MaineJayhawk Posted April 7, 2011 Share Posted April 7, 2011 Hey guys, you might get a kick out of the storm that's about to slam us here in AK. The low is currently in the 930's. Winter Storm Warnings and Blizzard Warnings are up. Expecting feet of snow. Torch Smorch.lol Better enjoy it now, my friend, because it sounds like when you return you'll have to mow the lawn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted April 7, 2011 Share Posted April 7, 2011 21.7F here at the moment Dullsville Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 7, 2011 Author Share Posted April 7, 2011 EURO says torch is full on much of next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted April 7, 2011 Share Posted April 7, 2011 EURO says torch is full on much of next week I hope it doesn't come in too much too soon. I sitll have a lot of burning ahead of me before I can focus on any lawn issues. Off to a mild start this morning. 28.0/26 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 7, 2011 Author Share Posted April 7, 2011 I hope it doesn't come in too much too soon. I sitll have a lot of burning ahead of me before I can focus on any lawn issues. Off to a mild start this morning. 28.0/26 It will be cooler mid week than early week..but the whole week looks like 60's at least for the interior..Monday's 70's to near 80 won't be the norm..but still above normal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted April 7, 2011 Share Posted April 7, 2011 It will be cooler mid week than early week..but the whole week looks like 60's at least for the interior..Monday's 70's to near 80 won't be the norm..but still above normal I think I'm going to need to bump the lawn thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted April 7, 2011 Share Posted April 7, 2011 warm patterns starts sat and trucks on right through the end of next week with a day or two of low 80s................heaven awaits Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted April 7, 2011 Share Posted April 7, 2011 warm patterns starts sat and trucks on right through the end of next week with a day or two of low 80s................heaven awaits Thank God for my latitude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted April 7, 2011 Share Posted April 7, 2011 It will be cooler mid week than early week..but the whole week looks like 60's at least for the interior..Monday's 70's to near 80 won't be the norm..but still above normal Drove thru Tolland yesterday on Rte 84 on my way back from Plainville, What is your elevation there? That was a decent hill to climb.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted April 7, 2011 Share Posted April 7, 2011 Drove thru Tolland yesterday on Rte 84 on my way back from Plainville, What is your elevation there? That was a decent hill to climb.. His sig claims 1,000 ft but it's widely acknowledged to be 993ft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted April 7, 2011 Share Posted April 7, 2011 His sig claims 1,000 ft but it's widely acknowledged to be 993ft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted April 7, 2011 Share Posted April 7, 2011 His sig claims 1,000 ft but it's widely acknowledged to be 993ft. Ah yes i see that now, Must be under 1,000', My ears did not pop......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted April 7, 2011 Share Posted April 7, 2011 This friday night should be classic.... going to UConn to party with my good friend who also happens to know Chris (nw conn)... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 7, 2011 Author Share Posted April 7, 2011 Drove thru Tolland yesterday on Rte 84 on my way back from Plainville, What is your elevation there? That was a decent hill to climb.. Yeah the top of that hill on 84 is about 850 feet. Mine is 1,000 feet..It is off to the left of 84 if you're heading eastbound Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 7, 2011 Share Posted April 7, 2011 Saturday could be a very mild day too. SW boundary layer flow with 850 temps around +3C. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 7, 2011 Author Share Posted April 7, 2011 Saturday could be a very mild day too. SW boundary layer flow with 850 temps around +3C. Shorts and weenies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 7, 2011 Share Posted April 7, 2011 Going to go out on a big limb here. After a 7-9 day stretch of above normal or near normal temp regime the bottom will fall out sometime around April 16 th near the full moon. Indices are trending towards a NEG NAO, NEG AO, NEGATIVE EPO, the PNA looks to stay pretty negative but with the priors in play it appears to me quite a cool to cold spell will setup with a roll over ridge. Been watching this for a while, N Canada still remains below normal and with that that type of config the false spring week could lead to a stormy cold Easter. Just something to watch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 7, 2011 Share Posted April 7, 2011 Going to go out on a big limb here. After a 7-9 day stretch of above normal or near normal temp regime the bottom will fall out sometime around April 16 th near the full moon. Indices are trending towards a NEG NAO, NEG AO, NEGATIVE EPO, the PNA looks to stay pretty negative but with the priors in play it appears to me quite a cool to cold spell will setup with a roll over ridge. Been watching this for a while, N Canada still remains below normal and with that that type of config the false spring week could lead to a stormy cold Easter. Just something to watch Yeah, there is a very recent declination in those polar field indices after 7-9 days, but ... being so knew, I think it is too soon to "go out on a limb". But that's just me. I'd like to give that signal 3 or 4 days to cook, because I have seen plenty of times in the past a new teleconnector signal abruptly arrive, only to mute when push comes to shove. It seems the ones that stick are more subtle when they emerge - but I could just be imaging that just the same. