Damage In Tolland Posted April 6, 2011 Share Posted April 6, 2011 As we try and get thru the doldrums of spring which to many of us is the worst time of year...it's time to start looking towards our first potential torch of the new year. Euro depicts a torch at 850 all the way to the surface and has all of interior CT/Mass, Ri into the 80-85 degree range on Monday...if the west wind inferno on the Euro verifies we'd roast..similiar to this time last year when we hit 90+ right around the same timeframe and trees were just about fully leafed out. GFS has alot of low cloud nonsense which is most likely wrong..and wouldn't make sense give the westerly downsloping flow. Enjoy the weather..it's the only you've got Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted April 6, 2011 Share Posted April 6, 2011 My first day indoors of the Spring then. ..pollen ftl... 4 months and 24 days until Met. Autumn..... As we try and get thru the doldrums of spring which to many of us is the worst time of year...it's time to start looking towards our first potential torch of the new year. Euro depicts a torch at 850 all the way to the surface and has all of interior CT/Mass, Ri into the 80-85 degree range on Monday...if the west wind inferno on the Euro verifies we'd roast..similiar to this time last year when we hit 90+ right around the same timeframe and trees were just about fully leafed out. GFS has alot of low cloud nonsense which is most likely wrong..and wouldn't make sense give the westerly downsloping flow. Enjoy the weather..it's the only you've got Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted April 6, 2011 Share Posted April 6, 2011 This would be the 2nd torch in my book. Mar 17/18 hit 63 & 73 respectively. That's a torch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 6, 2011 Author Share Posted April 6, 2011 This would be the 2nd torch in my book. Mar 17/18 hit 63 & 73 respectively. That's a torch. Yeah but we were still in winter mode..and didn't want that mild spell. Now that we're in spring.summer mode..it wll be welcomed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted April 6, 2011 Share Posted April 6, 2011 It's never welcomed. Yeah but we were still in winter mode..and didn't want that mild spell. Now that we're in spring.summer mode..it wll be welcomed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 6, 2011 Share Posted April 6, 2011 It's never welcomed. Eh, nothing wrong with nice weather. Even snow lovers like myself welcome the pleasant temps. It's the heat that gets annoying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted April 6, 2011 Share Posted April 6, 2011 As we thought, Kevin? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted April 6, 2011 Share Posted April 6, 2011 CTUncertainty the new monicker? "Euro weeklies are brutally cold for the time of year thru the end of April..Much much below normal" "Sam and Birvine and Tippy are going to be absolutely miserable the next 30-45 days...much below normal temps, snowcover lasting into late April/..no spring warmth..nothing growing, nothing greening up..just cold and snowy holding hands with cold and dry...doe ci doe your partna" "BigJoeBastardi Joe Bastardi ugly cold pattern northern plains to northeast starts later this week and lasts well into April. Bill Murray: Freeze,Gopher and golfers)" "Euro weeklies are cold into the middle of April.. dig in for a long haul" "JB all over it..Spring is over...Get out the heavy jackets, gloves hats and snowplows and shovels That deep blue represents the idea that what I have been touting has merit, its 12 below normal!!!! and it also means weather more normal for MID FEBRUARY than late March!. Interestingly enough, the weather in mid February this year was more like late April!Dramamine anyone? And yes, the snow/ice event the mid and latter part of next week is still a go, and in fact there may be a couple more of them in the weeks to follow" "Yeah you can see the growing cold signal the last 7 days of the month on the enesembles and now the op Euro is starting to see it. After the 60's this week folks are gonna think it's warm for good. I bet April is a below normal month this year" "Nina springs suck dude...you know it and so does everyone else..you can already see it setting up on the ensembles the final 10 days of the month..with -NAO Gibbs texted me and said April and may look brutal this year. No getting around it this year." "With the -NAO coming back late month and April I honestly can't wait to see those getting naked for spring anguish in misery as much as I hate cloudy, drizzly wx..it'll be worth it for them to suffer" "JB says congrats to us late March/April BigJoeBastardi Joe Bastardi Look for Neg NAO to evolve later March into April. Will be tough to be a little league parent or golfer new england to northern plains" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted April 6, 2011 Share Posted April 6, 2011 Warm weather, right there, wahoo! Who looks rediculous now! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted April 6, 2011 Share Posted April 6, 2011 Yeah but we were still in winter mode..and didn't want that mild spell. Now that we're in spring.summer mode..it wll be welcomed Yeah I was the only one posting about it those days while you freaks were drooling over long range model forecasts for 1-3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 6, 2011 Share Posted April 6, 2011 Eh, nothing wrong with nice weather. Even snow lovers like myself welcome the pleasant temps. It's the heat that gets annoying. Kevin - impressive Meteorological tact - haha. Scootage - agreed, but I am also fascinated with Heat Waves. Equally so as a matter of fact.... Btw, although it is the 300-384 hour 'never-gonna-go-down-that-way' range of the GFS, the 00z run hints at a Sonoran release event... You see the 25C plateau air mass getting chargned and ready... That type of depiction, though having limited or no deterministic value at this time range, is likely to materialize in the spring when we have the -PNA/+NAO scenario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted April 6, 2011 Share Posted April 6, 2011 It's never welcomed. It's welcomed here because I'm all set with elevation events....I'd rather 38* and drizzle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 6, 2011 Share Posted April 6, 2011 Kevin - impressive Meteorological tact - haha. Scootage - agreed, but I am also fascinated with Heat Waves. Equally so as a matter of fact.... Btw, although it is the 300-384 hour 'never-gonna-go-down-that-way' range of the GFS, the 00z run hints at a Sonoran release event... You see the 25C plateau air mass getting chargned and ready... That type of depiction, though