Baroclinic Zone Posted February 3, 2011 Author Share Posted February 3, 2011 12z GFS is going crazy by day 7. This looks huge Holy blizzard, verbatim! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hooralph Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 We should do our part to start inducing panic in the public about next Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 NAM was no good for you...you want a compromise Totally agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Without overcommitting obviously..which way are you leaning for this? Snow inalnd/rain to snow coast..all rain..all snow?? Mix?? Snow north of Rt 74. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Snow north of Rt 74. LOL..Then I'm good by .1 miles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 GEM is a solid hit for SNE looks similar to GFS, but more QPF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 GGEM looks like GFS except just a smidge more amplified...snow for a lot of the area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Snow north of Rt 74. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Now I'm starting to get naked with the GGEM on board.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 GGEM looks like GFS except just a smidge more amplified...snow for a lot of the area No response??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 NAM may have some advantage with respect to appropriately amplifying downstream ridging in accordance with convective latent heat release. However, one of the differences between the NAM and GFS is the amplitude of the northern stream s/w which acts to squash the southern stream disturbance a bit on the GFS. The northern stream amplitude has been a common seasonal trend. Definitely would lean toward the Euro, which incorporates both these factors to some extent. Though I might add a bit more NAM in the mix with a more Nina-esque feel. I was going to make the same point, how many times in a row has the n stream come in more amped as it crosses into conus. On nam it is super weak and sheared out. Gotta favor the globals but watch the strength of the n stream as we progress. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 classic event on the gfs end of next week. I mentioned that after the 00z EURO......it was about as close as you could get without doing the deed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 gefs mean pretty much dead on the BM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Some of us may have 4' snowpacks one week from now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 gefs mean pretty much dead on the BM Hopefully the waitress gets "them" out for us..while GAY and IWC head to the Bruins game Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Now I'm starting to get naked with the GGEM on board.. GGEM has been all over the Atlantic with this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 gefs mean pretty much dead on the BM Hopefully the euro isn't over MVY..lol.At least the solutions aren't trending west, yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 solid 4-8 for KTAN N and W on the ensemble mean Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Hopefully the euro isn't over MVY..lol.At least the solutions aren't trending west, yet. that's about where'd i'd expect it to be. LOL. i'll be pretty surprised if this is over the BM. who knows though. maybe the NAM is overplaying the vortmax. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Without overcommitting obviously..which way are you leaning for this? Snow inalnd/rain to snow coast..all rain..all snow?? Mix?? What do you forsee for timing? In by 9AM, out by 4? Still sticking to 6-12? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 What do you forsee for timing? In by 9AM, out by 4? Still sticking to 6-12? I don't think it starts till afternoon into the night. I think 4-8 or 5-10 is a better call Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 I don't think it starts till afternoon into the night. I think 4-8 or 5-10 is a better call Thanks! Millions are depending on this call... (hoping to get out of an activity that day...actually 2) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 that's about where'd i'd expect it to be. LOL. i'll be pretty surprised if this is over the BM. who knows though. maybe the NAM is overplaying the vortmax. This thing naturally wants to go over the Cape, but the only saving grace is the vortmax trying to shear out, and move northeast. Every indicator points to this as a cstl hugger, except for that. Hopefully the globals are right, but part of me still thinks the GFS is too far east. We'll see if the euro budges. Maybe the GFS is right..who knows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 pretty strong showing on the gefs mean for later next week - considering the time frame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 We should do our part to start inducing panic in the public about next Friday. 12-24" lolli 30" la la la la lock it up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 pretty strong showing on the gefs mean for later next week - considering the time frame. Yeah close to the op. Luckily this seems progressive, because it wouldn't take much to bring this over your fanny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 12-24" lolli 30" la la la la lock it up Hey, he never posted that... 3 times...oops Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Snowthanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 Jconsor..any thoughts on the Saturday storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 3, 2011 Share Posted February 3, 2011 I'm leaning close tot he Euro right now but maybe a tad warmer. I think a lot of the interior will see snow but they might have to deal with some initial ptype issues, and then it flips over as everything collapses SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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