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brooklynwx99

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by brooklynwx99

  1. this somehow produces like 3-6” of snow. how do you even make this up
  2. usually when you have a vort of that intensity at that latitude it’s a nuke. truly incredible
  3. i mean, tick it more amped and you curl the PVA back west. it’s close
  4. it really unreal how this isn’t a MECS at first glance. that vort is insane
  5. absolutely, allows that NS piece over the Lakes to come in at a good angle... that's why the GFS is as amped as it is
  6. the +PNA ridge in and of itself argues for a coastal... that's 2.5 sigma over ID, nearly ideal
  7. this is really as large of an amped shift as you'll see on the EPS at this range
  8. the main differences between the GFS and the ECMWF are that the kicker on the ECMWF is more defined, hurting amplification, and the TPV is also closer to the trough. we'll see how those features trend overall, though, they are actually pretty similar from a synoptic standpoint now
  9. the main differences between the GFS and the ECMWF are that the kicker on the ECMWF is more defined, hurting amplification, and the TPV is also closer to the trough. we'll see how those features trend overall, though, they are actually pretty similar from a synoptic standpoint now
  10. the main differences between the GFS and the ECMWF are that the kicker on the ECMWF is more defined, hurting amplification, and the TPV is also closer to the trough. we'll see how those features trend overall, though, they are actually pretty similar from a synoptic standpoint now
  11. could have been better, but yeah, hard to ask for a better shift
  12. stop doing what? that is a significant move towards a more amplified solution... definitely much more than I thought was going to happen
  13. euro is notably more amped with the whole trough. holy shit
  14. I would have to think that the GFS is cracked out, but it was able to actually revert back to a 00z-like solution. combine that with the trends on the AIFS and the GEFS becoming way more amped and I'm a bit intrigued. I would like to see any other guidance entertain it... AIFS/ICON are close and UKMET made a big amped move. certainly possible, but temper enthusiasm for now
  15. I would have to think that the GFS is cracked out, but it was able to actually revert back to a 00z-like solution. combine that with the trends on the AIFS and the GEFS becoming way more amped and I'm a bit intrigued. I would like to see any other guidance entertain it... AIFS/ICON are close and UKMET made a big amped move. certainly possible, but temper enthusiasm for now
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