having limited or no deterministic value at this time range, is likely to materialize in the spring when we have the -PNA/+NAO scenario. LOL, I knew you'd bring that up. I like the meteorology behind these massive + temp anomalies, but I'm not a fan of it from a comfort standpoint. Now if you can throw in a siggy severe event to break it, then by all means bring it. However, last year somehow chose to break the heat by a mundane fropa that brought us down to a cool 87F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted April 6, 2011 Share Posted April 6, 2011 LOL, I knew you'd bring that up. I like the meteorology behind these massive + temp anomalies, but I'm not a fan of it from a comfort standpoint. Now if you can throw in a siggy severe event to break it, then by all means bring it. However, last year somehow chose to break the heat by a mundane fropa that brought us down to a cool 87F. I was going to bring it up to mock him, but he had already dropped the bomb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 6, 2011 Share Posted April 6, 2011 LOL, I knew you'd bring that up. I like the meteorology behind these massive + temp anomalies, but I'm not a fan of it from a comfort standpoint. Now if you can throw in a siggy severe event to break it, then by all means bring it. However, last year somehow chose to break the heat by a mundane fropa that brought us down to a cool 87F. Funny you should mentiong severe.... Timing of fropa may not work out though - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted April 6, 2011 Share Posted April 6, 2011 meh. I don't need this at this time of year. If its going to happen, mine as well be on the weekend though, not Monday. I wont really enjoy the 85F temps in school then going to work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 6, 2011 Author Share Posted April 6, 2011 Euro continues the Monday torch and actually most of next week looks fairly warm..not much cool air behind the front Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted April 6, 2011 Share Posted April 6, 2011 Euro continues the Monday torch and actually most of next week looks fairly warm..not much cool air behind the front Good to have you back! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted April 6, 2011 Share Posted April 6, 2011 Euro continues the Monday torch and actually most of next week looks fairly warm..not much cool air behind the front Good thing I already put my AC's in upstairs then.......I always put them in late March.......last year it worked out well when a year ago today or tomorrow?? it was 90+.....mock on if you must.....I don't care - I hate the heat..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 6, 2011 Share Posted April 6, 2011 Euro continues the Monday torch and actually most of next week looks fairly warm..not much cool air behind the front It does pretty substantially interrupts the heat though... There is a big high plopping down out of Canada through midweek, and you can see in the thermal fields through the verticla, a pretty classic looking notching SW... That signals NE flow pounding the coast in bright sun - nice 42F at Logan.... 60s in the CT R Valley. ....but it may not verify that way. who knows. Then by D10 the heat comes back with about equal panache as Monday. In fact, taken verbatim that would likely be the more extended above normal given this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted April 6, 2011 Share Posted April 6, 2011 Euro continues the Monday torch and actually most of next week looks fairly warm..not much cool air behind the front Nice to see you have returned to sanity. The forecast this weekend is not easy. What is Socks going for in Westchester? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted April 6, 2011 Share Posted April 6, 2011 Nice to see you have returned to sanity. The forecast this weekend is not easy. What is Socks going for in Westchester? Looks like mid-upper 40s Friday with clouds, and possibly showers, in the area...850s still below 0C. WAA begins Saturday as the upper ridge starts to build in, but I still imagine there'll be some garbage from the wave to our south, so I'd probably say mid 50s here. Sunday looks warmer and more humid, but another line of showers may keep temps down...60F seems reasonable here. I just looked at the GFS/ECM at 12z, haven't seen the NWS forecast yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 6, 2011 Share Posted April 6, 2011 GFS even had some good MUCAPES predawn Monday, in advance of the warm push. Wiz just fainted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted April 6, 2011 Share Posted April 6, 2011 GFS even had some good MUCAPES predawn Monday, in advance of the warm push. Wiz just fainted. Yes it does. Maybe even some elevated convection on Sunday too? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 6, 2011 Share Posted April 6, 2011 Yes it does. Maybe even some elevated convection on Sunday too? Yeah I'm sure they'll be something in NY State....maybe it moves ese in the flow or something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 6, 2011 Author Share Posted April 6, 2011 Nice to see you have returned to sanity. The forecast this weekend is not easy. What is Socks going for in Westchester? NW flow aloft screams storms riding e/se in New Eng Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted April 6, 2011 Share Posted April 6, 2011 NW flow aloft screams storms riding e/se in New Eng Well not sure it has anything to do with a NW flow... but yeah there's certainly a lot of chances for showers but where the boundary sets up is a big question. Would mean the difference between mid 50s and upper 60s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 6, 2011 Share Posted April 6, 2011 Well not sure it has anything to do with a NW flow... but yeah there's certainly a lot of chances for showers but where the boundary sets up is a big question. Would mean the difference between mid 50s and upper 60s. Monday might be one of those deals that torch the interior from ASH down to BDL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 6, 2011 Author Share Posted April 6, 2011 Well not sure it has anything to do with a NW flow... but yeah there's certainly a lot of chances for showers but where the boundary sets up is a big question. Would mean the difference between mid 50s and upper 60s. NW flow FTW for storms and Youtube tapes FTL i guess? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted April 6, 2011 Share Posted April 6, 2011 NW flow FTW for storms and Youtube tapes FTL i guess? I have the DVD give me a day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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