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Katia tracking and discussion thread


Damage In Tolland

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Nice cane in NO on the Euro, talk about flooding, holy crap.

Weenism, can you imagine the catastrophe if 24 out there was a sudden track change with Katia, just being a weenie but when a cane is that close there has to be a wee bit of consternation at NHC.

Yeah, NHC looks a bit right angleish, but the path and the track should smooth out a bit...

fishy

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Congrats Phil..Enjoy

BigJoeBastardi Joe Bastardi Katia..rocking around the atlantic ridge but should miss except for tropical storm conditions on Cape Cod and Islands

I was thinking up until later Sunday we'd see some TS gusts fringe the Cape, I think it stays far enough out now that we don't see much of anything. May see some bumpity-bump in the 0z runs but it's just not getting west fast enough to make a difference.

Just as well plenty of rain today which is what we really needed. Miserable here, 59 and winds gusting to 20-25 out of the NE. Multiple power outages on the Cape today due to weakened limbs falling.

http://www.capecodonline.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20110906/NEWS11/110909887

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I was thinking up until later Sunday we'd see some TS gusts fringe the Cape, I think it stays far enough out now that we don't see much of anything. May see some bumpity-bump in the 0z runs but it's just not getting west fast enough to make a difference.

Just as well plenty of rain today which is what we really needed. Miserable here, 59 and winds gusting to 20-25 out of the NE. Multiple power outages on the Cape today due to weakened limbs falling.

http://www.capecodonline.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20110906/NEWS11/110909887

Better to watch TD14

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Outer edge of maybe some precursor rain bands to the south of the islands and moving ashore in the Mid Atlantic.

Models pay no mind to the outer bands but it'll be interesting to watch to see if any do actually manage to fire. BOX holding onto some 30 gusts on ACK, seems reasonable.

We got about 2.5" last night into the lunch hour here, all set with rain.

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Outer edge of maybe some precursor rain bands to the south of the islands and moving ashore in the Mid Atlantic.

Models pay no mind to the outer bands but it'll be interesting to watch to see if any do actually manage to fire. BOX holding onto some 30 gusts on ACK, seems reasonable.

We got about 2.5" last night into the lunch hour here, all set with rain.

I had to go to PYM today by exit 5. Rt 3 sucked..it was flooded by exit 9, about 4" of water across the road. Thunder and lightning too.

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I had to go to PYM today by exit 5. Rt 3 sucked..it was flooded by exit 9, about 4" of water across the road. Thunder and lightning too.

Those were some impressive rains. 330 in the AM boom, house shaking thunder which happened periodically over the next hour or two.

Just took a big bike ride, some damage along the roads from washouts, nothing serious. Pumps pumping all over the place.

BIG change in the weather in the last hour. We went from sun to a raw NE wind and fog. Here comes Katia's fringe.

Euro says no way, GFS/NAM a brush job. Looks to me like she just banged a hard right on the satellite.

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Those were some impressive rains. 330 in the AM boom, house shaking thunder which happened periodically over the next hour or two.

Just took a big bike ride, some damage along the roads from washouts, nothing serious. Pumps pumping all over the place.

BIG change in the weather in the last hour. We went from sun to a raw NE wind and fog. Here comes Katia's fringe.

Euro says no way, GFS/NAM a brush job. Looks to me like she just banged a hard right on the satellite.

Not seeing a 'hard right" yet, looks like you get fringed.

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Meanwhile, across the pond:

http://www.metoffice...ptember-weather

"Ok so here’s Hurricane Katia on Friday morning, an intense feature just off the eastern seaboard of the US, quite a long way from the UK right across the Atlantic, but it is expected to come quite quickly towards us over the weekend. If we look at a model prediction it gets caught up in the westerly flow across the Atlantic and really starts to accelerate towards us during Saturday and Sunday so that by the time we get to Monday we expect it to be positioned quite centrally over the UK. Unfortunately this sort of transition from a hurricane which it is currently to more of a standard mid-latitude depression is a difficult one to predict with confidence so at the moment there is still a fair amount of uncertainty about the track and also the strength of the winds around the depression. At the moment we have a warning out across a large part of northern and western UK to cover the possibilities of both a more southern track and a northern track, but we do expect to up date that warning across the weekend so we advise people to check out the Met Office website for the latest warning at any given stage."

...

"The remains of Hurricane Katia are expected to come across the UK on Monday bringing a spell of very windy weather. There remains some uncertainty about its track and intensity, though with increasing indications that Scotland and Northern Ireland are most likely to bear the brunt the warning has been upgraded to amber here. The public should be aware of the risk of disruption to transport and of the possibility of damage to trees and structures."

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http://www.metoffice...st_weather.html

Severe gales affecting parts of the UK

Winds are currently increasing over parts of central and southern Scotland and northern England with winds gusting 60 to 70 mph in places. Latest gusts include; 76 mph at Edinburgh Blackford Hill, 72 mph at Glasgow Bishopton and 71 mph at Loftus, North Yorkshire. The next few hours will see winds continuing to gust 60 to 70 mph in these areas with a few isolated gusts reaching 75 mph. Winds will slowly ease overnight. Keep up to date with the latest warnings using the link below. Issued at 1638 on Mon 12 Sep 2011.

Glen Ogle hourly observations

Tabular (last six hours)Graphical (last 24 hours)DateTimeWeatherTempWindVisPressure / trendDirSpeedGustMon

12

Sep1200w-99.gif9.3°CS30mph46mphN/A N/A, 1300w-99.gif9.7°CS29mph56mphN/A N/A, 1400w-99.gif11.1°CSW29mph49mphN/A N/A, 1500w-99.gif11.9°CWSW40mph63mphN/A N/A, 1600w-99.gif10.6°CW46mph69mphN/A N/A, 1700w-99.gif10.5°CW56mph82mphN/A N/A, 1800w-99.gif10.1°CW55mph85mphN/A N/A, Last updated: 1832 on Mon 12 Sep 2011

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