smoof Posted February 26, 2012 Share Posted February 26, 2012 18z Nam Clown Map for fun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAFF Posted February 26, 2012 Share Posted February 26, 2012 Once again rain for us. Perhaps a salting event but nothing more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 26, 2012 Author Share Posted February 26, 2012 18z Nam Clown Map for fun Wisconsin walloper Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted February 26, 2012 Share Posted February 26, 2012 Western Michigan really does suck in terms of getting synoptic snowstorms, doesn't it? It seems like everything has to be "just right" to get a low pressure that actually gives us anything substantial. Clippers seem to be the only reliable systems. We do best with Gulf lows and or systems that pop in AR and move ne while steadily developing. Both have been rare the past few years especially the Gulf low that comes due north to Ohio. Systems moving east or ene ( even ese ) typically weaken as they reach us because usually by the time they get here a secondary low is popping along the eastern seaboard which robs our system of energy etc. You could luck out up that way but yeah CO lows general suck in these parts where i am at for snow. Usually a wintry mix/ice or rain unless it occludes fast and wraps in decent cold air like we had with the Plains blizzard in Dec 09. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 26, 2012 Share Posted February 26, 2012 Well how about that, parts of Minnesota and North Dakota are under Winter Storm Warnings and Blizzard Watches at the same time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UW-weather Posted February 26, 2012 Share Posted February 26, 2012 Heres my preliminary forecast: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted February 26, 2012 Share Posted February 26, 2012 4pm 2m temp is 34F at DTW and 60F at FDY lol Same on the GFS... I'm looking forward to 60F temps here, only problem is that I can't enjoy it, severely injured my ankle a couple weeks ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 26, 2012 Share Posted February 26, 2012 Global News Toronto is calling for "February showers " and a high of 5c/41F in Toronto on Wednesday. I seriously doubt that, based on recent models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Global News Toronto is calling for "February showers " and a high of 5c/41F in Toronto on Wednesday. I seriously doubt that, based on recent models. Our weekend news weather presenters are absolutly horrible and habe no weather knowledge. Global used to have Bill coulter on weekends but now I think he's on cp24 and he was decent and was an actual meteorologist. They didn't even mention the threat of snow at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 HPC Freezing Rain Probs.. Shifted a bit further south.. Looks like its going to be an Icy Rain Bow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Oh wow, I was wondering if there was some freezing rain potential w/ the precip overrunning cold air. The GFS shows 0.6" of liquid at night, could be very interesting. I have yet to see a true ice storm and would love to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 HPC Freezing Rain Probs.. Shifted a bit further south.. Looks like its going to be an Icy Rain Bow! Still showing the 00z plot from this morning for me... EDIT: My bad, its updated, I just misread it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smoof Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 18Z GFS Clown Snow Map for fun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 GFS dumps 1-2" of snow on Madison right after the ice storm, that would be a freaking mess lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 GFS dumps 1-2" of snow on Madison right after the ice storm, that would be a freaking mess lol Be careful man we don't want another fall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 We do best with Gulf lows and or systems that pop in AR and move ne while steadily developing. Both have been rare the past few years especially the Gulf low that comes due north to Ohio. Systems moving east or ene ( even ese ) typically weaken as they reach us because usually by the time they get here a secondary low is popping along the eastern seaboard which robs our system of energy etc. You could luck out up that way but yeah CO lows general suck in these parts where i am at for snow. Usually a wintry mix/ice or rain unless it occludes fast and wraps in decent cold air like we had with the Plains blizzard in Dec 09. Christmas storm 09 was an awesome storm. Definitely the last true Gulf Low. Groundshog Day was a hybrid of sorts, but the 09 storm was the epitome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Be careful man we don't want another fall If there is that much ice I probably will dislocate my shoulder at some point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Our weekend news weather presenters are absolutly horrible and habe no weather knowledge. Global used to have Bill coulter on weekends but now I think he's on cp24 and he was decent and was an actual meteorologist. They didn't even mention the threat of snow at all. What do you think of the the CFTO weather presenter on weekdays? I personally find him a little over the top. