eekuasepinniW Posted September 23, 2012 Share Posted September 23, 2012 Still haven't surrendered back to long pants but it's getting tough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 23, 2012 Share Posted September 23, 2012 It's got really good mixing...I guess that's where it is coming from. I don't know...I still think 74 is just too warm. TORCH out there..while hills stay near 60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted September 23, 2012 Share Posted September 23, 2012 couple pics from this morning, awesome day, just incredible, hopefully these will upset spoony. Looks like I went into winter mode a little early, everything pointing to endless summer and another torchtober:( I have faith in the cold regime that Tim has laid out! Think snow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 23, 2012 Share Posted September 23, 2012 Cant wait to see the pictures. Me and the wife may be up next weekend. Anything running to the top for peepers. Gondola and restaurant are open till October 14th... same with the auto toll road. Foliage is really taking off... will post some pictures in the next couple days. Next weekend will probably be pretty close to peak for the mountain from 1,500ft and up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted September 23, 2012 Share Posted September 23, 2012 If you want to laugh, look at what the 06z GFS is doing in the nrn Plains towards the end of the run. It goes nuts with that AK block and brings down some ferocious cold. Looks like an area of -20C 850s in Canada where the northerly flow is strongest off the Pole. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 23, 2012 Author Share Posted September 23, 2012 TORCH out there..while hills stay near 60 15F spread? Physics being thrown out window? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 23, 2012 Share Posted September 23, 2012 15F spread? Physics being thrown out window? Mt Tolland Lapse Rates... its a new chapter in thermodynamics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 23, 2012 Author Share Posted September 23, 2012 Mt Tolland Lapse Rates... its a new chapter in thermodynamics. If this were a month ago, he'd be saying downslope in the valleys and harping BDL temps. Tis the season to start quelling his cold and snow forecasts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 23, 2012 Share Posted September 23, 2012 If this were a month ago, he'd be saying downslope in the valleys and harping BDL temps. Tis the season to start quelling his cold and snow forecasts. lol... its true. Those MOS numbers would've been too low a month ago, and there would've been no mention of a chill in the hills. I much prefer the cold CT Blizz though, so no complaints. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted September 23, 2012 Share Posted September 23, 2012 Month to date Nyc 1.2 Ewr 1.5 Bdr 1.3 Bos 0.1 Pfd -0.4 Orh 1.2 Some record lows achieve in midwest last night....also earliest recorded snowfall in 17 years at duluth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 23, 2012 Author Share Posted September 23, 2012 Month to date Nyc 1.2 Ewr 1.5 Bdr 1.3 Bos 0.1 Pfd -0.4 Orh 1.2 Some record lows achieve in midwest last night....also earliest recorded snowfall in 17 years at duluth September sizzle on track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted September 23, 2012 Share Posted September 23, 2012 Widespread 30s tonight? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted September 23, 2012 Share Posted September 23, 2012 September sizzle on track. Impressive stat posted by snowman....just seems hard to get a double digit departure these days.....big boost this year was the extremely above avg overnight lows...hopefully we flip the switch in december....04 style cold in sne? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 23, 2012 Author Share Posted September 23, 2012 Impressive stat posted by snowman....just seems hard to get a double digit departure these days.....big boost this year was the extremely above avg overnight lows...hopefully we flip the switch in december....04 style cold in sne? Well the sizzle comment was tongue and cheek, but it has been very warm here for sure. As far as September goes...I said back in either late July or early August that September could be warmer than normal, but if a more El Nino like pattern develops...it may act to cool it off. We are sort of seeing that over the last two weeks or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted September 23, 2012 Share Posted September 23, 2012 Well the sizzle comment was tongue and cheek, but it has been very warm here for sure. As far as September goes...I said back in either late July or early August that September could be warmer than normal, but if a more El Nino like pattern develops...it may act to cool it off. We are sort of seeing that over the last two weeks or so. No i agree with you...the post was funny...i would have thought torch sept also, giving how warm we started. But since then the weather