Tropopause_Fold Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 TVCN ticking west is a big sign to me within 48 hours that a RI/SE Mass landfall unlikely. your C CT call might be best right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
All Wet Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 NE QUAD near LF points, small spinups Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 It appears buzzards bay lucked out with this one.. dude...no not at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 your C CT call might be best right now. Yep Hey CT sound residents, From Ryans blog a commenter left this , Slosh model maps http://96.56.48.67/fema-firm/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 your C CT call might be best right now. :o Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Wow did HRF come west from 00z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 :o I hope there is a calm center, even cirrus filled would be fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 :o Over/under sleep on Saturday night? 1.5 hours Most underrated part of.storm is that it falls on a Sunday and starts in the morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Well it better start moving west in the next hour N movement brings it bodily into NC and, well, it's ovah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 I hope there is a calm center, even cirrus filled would be fine. What would be cool is if it's still got some tropical characterisitcs to actually get into the eye or what's left of it. Usually up here that doesn't happen like it does down south since they get so elongated Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 :o it's pretty much worst case scenario for SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 your C CT call might be best right now. I agree with the C CT (Clinton) landfall curling NE over ORH and over MHT into ME. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 N movement brings it bodily into NC and, well, it's ovah. Yea those outer bank marshes will destroy it, look at the NHC maps bro, even you Debbie are in for quite the hard blow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 it's pretty much worst case scenario for SNE. Yeah if we want to maximize this thing for all of us..we want a BDR to HVN landfall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Work is fooking crawling by Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 it's pretty much worst case scenario for SNE. I am riding you, Ryan, Will like a wild pony, giddyup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Work is fooking crawling by There is no work today..just weenie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 There is no work today..just weenie I wish LOL...month-end close so I have to get something done today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 FWIW, here is the RSM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 great loop of the 6z hrwf...might be close to reality. i believe it's been verifying very near the best of the suite so far - though the previous two runs running way east might knock those scores down some. watch the wind field expand. http://coaps.fsu.edu/~maue/extreme/hwrf/irene09l.2011082606/irene09l.2011082606_anim.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
natecast Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 I've got family in Lewiston, ME that I'm sending updates to, and wish I could be there to experience this. Down in OK we had TS Emily a few years ago that dropped 4-6" of rain and gusts to 60 imby, but nothing like what some of you are going to get. Stay safe and look forward to following the storm with all of you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 great loop of the 6z hrwf...might be close to reality. i believe it's been verifying very near the best of the suite so far - though the previous two runs running way east might knock those scores down some. watch the wind field expand. http://coaps.fsu.edu...82606_anim.html That is an awesome grab there dude.. That is basically a 1938 type(track and damage) deal with still over 100 knots well inland..except it's moving 35-40 mph SLOWER Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 great loop of the 6z hrwf...might be close to reality. i believe it's been verifying very near the best of the suite so far - though the previous two runs running way east might knock those scores down some. watch the wind field expand. http://coaps.fsu.edu...82606_anim.html Crushing blow to our area with the winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 great loop of the 6z hrwf...might be close to reality. i believe it's been verifying very near the best of the suite so far - though the previous two runs running way east might knock those scores down some. watch the wind field expand. http://coaps.fsu.edu...82606_anim.html The track itself is already flawed, has east motion between 12z and 15z which should be occuring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJHUB Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 That is an awesome grab there dude.. That is basically a 1938 type(track and damage) deal with still over 100 knots well inland..except it's moving 35-40 mph SLOWER RI and Eastern MA in for a blustery day of destruction if that were to verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 There is no work today..just weenie I'm going to Canobie Lake Park today... hopefully no crowds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bmj16725 Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 great loop of the 6z hrwf...might be close to reality. i believe it's been verifying very near the best of the suite so far - though the previous two runs running way east might knock those scores down some. watch the wind field expand. http://coaps.fsu.edu...82606_anim.html What is a normal reduction factor to convert to surface wind from 900 mb? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eekuasepinniW Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Death via tropical storm would be a fitting end of the season finale for my tropical garden. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 The track itself is already flawed, has east motion between 12z and 15z which should be occuring. it's just wobbles. is it going to verify 100% accurate throughout the entire run? of course not. that's why i said "might be close to reality" who would take the model and say "here - this is what is going to happen." ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Hopefully for Kevin's sake it doesn't get ravaged by the Jersey shore first, but that's a pretty crazy track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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