turtlehurricane Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Free weather channel stream for those of us who don't have cable: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yXMU2qwCVag Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Is recon going to get back in before she makes landfall? She looks to be hauling! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Recon coming in from the south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Winds gusting to 66 mph at JFK airport in New York City. Serious winds for an urban area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dosh Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Winds gusting to 66 mph at JFK airport in New York City. Serious winds for an urban area. JFK is well removed from the highly urbanized areas. It;s built into a low-lying coastal marsh, so it can be easy for high wind gusts to mix down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dosh Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 71mph wind gust at montauk per TWC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeauDodson Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 National Weather Service Mount Holly, New Jersey: "Hurricane Sandy will strike our region directly. Options for it to miss us have run out. This is our worst case scenario. We are now completing our third high tide cycle with Hurricane Sandy. This high tide cycle was very destructive with major to record coastal flooding occurring. The barrier islands will be cut off from the mainland. Breaches in the barrier islands will likely occur during this evening’s high tide, as the center of Sandy approaches." http://www.erh.noaa....nt_briefing.pdf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scott747 Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...38.3N 73.1W ABOUT 110 MI...180 KM SE OF ATLANTIC CITY NEW JERSEY ABOUT 175 MI...285 KM SSE OF NEW YORK CITY MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 28 MPH...44 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...940 MB...27.76 INCHES Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easternsnowman Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 National Weather Service Mount Holly, New Jersey: "Hurricane Sandy will strike our region directly. Options for it to miss us have run out. This is our worst case scenario. We are now completing our third high tide cycle with Hurricane Sandy. This high tide cycle was very destructive with major to record coastal flooding occurring. The barrier islands will be cut off from the mainland. Breaches in the barrier islands will likely occur during this evening’s high tide, as the center of Sandy approaches." http://www.erh.noaa....nt_briefing.pdf Makes sense, they give a good reasonable forecast of the situation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeauDodson Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Brigantine is the island north of Atlantic City. Do you have a source on this news? I do not have that. Friend on Facebook posted it. Will check around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scott747 Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Hourly updates initiated.... NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182012 200 PM EDT MON OCT 29 2012 TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES WILL BE ISSUED AT 300 AND 400 PM EDT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 CBS NY met estimating 2.5 - 3hr til landfall. Seems a faster timeline vs. other reports I've seen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan11295 Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 per 2 pm NHC adivsory moving at 28 mph and 110 mi from ACY. thats 5-6 pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeauDodson Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Until its confirmed with a major news organization, I'm not reporting it on the TSC feeds. Gotta be very careful with reports today. There will be an insane amount of reports over the coming 24 hours. I posted on their thread - to see about further confirmation. Also see you in the room there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadotony Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 But the system would be inland then and the winds would be weaker as the system moves farther away, so the ultimate surge might still be a few feet lower than forecast. I am concerned that people who survive with flood damage will absolutely refuse to evacuate in a real 1938- or 1944-style event because the lack of total destruction did not match the official, supposed “hype.” Unfortunately, human nature is what it is. It's not going to make much difference. You cannot possibly use a typical hurricane scenario to theorize what's going to happen here. A foot or two difference? Maybe, but I think that's probably even a stretch. Sandy is already a slight be stronger than originally anticipated, so my guess is it becomes a wash. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadotony Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 BTW, peak wind I can find on KDIX radar is 103kt about 2500ft AGL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 BTW, peak wind I can find on KDIX radar is 103kt about 2500ft AGL. That basically fits in with what recon was finding as peak FL winds. Roughly 900mb level? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dosh Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 So from the looks of it, this storms booking towards cape may point. Any chance it could continue its swing around to the west or will it keep moving towards ACY? Sitting here in union county, we're not seeing that strong of wind or rain so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
battlebrick Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 105 kts FL uh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 940 mb and 90 mph winds at the 3PM advisory. http://www.wundergro...218.public.html Next high tide in ACY at 8pm. Looks like it hits a couple of hours before that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 940 mb and 90 mph winds at the 3PM advisory. http://www.wundergro...218.public.html Next high tide in ACY at 8pm. Looks like it hits a couple of hours before that. Which way will the winds be blowing in ACY during high tide? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David Reimer Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Recon measured 105 knots at 850 MB just off the S. NJ coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Recon measured 105 knots at 850 MB just off the S. NJ coast. Superstorm has posted a few maps off of GR with 110+ kt H85 winds south of LI, so that doesn't surprise me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cory Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Islip, NY observer is bailing: KISP 291856Z 05032G42KT 1SM R06/4500VP6000FT RA BR OVC012 16/15 A2873 AO2 PK WND 03056/1815 PRESFR SLP728 EVACUATING DUE TO HURRICANE SANDY. LAST AUGMENTED OBSERVATION UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. P0010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Buoy well southeast of New England waves 34 ft and rising. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dunkman Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Based on what is going to be the latest fix it looks like the center may actually go into Delaware. edit: Drop measured 941mb...looks like we are getting absolutely no weakening on final approach. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 It is interesting to observe the radar trends with Sandy this afternoon. One still gets the impression that this is a mainly tropical entity that is making landfall. Sandy is more convectively active than Irene was when it was making landfall, and the FL winds and SMFR continue to support a 70-80 knot system. Despite Sandy maintaining its strength and tropical signature, the storm has rapidly accelerated and will now be making landfall before high tide, which might mitigate the surge impacts somewhat for New York City. Still though, this will likely be an historic impact both surge and wind wise across the region, and if Sandy maintains tropical characteristics, it would be the first landfalling Hurricane in october in New Jersey. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Hurricane Central @twc_hurricane Atlantic City has tied its all-time record low barometric pressure of 28.37". That record will be smashed soon. #Sandy #njwx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 There are tale-tale signs that extra-tropical transition is finally in progress... the upper level component associated with the amplifying trough is starting to re-organize to the SE of the llc associated with Sandy. This will hasen the advection of cold low-level air into the circulation and start to weaken the warm core associated with Sandy. In the short term it has resulted in a rapid acceleration in the low level circulation associated with Sandy and its unexpected more westward component of motion today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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