Nic Posted January 29, 2012 Author Share Posted January 29, 2012 At this point in the season I really don't care... I'd be just as happy with 50s and sunny than snow melting 12 hours after it stops falling. Hopefully I don't get stuck in the middle of those... rather have one end of the extreme rather than in between. I would rather have the snow that melts the next day. It is never sunny and 50 in Ohio in the winter, it always is raining or cloudy at that temperature. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 We rarely hit 50F here from late Dec through early March... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 We rarely hit 50F here from late Dec through early March... TOL has had 3 50+ days and Four other days above 46 in this month alone. Probably will get a few to start February as well. A measly 5.9" this month... With 4.2" falling in "one" storm in 3 days February can't get too much worse can it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 6z is a torch through 2/14... Maybe not torch torch, but really warm for the first 2 weeks of Feb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 12z looks beautiful from February 5th onwards. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 12z looks beautiful from February 5th onwards. It's going to be hard to avoid a period of winter given the movement we are seeing with some of the indices. Probably the bigger question is how long it lasts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 One more torch and then it appears the floor drops out. Goodbye Fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 RPM model showing temps near 60 south of I-88 on tuesday FWIW. Record at ORD is 56 I believe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 RPM model showing temps near 60 south of I-88 on tuesday FWIW. Record at ORD is 56 I believe. Tuesday is still January 31 and the record is 65. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 What a garbage pattern west of LM.. Hopefully LAF and toronto can make use of this crap advertised. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 FRI-SAT...SIGNALS FOR SIG FLOW ADJUSTMENT SUPPORTS A DOWNTREND IN TEMPS BY THE WEEKEND BACK TO CLIMO...WITH SIGNIFICANTLY COOLER NUMBERS POSSIBLE BY SUN IF SUBSTANTIAL GREENLAND RIDGING DEVELOPS. OTHERWISE...RETAINED LOW CHANCE SNOW MENTION SAT GIVEN A LIKELY FLOW ADJUSTING IMPULSE/CP FRONT. Wow! Are we finally going to get a Greenland block this winter season> Snippet from IWX AFD for SB weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 Tuesday is still January 31 and the record is 65. Whoops my bad, are you sure thats the record? Gino told me 56 yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 Whoops my bad, are you sure thats the record? Gino told me 56 yesterday. hoosier's right. wednesday's record is 56. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 Nada to Greenland block. Maybe to EPO block. Whoever wrote that needs to understand the difference in that business I suspect lol. You must have missed the IF part in that paragraph. Plus, I'm going to assume the NWS met knows a little about Greenland blocks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 You must have missed the IF part in that paragraph. Plus, I'm going to assume the NWS met knows a little about Greenland blocks. I was just getting ready to say the same thing. Also, the met mentioned a possible ridge developing. Is a ridge and a block two different animals? I am a rank amatuer, but I thought that a ridge will slow down the flow but still possibly be progressive, while a block would be a nearly stationary ridge, resulting persistent upstream troughing. Could someone please clarify this for me? Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 Yeah, but I don't know where "greenland block" came from since that setup isn't being shown by modeling. Really strange and weird. Well there's been some ridging showing up around there, but definitely not a true -NAO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KokomoWX Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 Well there's been some ridging showing up around there, but definitely not a true -NAO. Didn't someone a while back post a list of big storms which happened without a -NAO? