Hoosier Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 continue Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 The UKMET would be one for the ages. Probably similiar to the some ECM ensemble runs Harry was talking about earlier. speaking of ecm ensembles....how did they look for 00z. Wonder if OP was the outlier Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 jb: for next week only says he thinks its another double barreled system however he's leary to suggest the western one will be the primary since that was his error on the last couple storms. Also thinks coldest air plains to east to follow it. just another theory to throw in the pot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 typical Gino lol REGARDING POTENTIAL FOR A SIGNIFICANT STORM EARLY NEXT WEEK...THE LATEST ECMWF CHANGED ITS MIND AND CANCELLED THE STORM FOR US. GEM HAS TRENDED FARTHER NORTH AND STRONGER WITH THE SHORTWAVE BUT STILL MISSES US. THE POTENTIAL SYSTEM OF INTEREST IS A CLOSED LOW WEST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA AND MODELS ARE NOTORIOUS FOR HAVING FITS TRYING TO HANDLE SOUTHWEST CUT OFF LOWS. WITH THIS CUT OFF LOW STILL OVER THE RELATIVELY DATA SPARSE OCEAN WOULD ONLY EXPECT THIS TO BE EVEN MORE THE CASE IN THIS SCENARIO. PROBABLY THE ONLY THING THAT I HAVE MODERATELY HIGH CONFIDENCE IN REGARDING THE FORECAST NEXT WEEK AS THIS STORM LIFTS OUT IS THAT THE MODELS ARE VERY LIKELY TO FLIP FLOP AROUND WITH THE TRACK AND TIMING OVER AT LEAST THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS. SO RATHER THAN IMITATING A DOG CHASING HIS TAIL (AND ENDING UP CRUMBLING TO THE GROUND DIZZY) HAVE OPTED TO NOT MAKE ANY CHANGES TO THE GOING FORECAST MONDAY ONWARD. DAY SHIFT WILL HAVE A ENTIRE NEW SUITE OF GUIDANCE AND OPPORTUNITY TO TAKE A GUESS AT WHAT MAY HAPPEN NEXT WEEK. IZZI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 Woke up missed every run last night and..............did not expect the Euro to look exactly like the GFS. This is a surprise...dont know how these storms are ever going to phase this winter in the MW. Im shocked while drinking my coffee right now Storm Chances for SEMI=NONE! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srain Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 I saw the BI wanted to name this storm. We have affectionately referred to it as the Jorge Storm in the TX/MX thread since he called it on January 17th... wxmx Posts: 204 Joined: November 11, 2010 LocationMonterrey, MXMPH Posted 17 January 2011 - 09:57 AM Conditions are ripe for a possible major winter storm for the Sern states, including TX. If we can tap some of the cold Canadian air and build a sizeable dome of high pressure over the Rockies(1040+mb), and a nice storm (cutoff low?) over MX, then parts of Deep south and SE TX can get in the game. Euro and Canadian are close, but there's relatively little cold air @ day 10, which I find a little absurd due to the 576+mb ridge over Cali/Oregon and ample cold in Canada. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 Woke up missed every run last night and..............did not expect the Euro to look exactly like the GFS. This is a surprise...dont know how these storms are ever going to phase this winter in the MW. Im shocked while drinking my coffee right now Storm Chances for SEMI=NONE! :/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 GFS is trying, trying to develop the storm but get suppressed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 :/ Nice to see the NE get like 10-18 inches in like 5 hrs last night pretty cool. Will get 1.5" in 8 hrs today about the same kind of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 Unbelievable sad! You live in the great lake/ ohio valley and cant buy a snow storm? Talk about a snow hole. This arctic air is getting on my nerve 2, its so worthless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 Nice to see the NE get like 10-18 inches in like 5 hrs last night pretty cool. Will get 1.5" in 8 hrs today about the same kind of snow. That's a little overdone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 That's a little overdone Sorry my bad...looking at the radar, looks like 0.8" in 8 hrs. Not bad 0.1" per hour! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 Sorry my bad...looking at the radar, looks like 0.8" in 8 hrs. Not bad 0.1" per hour! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 I saw the BI wanted to name this storm. We have affectionately referred to it as the Jorge Storm in the TX/MX thread since he called it on January 17th... Hoosier wasn't game--but the Jorge Storm sounds cool. Apparently Ji came over to central/western and saw my request to name it the "Hoosier" storm--and he has since started his own "Hoosier" storm in the MA region. http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php?