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 If there is that much ice I probably will dislocate my shoulder at some point. If there is that much ice, you probably won't have to step foot outside your door on Wednesday morning! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 What do you think of the the CFTO weather presenter on weekdays? I personally find him a little over the top. Who Tom Brown? Ya he too doesn't know what he's talking about although Anwar knight is pretty good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Have no idea what to expect...could be a mixed bag... GFS seems to keep surface temps above freezing, NAM only gives me a few inches... Need to watch closely...any movement north or south could make or break it here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Who Tom Brown? Ya he too doesn't know what he's talking about although Anwar knight is pretty good He's decent. You guys are pretty young. If you're anything like me in about 5 years or so you'll be able to compose your own forecasts and then you'll hardly even watch weather presenters on the news anymore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 He's decent. You guys are pretty young. If you're anything like me in about 5 years or so you'll be able to compose your own forecasts and then you'll hardly even watch weather presenters on the news anymore. I think I may actually be older than you...I was born in 1980 when the USSR was at the height of its power Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 I think I may actually be older than you...I was born in 1980 when the USSR was at the height of its power Oh, yeah. You said you were starting college so I assumed you were younger. Sorry sir. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Our weekend news weather presenters are absolutly horrible and habe no weather knowledge. Global used to have Bill coulter on weekends but now I think he's on cp24 and he was decent and was an actual meteorologist. They didn't even mention the threat of snow at all. They all suck expect Anthony Farnell...he's pretty sick with his forecasts plus he's a fan of every season so he doesnt hate when it snows unlike Adam or CTV. Despite 97-98 being pretty sh!t, we had one good snowstorm but it was later in March....we got a good 6-8" lol. Overall I would take that Winter over this anyday. We also had a good 6-8" snowstorm in November. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 They all suck expect Anthony Farnell...he's pretty sick with his forecasts plus he's a fan of every season so he doesnt hate when it snows unlike Adam or CTV. Despite 97-98 being pretty sh!t, we had one good snowstorm but it was later in March....we got a good 6-8" lol. Overall I would take that Winter over this anyday. We also had a good 6-8" snowstorm in November. Yeah, two "good" ones. Nov 15(? around there), 97/March 21, 98. The bookend winter. Late Jan 1998 also featured some modest snows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Yeah, two "good" ones. Nov 15(? around there), 97/March 21, 98. The bookend winter. Late Jan 1998 also featured some modest snows. I know it's still early in the ''game'' but what are you're thoughts on the midweek system? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Yeah, two "good" ones. Nov 15(? around there), 97/March 21, 98. The bookend winter. Late Jan 1998 also featured some modest snows. Yeah. Almost every crappy Winter since the 90's featured atleast one decent storm whereas this Winter has featured none, incredible. Based on current data this storm has resemblence to the March 07 storm which started off as snow transitioning to freezing rain and rain. The 500mb map looks very similar and the position of the LP anomaly; http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/dailywxmap/dwm_500ht_20070302.html However that storm tracked NE there after whereas this storm may just move E given the HP anomaly present across NQUE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 I know it's still early in the ''game'' but what are you're thoughts on the midweek system? Looking pretty good that we get a shot of snow early Wednesday along the occlusion. Like I mentioned earlier though, we may end up being in a bit of a minima between the snow associated with the upper low over WI/N MI and the WCB convective driven snow/ice trekking through PA/NY. It'll be close though, but right now I'd only go with a couple of inches. The next thing that has to be resolved is where does the decaying H5/7 low traverse? If it gets sufficiently squashed under the weight of that confluence over Quebec, we could get an additonal couple of inches later Wednesday night into Thursday. From the NAM/GFS soundings I've seen, ZR doesn't look to be much of a problem, except for maybe some -FZDZ once/if the dryslot moves in. When it's precipitating heavily enough, it should be mostly snow (or maybe PL). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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