does have some merit in my forecast, not like I am pulling it out of my arse. Good luck to all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 The pattern doesn't scream cold and dry to me. As Will mentioned, the massive AK ridge would allow for some clippers to move south of the PV and potentially become Miller Bs. One potential problem (which is just about true is any pattern) is that the flow is fast. This may not allow things to phase or amplify easily. If we start to decrease the flow across the CONUS...and the SE ridge is beat down a bit....then the pattern could become epic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 Fighting and biting (mild) this morning arnd here...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 Hopefully the lakes ice over nicely after sunday/mon am. Wxmanmitch may be the sne winner next ten days, if I was a betting man. Not sure what the total will be 3" or 23" but I like his local Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 Fighting and biting (mild) this morning arnd here...lol. This is the worst torch ever. 40s and cloudy. Nighttime departures boosting the bottom line number. Give me 50s and sun, or snow and cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 Yep. and why the fook not, you were just a young turd in 94, sh it flew at us out of no where. I understand how you need to be in your discussions. I threw my caution flags away for the next month. Happy Happy Happy everybody happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 Fighting and biting (mild) this morning arnd here...lol. Still have 6" at the stake here but slowly losing the battle......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Spin Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 Geezus cry me a friggin big river LOL. Dude they have been getting smoked. Add my two feet in two weeks in and he still is smoking climo. .before the highest climo period of the year. In reality it would probably take more than 24” of snowfall to have the snowpack go up 24” in depth as shown in your diagram, but I’m with you, Mt. Mansfield doesn’t typically go that long without decent shots of snow. Yesterday I posted a reply in the NNE thread and pointed out all the clippers and such that were modeled on the ECMWF and GFS at that time. Even if the current runs aren’t as robust in terms of precipitation, that could easily just be the ups and downs of the modeling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 Yep. and why the fook not, you were just a young turd in 94, sh it flew at us out of no where. I understand how you need to be in your discussions. I threw my caution flags away for the next month. Happy Happy Happy everybody happy. Me love clippers, I have benefited more then once when they "Bomb" in the GOM, More so DE Maine if they get going to late Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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