/topic/11326-tracking-the-hoosier-storm-next-week/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 Good to see the crazy UnKle has got its groove back. Seems like it hasn't been too over zealous with its epic la la land bombs much this winter. And yes before anyone accuses me of it, this is just eye candy, I'm not calling for this solution to pan out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 Good to see the crazy UnKle has got its groove back. Seems like it hasn't been too over zealous with its epic la la land bombs much this winter. And yes before anyone accuses me of it, this is just eye candy, I'm not calling for this solution to pan out. Yup, it's eye candy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 Hoosier wasn't game--but the Jorge Storm sounds cool. Apparently Ji came over to central/western and saw my request to name it the "Hoosier" storm--and he has since started his own "Hoosier" storm in the MA region. http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php?/topic/11326-tracking-the-hoosier-storm-next-week/ Ji has pulled for no snow for the Midwest for a long time. Even going back to the WWBB days circa 2000 and probably before, he roots hard (and mocks us) for busted snowstorms in this region. His thread is not surprising. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 20" snowfall totals across the n/e, how seriously LMAO.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 20" snowfall totals across the n/e, how seriously LMAO.. Good for them...although I have yet to see anyone break 20" with this past storm. Regardless, snow envy is generally pretty ugly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 Ji has pulled for no snow for the Midwest for a long time. Even going back to the WWBB days circa 2000 and probably before, he roots hard (and mocks us) for busted snowstorms in this region. His thread is not surprising. go troll a MA thread and see how long it takes for ian or one of those mods to 5 post suspend you. Meanwhile ji pops in here all the time trolling and....well you know.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 one thing about the i-95 area, especially the MA. their snow fall lasts about as long as a 16 yr old boy in the sack with a victorias secret model. Hell we've seemed to have a perma snowcover here this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 go troll a MA thread and see how long it takes for ian or one of those mods to 5 post suspend you. Meanwhile ji pops in here all the time trolling and....well you know.... Oh I know...he's protected for whatever reason. Nevertheless, I don't want to taint "Hoosier's storm" thread with Ji nonsense. What's the JMA got for this one? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 Oh I know...he's protected for whatever reason. Nevertheless, I don't want to taint "Hoosier's storm" thread with Ji nonsense. What's the JMA got for this one? unfortunately accuwx only has the 12z runs. I'm actually curious to see what it did at 00z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 one thing about the i-95 area, especially the MA. their snow fall lasts about as long as a 16 yr old boy in the sack with a victorias secret model. Hell we've seemed to have a perma snowcover here this winter. You know, I was thinking the same thing last night. Look back in early December when we got a measly 3-4 inches. It hung around long enough to give us a white Christmas! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 one thing about the i-95 area, especially the MA. their snow fall lasts about as long as a 16 yr old boy in the sack with a victorias secret model. Hell we've seemed to have a perma snowcover here this winter. So true. Thats why unlike many Im LOVING this winter for its constant snowcover and nickel and dimes with a few quarters and half dollars thrown in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 one thing about the i-95 area, especially the MA. their snow fall lasts about as long as a 16 yr old boy in the sack with a victorias secret model. Hell we've seemed to have a perma snowcover here this winter. Places CT and Mass has a huge Snowcover. With very little melting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 So true. Thats why unlike many Im LOVING this winter for its constant snowcover and nickel and dimes with a few quarters and half dollars thrown in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 Places CT and Mass has a huge Snowcover. With very little melting. yes, over 3 feet lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 Grr MODEL AGREEMENT HAS MARKEDLY IMPROVED TONIGHT AS THE 00Z EURO HAS FINALLY GIVEN UP ON THE IDEA OF A SHARP WESTERN CONUS TROUGH AND SOUTHEAST RIDGE DEVELOPING NEXT WEEK AND NO LONGER TAKES A SFC LOW ACROSS LOWER MICHIGAN. SO THE WINTER STORM IT WAS SHOWING FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK IS NOW SHUNTED FAR SOUTH IN A MORE ZONAL FLOW...AS THE GFS HAS BEEN SHOWING THE PAST FEW DAYS. ALTHOUGH THIS IMPLIES LESS SNOW...IT ALSO IMPLIES MORE COLD AS ARCTIC AIR DOMINATES THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES WITH 850MB TEMPS SHOWN BY BOTH MODELS TO BE IN THE MINUS 15 TO 20C RANGE BY TUESDAY. Story of the winter, cold domination. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 Places CT and Mass has a huge Snowcover. With very little melting. that's why i said MA... new england is a different world....they've been buried. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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