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brooklynwx99

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by brooklynwx99

  1. no, i could never haha the boards are enough for me
  2. i know this is a LR OP run, but notice how the GoA low continually forces a WC ridge. the confluence over the east allows for a potent coastal. the Pacific pattern is a complete departure from the last few years and is classic Nino
  3. i know this is a LR OP run, but notice how the GoA low continually forces a WC ridge. the confluence over the east allows for a potent coastal. the Pacific pattern is a complete departure from the last few years and is classic Nino
  4. you do have PTSD most likely. luckily the Nina paradigm is over. rejoice!
  5. what exactly else would you like to use? the upcoming pattern looks great. if it was warm, people would have no question about it being right. it’s a silly argument the blocking develops inside day 5. the features that force this pattern are moving into the short range
  6. there is always going to be a strong GoA low. this is still a colder than average pattern with a +PNA and blocking. really not much to complain about
  7. the SPV and TPV are not always well coupled. we are already seeing this the fact that such an anomalous -NAO is going to develop bodes well for the entire winter. and a weak SPV does at least help blocking develop when combined with the -QBO and Nino forcing
  8. all major ensembles are in agreement and they all look great
  9. all major ensembles still look great and are in agreement
  10. some weenie drew the GEPS in their basement
  11. the -NAO develops at like day 5. how exactly is this getting pushed back?
  12. i wouldn’t be nearly as annoyed if he wasn’t so sanctimonious about the whole thing beforehand
  13. that is the exception rather than the rule. a strong -NAO almost always overpowers unless the Pacific truly sucks
  14. i know everyone always whines about the Pacific, but the -NAO and resultant confluence is king for you guys
  15. yeah. all in? no very intrigued and getting a bit excited at the potential? yes i would wait another few days to let the -NAO hit the short range
  16. great trend in the -NAO over the last model cycle
  17. one day trend in the blocking is very nice. this does not look like a head fake
  18. one day trend in the blocking is very nice. this does not look like a head fake
  19. same. i do LR forecasting at my company with a couple others and 2009 was a top analog since the summer
  20. i think you guys are getting too nitpicky and have a bit of PTSD from last year hell, Feb 2010 had a trough poking into AK and not really that much ridging out west. also had a deep trough south of AK. mean trough axis was offshore we could literally get this exact pattern again and people would complain about it. hell, if there was strong WC/AK ridging along with a -NAO, people would complain about suppression. it’s gotten to be a bit much
  21. after all that ranting and raving about weenies, he has come full circle. life comes at you fast, i guess
  22. now webb’s top analog is 2009. holy shit, you could cut the irony with a knife
  23. so people like myself, @griteater, @40/70 Benchmark, and others who had 2009 as a strong analog would have been called weenies by him, but now it’s his top analog? such bullshit
  24. lmao no, your argument is “well it’s on modeling now, what if it’s wrong? what if it just goes away?” which is a horrible argument and you know it. come on dude. imagine if Tony came in here if models had the PV over Greenland and was like “well what if they’re all just wrong and we can get a -NAO? the +NAO came up out of nowhere!” you’d write an impassioned essay using SAT vocab about how much of a dumb weenie is. you’re doing the same, just the other way
  25. you also misrepresented what i said. I didn’t say that there would be a massive -NAO month (although it likely ends up a tad negative). i said that canonical strong, especially super events feature strong +NAO patterns. that is likely not the case this month
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