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 Didn't someone a while back post a list of big storms which happened without a -NAO? I don't know. But I do know you don't need a -NAO to get a big snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 I was just getting ready to say the same thing. Also, the met mentioned a possible ridge developing. Is a ridge and a block two different animals? I am a rank amatuer, but I thought that a ridge will slow down the flow but still possibly be progressive, while a block would be a nearly stationary ridge, resulting persistent upstream troughing. Could someone please clarify this for me? Thanks. I believe they're essentially the same thing, as far as I know. Or you could say "permanent" ridging turns into a block. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beavis1729 Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 Unusually Mild Winter Continues PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL 845 PM CST SAT JAN 28 2012 /945 PM EST SAT JAN 28 2012/ ...THE 2011-2012 WINTER STILL ON TRACK TO BE AMONG MILDEST EVER FOR CHICAGO AND ROCKFORD... WHILE THERE HAVE BEEN A COUPLE SPELLS OF COLD AND SNOW THIS MONTH OVERALL JANUARY 2012 IS GOING TO END UP WITH MUCH ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES AT BOTH ROCKFORD AND CHICAGO. IN FACT...THE FIRST 2 MONTHS OF THE 2011-2012 WINTER ARE AMONG THE WARMEST OPENING TWO MONTHS OF WINTER ON RECORD IN CHICAGO AND ROCKFORD. HERE IS A BREAK DOWN OF THE WARMEST STARTS TO WINTER THROUGH JANUARY FOR BOTH ROCKFORD AND CHICAGO... CHICAGO ROCKFORD AVG AVG TEMP YEARS TEMP YEARS 1) 37.5 1878-79 1) 32.8 1905-06 2) 36.0 1931-32 2) 32.2 1931-32 3) 35.8 1889-90 3) 31.3 1913-14 4) 35.5 1879-80 4) 30.9 2001-02 5) 35.0 1913-14 5) 29.8 2011-12* 6) 34.4 1875-76 6) 29.6 1932-33 7) 34.3 1918-19 7) 29.1 1982-83 8) 33.2 1881-82 8) 29.0 1933-34 9) 32.7 1932-33 9) 28.9 1918-19 10) 32.6 2001-02 28.9 1943-44 11) 32.5 2011-12* 10) 28.5 2006-07 * = AVERAGE TEMPERATURE FOR 2011-12 IS BASED ON FORECAST HIGHS AND LOWS THROUGH TUESDAY AND THE FINAL NUMBER MAY VARY BY 0.1F OR SO IF FORECAST TEMPERATURES ARE SIGNIFICANTLY OFF THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS. IT IS WORTH NOTING THAT MANY OF THE YEARS THAT WERE SEEMINGLY WARMER IN CHICAGO OCCURRED PRIOR TO THE OFFICIAL WEATHER STATION BEING MOVED FROM DOWNTOWN. COMPARING THIS YEARS TEMPERATURES AT O`HARE TO READINGS TAKEN DOWNTOWN PRIOR TO 1942 IS NOT A VALID COMPARISON SINCE DOWNTOWN TEMPERATURES ARE CONSISTENTLY WARMER DUE TO THE EFFECTS OF THE URBAN HEAT ISLAND. THE OFFICIAL OBSERVING LOCATION FOR CHICAGO WAS MOVED TO MIDWAY AIRPORT IN 1942 WHICH IS A MORE REPRESENTATIVE COMPARISON. IF THE YEARS PRIOR TO THAT ARE EXCLUDED THEN THIS WINTER WOULD BE A VERY CLOSE SECOND TO 2001-02 FOR THE WARMEST. $$ IZZI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 At this point, I almost want Detroit to go for a futility record of no winter weather headlines. It ain't gonna happen (and history shows it's coming by February 22nd, if not sooner), but what the heck. Like the Lions in 2009, if it's going to suck, it might as well suck big time. And Detroit received a grand whopping total of 1.3" today, so Janaury will end up below average in terms of snowfall as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 Daddylonglegs has nightmares about maps like this...with the PV being so close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 A little guess the weather in Indianapolis on Super Bowl Sunday contest. Winner gets a cookie. I'll go with a high of 31 with snow showers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 A little guess the weather in Indianapolis on Super Bowl Sunday contest. Winner gets a cookie. I'll go with a high of 31 with snow showers. Now I'm in. I'll ride the 18z GFS and go with 28 and flurries. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 A little guess the weather in Indianapolis on Super Bowl Sunday contest. Winner gets a cookie. I'll go with a high of 31 with snow showers. 37 and a rain/snow mix during the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nic Posted January 30, 2012 Author Share Posted January 30, 2012 Now I'm in. I'll ride the 18z GFS and go with 28 and flurries. I started a topic for it, post guess there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 Now I'm in. I'll ride the 18z GFS and go with 28 and flurries. Chocolate chip okay? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 Chocolate chip okay? Yes, as long as there's cold milk readily available. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 Don't know how accurate the gfs ensemble is but it shows below normal temps. 180, 240, 384 hr. Those maps verbatim really don't suggest below average temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 Those maps verbatim really don't suggest below average temps. Thank you for saying that for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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