MJHUB Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 Nothing's set in stone. I don't think NJ to NYC is out of the woods yet No I know that, I said current guidance, clearly its up in the air. but as of now was more my question Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 Just had a EOC meeting, surprised to find out CNN has this as a 2 at our location. I also was surpised no members of the EOC had heard about the excessive rainfall, when I mentioned 8 plus amounts they were shocked. Folks only think about wind I guess. Coordination calls Friday 10AM Do you just work with the Nation or are you with your town/county as well? A decent number of folks were at the store getting lanterns, etc. when I went... and this is 100 miles inland at 1000' ASL. Power outages are the biggest concern for most, but the rain is going to wind up being the ultimate issue. At least here. I got to wonder about the ultimate fate of my mom's house. Her driveway is 10' ASL, but I could see her basement flooding for the second time in 18 months. Plus she has a glass sunporch thing that I'm wondering it will survive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 "EOC"? Emergency . . . .? ... Orgasmic Commitee... big weenie support group Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 Hopefully we can get one of these in January... If only..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 "EOC"? Emergency . . . .? Emergency Operations Center, all Public Safety Depts, Engineering, Foxwoods CEO, Tribal CEO, MGM CEO. I think they said that they are expecting 35,000-50,000 people this weekend, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloudsncontrails Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 What are you guys and girls expecting with the NWS track at 5? How much of an influence do you think the Euro will have? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 NAM is way WSW of even the 12z. Euro might have been onto something..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 Euro ens came pretty far west too. Looks like the mean rides just offshore up the coast and then somewhere around LI-CT/RI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 Do you just work with the Nation or are you with your town/county as well? A decent number of folks were at the store getting lanterns, etc. when I went... and this is 100 miles inland at 1000' ASL. Power outages are the biggest concern for most, but the rain is going to wind up being the ultimate issue. At least here. I got to wonder about the ultimate fate of my mom's house. Her driveway is 10' ASL, but I could see her basement flooding for the second time in 18 months. Plus she has a glass sunporch thing that I'm wondering it will survive. Tribal Nation and Foxwoods, MGM etc, huge enterprise, basically a small city. MOM at 10'ASL, not good, what street i will print up an inudation map. Do not know if you saw the ones I posted this afternoon for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 Tribal Nation and Foxwoods, MGM etc, huge enterprise, basically a small city. MOM at 10'ASL, not good, what street i will print up an inudation map. Do not know if you saw the ones I posted this afternoon for you. I saw the beach ones (Misquamicutt)... she is on Frigate Street on the West side of the island (a bit north of the bridge). There is a small town beach across the street. We are making plans... maybe head down Friday or Saturday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 Now I am worried about it trending too far west for my location...LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJHUB Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 Now I am worried about it trending too far west for my location...LOL same here, what a difference a few hours make Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 same here, what a difference a few hours make Maybe this is good though since there is usually an east trend late in the game... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 I WOULD BE IN BALTIMORE FOR THE CANE I HAVE BEEN WAITING FOR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 Emergency Operations Center, all Public Safety Depts, Engineering, Foxwoods CEO, Tribal CEO, MGM CEO. I think they said that they are expecting 35,000-50,000 people this weekend, Got it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 I saw the beach ones (Misquamicutt)... she is on Frigate Street on the West side of the island (a bit north of the bridge). There is a small town beach across the street. We are making plans... maybe head down Friday or Saturday Looks like even in 38 she did not flood, here is a 5 foot surge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 Ugly for a lot of us, check that insurance rider. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 No I know that, I said current guidance, clearly its up in the air. but as of now was more my question The 12z EnKF initialized GFS has almost the exact same track as the Euro -model output shown on the main model thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 No matter the current tracks...some one is in big, big trouble...whether it be from extreme rain fall or pretty strong sustained winds. I'm pretty worried at this point. Yeah, I'm worried about serious flooding if this thing runs inland up the Ct River Valley. There won't be a dirt road left intact in Franklin Co. if we get 8"+ of rain in 12 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 Ugly for a lot of us, check that insurance rider. May be a good time to see if the generator starts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 the biggest difference I see between the GFS and the ECMWF at 72 hours is the strength of the North Atlantic ridge. Take a look at the height differences over southern Nova Scotia and Labrador. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 May be a good time to see if the generator starts As soon as my wife get home to be with baby I'm going out to scout a new one. We lose power with thunderstorms in my neighborhood never mind a full fledged 'cane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 Anyone in interior NE, what was Bob/Gloria/etc.. like for interior areas.. I guess on just skeptical on winds that far in the interior.. I kinda wanted the big rain totals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 18z NAM went way west again, eastern Carolina would get a good whooping. Starting to breate a little easier and thinking it may be a larger problem further west? SW CT Jackpot like all winter? Now they get 100mph winds and 2 feet of rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adamrivers Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 Yeah, I'm worried about serious flooding if this thing runs inland up the Ct River Valley. There won't be a dirt road left intact in Franklin Co. if we get 8"+ of rain in 12 hours. This is starting to concern me quite a bit as well -- wind we can handle - rain, not sure....my road is dirt right now as part of a massive reconstruction project.....as are most side streets within half of mile of my house. Could be very ugly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 18z NAM went way west again, eastern Carolina would get a good whooping. Starting to breate a little easier and thinking it may be a larger problem further west? SW CT Jackpot like all winter? Now they get 100mph winds and 2 feet of rain? But if this trends east in the final 48 we could be in a great spot.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 Anyone in interior NE, what was Bob/Gloria/etc.. like for interior areas.. I guess on just skeptical on winds that far in the interior.. I kinda wanted the big rain totals With Bob, I was without power for a week along with close to 2' of water in my cellar, Then got lucky and found a generator to get the basement pumped out.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 18z NAM went way west again, eastern Carolina would get a good whooping. Starting to breate a little easier and thinking it may be a larger problem further west? SW CT Jackpot like all winter? Now they get 100mph winds and 2 feet of rain? Based on the NAM? I wouldn't Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 why is everyone sicking out about the EURO? Looks like really moderate winds to me, am I wrong? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted August 24, 2011 Share Posted August 24, 2011 But if this trends east in the final 48 we could be in a great spot.... Macabre, but the "good" news is it's coming. Who it hits the hardest remains to be seen but I think a miss east is off the table. NAM misses it with the trough entirely, does a EURO type deal I think where it will run way west into Jersey. What's amazing is there are noticeable changes at 6h on the 18z and those carry out throughout the run, so position around the 0z hour will be critical as will 0z init. Would appear the threat is shifting west, will see if that holds but I feel better that my house will still be standing Monday am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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