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 7, 2011 Author Share Posted April 7, 2011 Yeah, there is a very recent declination in those polar field indices after 7-9 days, but ... being so knew, I think it is too soon to "go out on a limb". But that's just me. I'd like to give that signal 3 or 4 days to cook, because I have seen plenty of times in the past a new teleconnector signal abruptly arrive, only to mute when push comes to shove. It seems the ones that stick are more subtle when they emerge - but I could just be imaging that just the same. There's been a huge 10mb warming in the stratosphere..so we'll probably go into backdoor ,chair tipping, tailpipe french kissing, hairdryers in the bathtube weather as we round out the month and head into May Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 7, 2011 Share Posted April 7, 2011 There's been a huge 10mb warming in the stratosphere..so we'll probably go into backdoor ,chair tipping, tailpipe french kissing, hairdryers in the bathtube weather as we round out the month and head into May Isn't that Strato warning just the process of spring though? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 7, 2011 Share Posted April 7, 2011 There's been a huge 10mb warming in the stratosphere..so we'll probably go into backdoor ,chair tipping, tailpipe french kissing, hairdryers in the bathtube weather as we round out the month and head into May This is true, there is warming. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 7, 2011 Share Posted April 7, 2011 There's been a huge 10mb warming in the stratosphere..so we'll probably go into backdoor ,chair tipping, tailpipe french kissing, hairdryers in the bathtube weather as we round out the month and head into May - no kidding! Remember in 2001 is snowed on the 22nd of May, to 1.5" on Boston Common? I think it did that the next year in 2002, where ORH had 3" in some May thing. I also remember May of 2005 - worst Spring, 3 to 4 week spand inhumanely imaginable ever recorded in the history of being ram-rodded. 43/29, with wind swept drizzle, occasional NE gales, and heavy rain bouts, no exaggeration, for 3 to 4 weeks. Definition? HELL. end of story. Franklly, if we get a couple of warm weeks and then it does an obnoxious snow in May I think that would be really interesting to follow. Hopefully we don't suffer a 2005er though. Ooph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 7, 2011 Share Posted April 7, 2011 This is true, there is warming. . But its a race.... The terminous is nearing... If you go look at all the other years, in variable around the 20th of April, whatever anomaly is on-going gets rather abruptly muted out... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 7, 2011 Share Posted April 7, 2011 Great, anothe 7.5 mag quake for Japan Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 7, 2011 Author Share Posted April 7, 2011 This is true, there is warming. . Guaranteed we go into some sort of backdoor, blocked up, drizzle period later in the month into early/mid May Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted April 7, 2011 Share Posted April 7, 2011 Isn't that Strato warning just the process of spring though? yes the final warming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 7, 2011 Share Posted April 7, 2011 the 12z NAM is impressive in the MW/GL... Has a huge 570+dm thickness realm encompassing southern lower Michigan S, and through adjacent states, with a large plume of 20+C at 850, all in a well-mixed SW/WSW wind field in warm sector. That's 90's for highs in central IL and IN - This run also has a clear MCC leading the warm front up in the U.P. of Mich - amazing summery vibe on this run. Should that happen, that would rumble down over us sometime on Sunday one would think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 7, 2011 Share Posted April 7, 2011 Guaranteed we go into some sort of backdoor, blocked up, drizzle period later in the month into early/mid May After reviewing I am not that impressed just yet. First of all, that correlation is not as simple as whether an SSW event is underway... There are plenty of 'burster" events that don't correlate to AO behavior very well, and the reason appears to be related to whether the warm plume begins to descend in elevation in time. Sometimes the elevation of the warm and cooling events - most times actually - remain static in altitude. The AO and NAO appear to be controled more by planetary wave decay (terminating WAA scenarios) at higher latitudes during those times. Infuse a deep cyclone into 60 N with it decaying WCB, that height inject will tend to at least transiently raise heights at mid levels up north, imosing the negative phase of the EPO, NAO and to some degree the AO depending on which side of the hemisphere conveyors are aligned. With propagating warm and cool anomalies through the depths of the stratosphere, however, that is an exertion (eventually) from aloft, that ultimately causes downward vertical motion in the means (weakening polar vortex), or upward anomalies (strenghting polar vortex). The former is the -AO and the latter the +AO. Clearly there is warming going on ... but 2 things: 1) We don't know if it is propagating or not; the correlation to driving the AO with that specicivity is very high. That determination should be made before assuming this current warming will impact the AO phase state. 2) Regardless, we are just about right on top of the seasonal terminous; if you go back and look at every year in the 32 year records for the monitoring division, regardless of what anomalies were on-going on April one, they are obolished and the entirety of the domain is utterly neutralized by May 1 of every year. In other words, it may be too late for this particular warming to have much impact. That all said, ... there is a tendency in the extended to lower the AO toward neutral, but that tendency is rather recent and not all the members really agree too well as to the magnitude of that decent. It may be coincidental and over stated. Time will tell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted April 7, 2011 Share Posted April 7, 2011 Yeah the top of that hill on 84 is about 850 feet. Mine is 1,000 feet..It is off to the left of 84 if you're heading eastbound Ah, Gotcha, It was around 11:00 pm last night when i was on my way back, At least i had no traffic to deal with..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted April 7, 2011 Share Posted April 7, 2011 Hippie index on the rise today. Will be through the roof by Monday. Played frisbee for two hours this morning in beautiful weather!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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