Tropopause_Fold Posted April 19, 2012 Share Posted April 19, 2012 as the low level boundary starts to retreat back to the NW across SNE sunday afternoon/night...it creates a really impressive low level temp gradient / tight baroclinic zone first over SE zones then really tightening over CT/C MA. run that powerhouse 60-70 knot LLJ up into that, carrying +1-2.5 SD pwats with it...you can really soak some areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 19, 2012 Share Posted April 19, 2012 as the low level boundary starts to retreat back to the NW across SNE sunday afternoon/night...it creates a really impressive low level temp gradient / tight baroclinic zone first over SE zones then really tightening over CT/C MA. run that powerhouse 60-70 knot LLJ up into that, carrying +1-2.5 SD pwats with it...you can really soak some areas. Yeah exactly. Could see a rumble of thunder too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted April 19, 2012 Share Posted April 19, 2012 as the low level boundary starts to retreat back to the NW across SNE sunday afternoon/night...it creates a really impressive low level temp gradient / tight baroclinic zone first over SE zones then really tightening over CT/C MA. run that powerhouse 60-70 knot LLJ up into that, carrying +1-2.5 SD pwats with it...you can really soak some areas. Yeah, awesome setup - this would be a beaut midwinter... expect a wall of pretty pastel colors on radar coming onshore from the water. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted April 19, 2012 Share Posted April 19, 2012 This thing has the making for very heavy rain in a short period of time along and just NW of the track. Theta-e bomb that will wring out all the moisture along a strong low level convergence zone. Has the making of classic banding and heavy rain in a narrow area. Classic. yeah a lot of ingredients coming together as depicted today. transitioning from a steady -rn/rn to several of hours of really heavy stuff..maybe some embedded thunder. you can already kind of picture in your head how the RADAR will look and evolve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted April 19, 2012 Share Posted April 19, 2012 Here comes the rain de de de de. Constant soaker from the Euro thus far. Telling my mother at Sears to order some pumps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 19, 2012 Share Posted April 19, 2012 Here comes the rain de de de de. Constant soaker from the Euro thus far. Telling my mother at Sears to order some pumps. Eh, wouldn't go that far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted April 19, 2012 Share Posted April 19, 2012 Yeah, awesome setup - this would be a beaut midwinter... expect a wall of pretty pastel colors on radar coming onshore from the water. yeah it's kind of funny...if it works out as everything seems to be suggesting right now...someone in the interior will go from dusty roads and wildfires to some small stream and/or urban area flooding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted April 19, 2012 Share Posted April 19, 2012 Here comes the rain de de de de. Constant soaker from the Euro thus far. Telling my mother at Sears to order some pumps. unless you live on a boat or have one of the basements that floods with like 1" of rain, i doubt you have to worry about that... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted April 19, 2012 Share Posted April 19, 2012 the heaviest rains could fall over the worst drought areas... lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 19, 2012 Share Posted April 19, 2012 Heaviest rains will likely be along and just NW of the track and associated warm front or even coastal front the develops. You can see that on the QPF fields with the tongue of heavier rain extending north of the low center. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 19, 2012 Author Share Posted April 19, 2012 yeah it's kind of funny...if it works out as everything seems to be suggesting right now...someone in the interior will go from dusty roads and wildfires to some small stream and/or urban area flooding. Would be better if we had a longer period of steady rains to wet the ground, sudden heavy would run off the rock hard dirt. at any rate its a start. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted April 19, 2012 Share Posted April 19, 2012 Would be better if we had a longer period of steady rains to wet the ground, sudden heavy would run off the rock hard dirt. at any rate its a start. yeah i hear ya. thankfully it won't just be like a summer t-storm though. between sat night and sun eve there should be off/on showers...then probably a steady rain for a while before a slug of heavy duty stuff moves through parts of the area. the comment about flooding is more tongue in cheek than anything. of course, this all assumes the current evolution is for real. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted April 19, 2012 Share Posted April 19, 2012 I'd bet Euro rips East this afternoon KFS should've stuck with the "too far west" solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted April 19, 2012 Share Posted April 19, 2012 unless you live on a boat or have one of the basements that floods with like 1" of rain, i doubt you have to worry about that... Yes I understand this, but the people will here the bountiful amounts of rain coming and get worried. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 19, 2012 Share Posted April 19, 2012 LOL at the NAM. Snow developing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted April 19, 2012 Share Posted April 19, 2012 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z2m14RidzYY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted April 19, 2012 Share Posted April 19, 2012 that would be sweet to bad its the 18z nam and we cant see it further then 84hrs LOL at the NAM. Snow developing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted April 19, 2012 Share Posted April 19, 2012 the sref made a big jump west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 19, 2012 Share Posted April 19, 2012 that would be sweet to bad its the 18z nam and we cant see it further then 84hrs God bless the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted April 19, 2012 Share Posted April 19, 2012 that would be sweet to bad its the 18z nam and we cant see it further then 84hrs I'm sure the DGEX will turn it into a snow bomb for MRG. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 19, 2012 Share Posted April 19, 2012 I'm sure the DGEX will turn it into a snow bomb for MRG. Dude, winter isn't done yet in the highlands of western MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted April 19, 2012 Share Posted April 19, 2012 why isn't ctblizz talking about power outages from s gales combined with full leaf out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted April 19, 2012 Share Posted April 19, 2012 My forecast from ALY: Sunday: A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 54. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible. Sunday Night: A chance of rain before 5am, then a chance of rain and snow. Cloudy, with a low around 35. Chance of precipitation is 50%. Monday: A chance of rain and snow showers. Cloudy, with a high near 49. Chance of precipitation is 50%. Monday Night: A chance of rain and snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 35. Chance of precipitation is 30%. This is looking more like 4/16/07 as the trends continue..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 19, 2012 Share Posted April 19, 2012 why isn't ctblizz talking about power outages from s gales combined with full leaf out LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted April 19, 2012 Share Posted April 19, 2012 18Z Goofy curling west.... AWT. Silly Goofus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 19, 2012 Share Posted April 19, 2012 18Z Goofy curling west.... AWT. Silly Goofus. Yeah what a burp run on the 00z and 06z...heck 12z too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted April 19, 2012 Share Posted April 19, 2012 I'm sure the DGEX will turn it into a snow bomb for MRG. Or NNE... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted April 19, 2012 Share Posted April 19, 2012 Yeah what a burp run on the 00z and 06z...heck 12z too. Troughs that are going negative tilt don't just slide East... it was pretty clear the 00Z/06Z runs shat the bed. And I'm not convinced it's done correcting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 19, 2012 Share Posted April 19, 2012 Troughs that are going negative tilt don't just slide East... it was pretty clear the 00Z/06Z runs shat the bed. And I'm not convinced it's done correcting. I agree. It probably has a little more work to do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 19, 2012 Share Posted April 19, 2012 why isn't ctblizz talking about power outages from s gales combined with full leaf out There's not going to be much wind from this..except maybe some 35-40mph gusts on the coasts at it's closest approach Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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