JSTWX Posted March 5, 2011 Share Posted March 5, 2011 any thoughts on the flooding JST? Streams are already above normal flow for this time of year in Lycoming county. 1 to 1.5 inches should be handled ok by most waterways Clarion River is now forecast to stay below flood stage Further east, Towanda to Marietta may see some flooding Marietta Towanda Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted March 5, 2011 Share Posted March 5, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted March 5, 2011 Share Posted March 5, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted March 5, 2011 Share Posted March 5, 2011 WOW at new NAM...even if it's overdoing precip.....2 to 2.5 inches would spell a lot of trouble...not to mention we still have a healthy snowpack in the mountains on NCPA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted March 5, 2011 Author Share Posted March 5, 2011 56.6° here in the Valley...turned out to be a decent day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted March 5, 2011 Share Posted March 5, 2011 WOW at new NAM...even if it's overdoing precip.....2 to 2.5 inches would spell a lot of trouble...not to mention we still have a healthy snowpack in the mountains on NCPA. I was laughing at the 2-4" of snow it gives me. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSTWX Posted March 5, 2011 Share Posted March 5, 2011 WOW at new NAM...even if it's overdoing precip.....2 to 2.5 inches would spell a lot of trouble...not to mention we still have a healthy snowpack in the mountains on NCPA. It's also shifting east like the gfs and euro.... making for more snow west of I-99/Rt 220. But again, take the qpf with a grain of salt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted March 5, 2011 Share Posted March 5, 2011 63.7 right now. More, please! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dcfox1 Posted March 5, 2011 Share Posted March 5, 2011 1 to 1.5 inches should be handled ok by most waterways Clarion River is now forecast to stay below flood stage Further east, Towanda to Marietta may see some flooding Marietta Towanda I was just wondering that as i drove across the river today, running full and the potential for heavy rains up north in the basin. . If I remember right when it hits 54-56' it starts to effect front street in Marietta. Water comes up from the storm drains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted March 5, 2011 Share Posted March 5, 2011 There is a ton of rain on radar from the gulf to canada. Lot's of rain coming. Should make for some good pictures tomorrow and Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted March 5, 2011 Share Posted March 5, 2011 Absolutely man....this just has the feel of a big rainstorm. I would not be surprised to see some 3 or 4 inch localized amounts unfortunately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted March 5, 2011 Share Posted March 5, 2011 Absolutely man....this just has the feel of a big rainstorm. I would not be surprised to see some 3 or 4 inch localized amounts unfortunately. Ya that low is coming from the gulf. Will have a lot of juice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PSU8315 Posted March 5, 2011 Share Posted March 5, 2011 I was just wondering that as i drove across the river today, running full and the potential for heavy rains up north in the basin. . If I remember right when it hits 54-56' it starts to effect front street in Marietta. Water comes up from the storm drains. Susquehanna will be the one to watch. Much of the basin will pick up 1.5 to 3 inches of rain, and there is still an impressive snowpack across south-central New York that will be draining down as well. Looks like most points on the main stem are forecast to see borderline moderate flooding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted March 5, 2011 Share Posted March 5, 2011 LOL.. The nam went crazy with snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm Clouds Posted March 5, 2011 Share Posted March 5, 2011 Too bad this isn't a snowstorm coming or else we all would have been flipping out in here! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted March 5, 2011 Share Posted March 5, 2011 Thanks dude, I love the site btw. I'm kinda in the dark on this storm...not a lot of talk going on in here lol. Here are some rain gauges for Lycoming county http://www.lyco.org/...t.aspx#Lycoming http://www.lyco.org/...GaugeSites.aspx http://www.erh.noaa.gov/marfc/west_branch_susquehanna.htm Bottom of this page is river observations. http://www.erh.noaa....ema/monitor.php Projected Wmpst and Jersey Shore Crest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSTWX Posted March 5, 2011 Share Posted March 5, 2011 Too bad this isn't a snowstorm coming or else we all would have been flipping out in here! for some it will be Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted March 5, 2011 Share Posted March 5, 2011 Thing is we got another 1"+ storm Friday-Saturday so Flooding is even more likely that time around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paweatherguy1 Posted March 5, 2011 Share Posted March 5, 2011 Thing is we got another 1"+ storm Friday-Saturday so Flooding is even more likely that time around. And the areas that get snow will be in a bad way...if the nam was right I would think western and