has been unbelievable, cool nights and warm days. Nice to have a normal sept for once....obviously the torch pattern is done.....you have been spot on with cool shots Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted September 23, 2012 Share Posted September 23, 2012 2007-2010 boston had over 15 inches of snow in december....nice stretch of decembers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted September 23, 2012 Share Posted September 23, 2012 Man--it's just gorgeous out there. Just fnished mowing and I think the Deere's done for the season, 49 hours for it--guess I don't mow often enough. Meanwhile, sitting at 58.9/43. Not bad for 1:30 on a september afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 23, 2012 Author Share Posted September 23, 2012 Big discrepancy between the GFS and the EC ensembles. GEFS plow a cold shot right into the Plains and Great Lakes while the EC ensembles keep it in Canada. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted September 23, 2012 Share Posted September 23, 2012 It goes nuts with that AK block and brings down some ferocious cold. Looks like an area of -20C 850s in Canada where the northerly flow is strongest off the Pole. And where have we seen this before Nate? lol Last winter, when it would constantly overdo cold past truncation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted September 23, 2012 Share Posted September 23, 2012 69 sunny Torch pattern is done! Below normal fall and winter on the way! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted September 23, 2012 Share Posted September 23, 2012 Big discrepancy between the GFS and the EC ensembles. GEFS plow a cold shot right into the Plains and Great Lakes while the EC ensembles keep it in Canada. Either way, its warm here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 23, 2012 Share Posted September 23, 2012 Quite a colder Euro look than previous runs heading toward Oct. Nice d9 SWFE too with 40s an rain up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted September 23, 2012 Share Posted September 23, 2012 Quite a colder Euro look than previous runs heading toward Oct. Nice d9 SWFE too with 40s an rain up here. Nice, I was worried the last couple days, but the Euro op past day 5 is basically worthless Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 23, 2012 Share Posted September 23, 2012 Nice, I was worried the last couple days, but the Euro op past day 5 is basically worthless idk about worthless at d5, but yeah past d7. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted September 23, 2012 Share Posted September 23, 2012 idk about worthless at d5, but yeah past d7. It was awful last winter past day 5 with numerous fantasy snowstorms, Euro has been a little off lately GFS manhandled it a few times in the tropics this summer. Major bias of holding energy back over the sw and strong ULLs. Weather looks amazing for the forseeable future, we are heading north next weekend...............really should be a great trip. Think snow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 23, 2012 Share Posted September 23, 2012 It was awful last winter past day 5 with numerous fantasy snowstorms, Euro has been a little off lately GFS manhandled it a few times in the tropics this summer. Major bias of holding energy back over the sw and strong ULLs. Weather looks amazing for the forseeable future, we are heading north next weekend...............really should be a great trip. Think snow! Well I'm talking the general H5 synoptic pattern. The euro still defeats the GFS there at d5. Every model has their share of phantom storms at that time range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted September 23, 2012 Share Posted September 23, 2012 Well I'm talking the general H5 synoptic pattern. The euro still defeats the GFS there at d5. Every model has their share of phantom storms at that time range. I understand, the Euro had many phantom snowstorms last winter, I guess if you ran the numbers its still king, but it has had its share of defeats lately, the GFS is certainly improving. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted September 23, 2012 Share Posted September 23, 2012 Phantom snowstorms were the only kind we got last wonter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted September 23, 2012 Share Posted September 23, 2012 Too bad the wind's blowing, otherwise, there'd be some good radiational cooling. Guess we'll make due with some residual CAA???? That would work better for me anyway. 59/38 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 23, 2012 Share Posted September 23, 2012 I understand, the Euro had many phantom snowstorms last winter, I guess if you ran the numbers its still king, but it has had its share of defeats lately, the GFS is certainly improving. Yeah, no model is perfect, but they're all improving with upgrades. It's amazing how far we've come in 10-20 years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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