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Next Monday-Tues frontal passage


free_man

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Yeah we drank at Tia's for an hour..then had this huge scavenger hunt for 3 hours in Quincy Market..and had to do all kinds of crazy things during it...they had hired people to be prt of it..and we had to find them in different stores, and bars and stuff. Really good time. Then we ended with dinner and more drinks at Ned Bevins from 4-7.. Fun day..but it was just balls out hot

The horrors of the private sector...

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Yeah we drank at Tia's for an hour..then had this huge scavenger hunt for 3 hours in Quincy Market..and had to do all kinds of crazy things during it...they had hired people to be prt of it..and we had to find them in different stores, and bars and stuff. Really good time. Then we ended with dinner and more drinks at Ned Bevins from 4-7.. Fun day..but it was just balls out hot

Man love scavenger hunt, did you get your lips glossed again?

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Perhaps someone's already covered this for you but today's convective "threat" is because there is a substantial pocket of colder 500mb heights encroaching from the NW, along with a fair amount of differentiating ml jet fields to offer some evac. The baroclinic axis ...as usual for this time of year, is/was probably in reality more nebulously defined than the current HPC analysis (which is clad anyway). But having a lesser defined boundary means lagging sfc DPs in the low to mid 60s, under some decent insolation. Today's stuff is less driven by cold frontal-central triggering. I don't have bufkit here so I am not sure what the convective temperature is; it isn't static though and would be a falling value in time with heights dropping in association with said cold pool.

12z NAM pegs regional LI down to -2, but point analysis may be better. All in all, may not be a severe day but CB passage at some point is likely; far gone conclusion with small potent dbz cores in eastern NY already.

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There's some small storms firing up around here. Can see the darker clouds. The more widespread action still up in NY State though...we should see that try and spread in here for early evening...but we'll be fighting the lessening heating once we get near sunset.

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There's some small storms firing up around here. Can see the darker clouds. The more widespread action still up in NY State though...we should see that try and spread in here for early evening...but we'll be fighting the lessening heating once we get near sunset.

hopefully that can be offset by cooling mid-levels.

a lot of guidance keeps this intact into the mid/late evening hours it seems

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There's some small storms firing up around here. Can see the darker clouds. The more widespread action still up in NY State though...we should see that try and spread in here for early evening...but we'll be fighting the lessening heating once we get near sunset.

Look to be firing up a bit more on last scan, especially up by Ray.

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