central pa could be in for some serious issues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted March 5, 2011 Share Posted March 5, 2011 WOW at new NAM...even if it's overdoing precip.....2 to 2.5 inches would spell a lot of trouble...not to mention we still have a healthy snowpack in the mountains on NCPA. Yeah, no kidding, and the snow raised an eyebrow to me - it wasn't that bullish on snow before. I was just wondering that as i drove across the river today, running full and the potential for heavy rains up north in the basin. . If I remember right when it hits 54-56' it starts to effect front street in Marietta. Water comes up from the storm drains. Susquehanna will be the one to watch. Much of the basin will pick up 1.5 to 3 inches of rain, and there is still an impressive snowpack across south-central New York that will be draining down as well. Looks like most points on the main stem are forecast to see borderline moderate flooding. I went to the District 3 AAAA b-ball championships in Hershey today (York High FTW) and when we went along the Susquehanna it did really look high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted March 5, 2011 Share Posted March 5, 2011 This could be a pretty impressive storm in a lot of regards....I'm keeping an eye on it for flooding, I just have that feeling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Caveman Posted March 5, 2011 Share Posted March 5, 2011 Susquehanna will be the one to watch. Much of the basin will pick up 1.5 to 3 inches of rain, and there is still an impressive snowpack across south-central New York that will be draining down as well. Looks like most points on the main stem are forecast to see borderline moderate flooding. The changeover to snow and colder conditions in the upper Susq. Valley will help save places downstream! As we are aware, there is much water held in the snowpack up north and those downstream need it to stay in the snowpack with the modeled amount of liquid precip falling over the Susq. basin within the next 24-36 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dcfox1 Posted March 5, 2011 Share Posted March 5, 2011 Even at the Marietta area Action stage floods the parks, at flood stage where I lived at Accomac on the York Co side it floods the roads. Had some good flooded in party's with the neighbors. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PottercountyWXobserver Posted March 5, 2011 Share Posted March 5, 2011 This could be a pretty impressive storm in a lot of regards....I'm keeping an eye on it for flooding, I just have that feeling. I don't have that feeling, maybe it will flood for other areas, but potter or McKean doesn't look to be the case. So far we only have .50" . I'm thinking we will see between 1.25-1.6" of rain, which won't be enough to cause major problems, maybe just for the smaller creeks but nothing this area can't handle. It will probably be a longgg time before we see a flood like 72' or 42' , Agnes was a BEAST of a storm and one for the history books for quite sometime. I'm more impressed for the snowfall part of the storm, it keeps looking better and better with each run of the models. I would be quite impressed if we receive 8" from the back end of the storm, that doesn't happen very often. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted March 5, 2011 Share Posted March 5, 2011 http://www.meteor.iastate.edu/~ckarsten/cobb/cobb.php?model=namm&site=kbfd 31" LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted March 5, 2011 Share Posted March 5, 2011 http://www.meteor.ia...=namm&site=kbfd 31" LOL I'm thinking PotterCounty would be over joyed if that come true. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PottercountyWXobserver Posted March 5, 2011 Share Posted March 5, 2011 http://www.meteor.ia...=namm&site=kbfd 31" LOL LMAO LMAO :thumbsup: I saw that just a few minutes ago, there is just no way that is happening. The NAM is on steroids. The GFS is only showing 12" max for here, but will take that in a heart beat, I'm just not buying the NAM in any way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm Clouds Posted March 5, 2011 Share Posted March 5, 2011 I am a actually quite excited for all this rain coming...I got a Davis VP2 for Christmas and I will be very interested keeping track of the rainfall rate throughout the storm! Should be fun! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PottercountyWXobserver Posted March 5, 2011 Share Posted March 5, 2011 I'm thinking PotterCounty would be over joyed if that come true. I would be in a snow coma for a week , I just have to laugh at its outcome, NAM would be king forever in my book if it was true. It's busting hardcore for QPF so far so I have to put it in the outlier column for now, I'm definitely going with the GFS, it has been spot on with QPF totals so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PottercountyWXobserver Posted March 5, 2011 Share Posted March 5, 2011 http://www.meteor.ia...=namm&site=kbfd 31" LOL The thing that is very confusing, its snow totals have been increasing as we get closer to the event. I mean the GFS has to but not even remotely to what the NAM shows, I'm thinking it may need some updates after this storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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