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New Year's Eve Threat


ski MRG

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It was Dec 30, 2006 we got that event. I got about an inch.

I think I had a little more than that....I remember it because my ex and I woke up....got into a fight and almost broke up (probably should have, instead of wasting another 1.5 yrs of each other's lives), then met up with some of her friends for breakfast at Bickford's in N Tewksbury.

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I think I had a little more than that....I remember it because my ex and I woke up....got into a fight and almost broke up (probably should have, instead of wasting another 1.5 yrs of each other's lives), then went to breakfast with some of her friends at Bickford's.

We had a 2-4" event on New Years eve into New Years in 2005-2006, so make sure you aren't mixing up the two.

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HPC has a very different take on next week. Euro op seems to be outlier with that track

AHPCT

SINCE THE FLOW IS SO AMPLIFIED UPSTREAM...A SLOWER/MORE AMPLIFIED

TROUGH EAST OF THE PLAINS MAKES SENSE...THOUGH PERHAPS NOT TO THE

EXTENT OF THE DETERMINISTIC 00Z/27 ECMWF. THE 00Z ECMWF APPARENTLY

GOES TOO FAR IN DEVELOPING A DEEP CLOSED CYCLONE ACROSS THE

MID-SOUTH WHICH MOVES INTO THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS NEXT TUESDAY.

THE ECMWF HAS A BIAS OF BEING TOO SLOW/STRONG WITH SYSTEMS BEYOND

120 HOURS...SO IT IS LIKELY A BIT OVERDONE. HOWEVER....THERE IS

STRONG SUPPORT FROM ECENS ENSEMBLE SPAGHETTI PLOTS FOR A

DEEP...YET LESS DRASTIC...FULL LATITUDE TROUGH MARCHING EWD ACROSS

THE ERN HALF OF THE NATION SUN-TUE. THE RUN TO RUN CONSISTENCY OF

THE DETERMINISTIC ECMWF WITH THIS AMPLIFYING

TREND FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK...AND THE LONG TERM GOOD SCORING OF THE

ECENS MEAN...PERSUADED US TO LEAN HEAVILY ON THE ECENS MEAN AFTER

DAY 5.

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AHPCT

SINCE THE FLOW IS SO AMPLIFIED UPSTREAM...A SLOWER/MORE AMPLIFIED

TROUGH EAST OF THE PLAINS MAKES SENSE...THOUGH PERHAPS NOT TO THE

EXTENT OF THE DETERMINISTIC 00Z/27 ECMWF. THE 00Z ECMWF APPARENTLY

GOES TOO FAR IN DEVELOPING A DEEP CLOSED CYCLONE ACROSS THE

MID-SOUTH WHICH MOVES INTO THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS NEXT TUESDAY.

THE ECMWF HAS A BIAS OF BEING TOO SLOW/STRONG WITH SYSTEMS BEYOND

120 HOURS...SO IT IS LIKELY A BIT OVERDONE. HOWEVER....THERE IS

STRONG SUPPORT FROM ECENS ENSEMBLE SPAGHETTI PLOTS FOR A

DEEP...YET LESS DRASTIC...FULL LATITUDE TROUGH MARCHING EWD ACROSS

THE ERN HALF OF THE NATION SUN-TUE. THE RUN TO RUN CONSISTENCY OF

THE DETERMINISTIC ECMWF WITH THIS AMPLIFYING

TREND FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK...AND THE LONG TERM GOOD SCORING OF THE

ECENS MEAN...PERSUADED US TO LEAN HEAVILY ON THE ECENS MEAN AFTER

DAY 5.

Well how far east of the OP was it's favored ensemble mean....hopefully ALOT.

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Considering the Euro and it's ens mean has been coming south and colder each run..we should be feeling decent about some snow from it.That's all we can say for now

You text me the same thing 48 hours before the our last rainer....24 hours later, you melted down to the tune of bl*** ****s.

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