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Everything posted by brooklynwx99
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the GFS has the TPV farther east and the ridge comes over the top, allowing the ULL to dig more compared to the ICON
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2025-2026 ENSO
brooklynwx99 replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
can’t remember the last time we’ve seen subsidence like this over the MC… straight up P8 forcing late month -
this system is honestly annoying the crap out of me at this point and I'd rather just get to the 18th, which has had a better chance all along
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
brooklynwx99 replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
brooklynwx99 replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
always has to be something -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
brooklynwx99 replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
usually when you have a vort of that intensity at that latitude it’s a nuke. truly incredible -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
brooklynwx99 replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
brooklynwx99 replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
brooklynwx99 replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
brooklynwx99 replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
brooklynwx99 replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
yeah, stronger and more neg tilted -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
brooklynwx99 replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
yeah, not as exotic as 12z but still a bomb -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
brooklynwx99 replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
absolutely, allows that NS piece over the Lakes to come in at a good angle... that's why the GFS is as amped as it is -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
brooklynwx99 replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
brooklynwx99 replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
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the main differences between the GFS and the ECMWF are that the kicker on the ECMWF is more defined, hurting amplification, and the TPV is also closer to the trough. we'll see how those features trend overall, though, they are actually pretty similar from a synoptic standpoint now
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the main differences between the GFS and the ECMWF are that the kicker on the ECMWF is more defined, hurting amplification, and the TPV is also closer to the trough. we'll see how those features trend overall, though, they are actually pretty similar from a synoptic standpoint now
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
brooklynwx99 replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
the main differences between the GFS and the ECMWF are that the kicker on the ECMWF is more defined, hurting amplification, and the TPV is also closer to the trough. we'll see how those features trend overall, though, they are actually pretty similar from a synoptic standpoint now -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
brooklynwx99 replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
could have been better, but yeah, hard to ask for a better shift -
stop doing what? that is a significant move towards a more amplified solution... definitely much more than I thought was going to happen
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
brooklynwx99 replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
brooklynwx99 replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
wait until you see the euro -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
brooklynwx99 replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
